HarrisDemocratic15.0%1,854TrumpRepublican84.2%10,384OliverNonpartisan0.5%58
R+69.2- Lead
- 8,530
- Total
- 12,335
- vs nation
- R+67.7
- Turnout
- 40.9%
Akashiccounty
Holmes County, OH
Contests in this Place (88 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 40.9% of 30,901 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic15.4%1,994TrumpRepublican83.4%10,796JorgensenLibertarian1.0%125
R+68.0- Lead
- 8,802
- Total
- 12,947
- vs nation
- R+72.4
- Turnout
- 43.8%
ClintonDemocratic15.3%1,788TrumpRepublican74.8%8,720JohnsonLibertarian3.2%374
R+59.5- Lead
- 6,932
- Total
- 11,654
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Turnout
- 39.9%
ObamaDemocratic21.7%2,608RomneyRepublican72.3%8,702JohnsonLibertarian0.8%93
R+50.6- Lead
- 6,094
- Total
- 12,043
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.2%3,141McCainRepublican69.3%7,720OtherAll other candidates2.5%273
R+41.1- Lead
- 4,579
- Total
- 11,134
- vs nation
- R+48.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic24.0%2,697BushRepublican75.5%8,468OtherAll other candidates0.5%55
R+51.4- Lead
- 5,771
- Total
- 11,220
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic22.6%2,066BushRepublican73.9%6,754NaderGreen1.9%172
R+51.3- Lead
- 4,688
- Total
- 9,145
- vs nation
- R+51.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic27.9%2,531DoleRepublican57.4%5,213PerotReform14.0%1,276
R+29.5- Lead
- 2,682
- Total
- 9,084
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,4182024 5-year
- Population density
- 105 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 423 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,1402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 97.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Todd County, KY · twin score 89.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 40.9%12,629 participants ÷ 30,901 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.2 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 25.7%–28.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12,629 | 30,901 ± 115 | 40.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 8,825 | 30,833 ± 184 | 28.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,246 | 30,215 ± 178 | 43.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,228 | 29,680 ± 139 | 31.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,654 | 29,200 ± 170 | 39.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,043 | 27,938 | 43.1% | Derived | — | |
| 11,134 | 27,189 | 41.0% | Derived | — | |
| 11,220 | 26,440 extrapolated | 42.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 36 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 12,335 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT HARDY TOWNSHIPPRECINCT HARDY TOWNSHIP | 178 | 886 | 12 | 1,076 | 16.5% | 82.3% | R+65.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT KILLBUCK TOWNSHIPPRECINCT KILLBUCK TOWNSHIP | 150 | 775 | 7 | 932 | 16.1% | 83.2% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MILLERSBURG EASTPRECINCT MILLERSBURG EAST | 235 | 658 | 14 | 907 | 25.9% | 72.5% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT RIPLEY TOWNSHIPPRECINCT RIPLEY TOWNSHIP | 153 | 723 | 8 | 884 | 17.3% | 81.8% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WASHINGTON TOWNSHIPPRECINCT WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP | 195 | 676 | 7 | 878 | 22.2% | 77.0% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MECHANIC TOWNSHIPPRECINCT MECHANIC TOWNSHIP | 162 | 695 | 4 | 861 | 18.8% | 80.7% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WALNUT CREEK TOWNSHIPPRECINCT WALNUT CREEK TOWNSHIP | 81 | 756 | 7 | 844 | 9.6% | 89.6% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PRAIRIE TOWNSHIPPRECINCT PRAIRIE TOWNSHIP | 100 | 681 | 6 | 787 | 12.7% | 86.5% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MONROE TOWNSHIPPRECINCT MONROE TOWNSHIP | 114 | 658 | 4 | 776 | 14.7% | 84.8% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PAINT TOWNSHIPPRECINCT PAINT TOWNSHIP | 33 | 676 | 0 | 709 | 4.7% | 95.3% | R+90.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BERLIN NORTHPRECINCT BERLIN NORTH | 69 | 615 | 3 | 687 | 10.0% | 89.5% | R+79.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT KNOX TOWNSHIPPRECINCT KNOX TOWNSHIP | 100 | 530 | 2 | 632 | 15.8% | 83.9% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BERLIN SOUTHPRECINCT BERLIN SOUTH | 72 | 494 | 2 | 568 | 12.7% | 87.0% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SALTCREEK TOWNSHIPPRECINCT SALTCREEK TOWNSHIP | 37 | 480 | 5 | 522 | 7.1% | 92.0% | R+84.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT RICHLAND TOWNSHIPPRECINCT RICHLAND TOWNSHIP | 64 | 402 | 10 | 476 | 13.4% | 84.5% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MILLERSBURG WESTPRECINCT MILLERSBURG WEST | 96 | 355 | 4 | 455 | 21.1% | 78.0% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CLARK TOWNSHIPPRECINCT CLARK TOWNSHIP | 15 | 324 | 2 | 341 | 4.4% | 95.0% | R+90.6 |
| PRECINCT BECK'S MILLS39_39075075AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BERLIN NORTH39_39075075AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BERLIN SOUTH39_39075075AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CLARK TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HARDY39_39075075AAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT KILLBUCK TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT KNOX TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MECHANIC PRECINCT39_39075075AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MILLERSBURG EAST39_39075075AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MILLERSBURG WEST39_39075075AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MONROE TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PAINT TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PRAIRIE TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RICHLAND TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RIPLEY TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SALTCREEK TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WALNUT CREEK TOWNSHIP39_39075075AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON EAST39_39075075AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WASHINGTON WEST39_39075075ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Holmes County, OH · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
73.6%
2,846 votes · D+48.9
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 73.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
84.2%
10,384 votes · R+69.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
4,097votes
63.7% of the vote · D+28.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 4,096 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
10,796votes
83.4% of the vote · R+68.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 10,384 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+53.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.2 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +52.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+72.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +67.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJames David VanceU.S. Senate
RAndrew BrennerState Senate · 19
RMark HinerState House · 98
Seats representing Holmes County, OH. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 14.3%1,654 | 85.7%9,903 | 11,557 |
| 2020 | R | 11.7%1,428 | 88.3%10,776 | 12,204 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,938 |
| 2018 | 18,113 |
| 2020 | 18,286 |
| 2022 | 18,072 |
| 2024 | 18,085 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−272 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −4,118 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,489 in average income, against $83,171 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+43.3 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Holmes County, OH itself (R+69.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wayne County, OH163R+39.3
- Tuscarawas County, OH118R+43.3
- Coshocton County, OH50R+52.2
- Ashland County, OH31R+50.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wayne County, OH209
- Tuscarawas County, OH143
- Coshocton County, OH59
- Stark County, OH57
- Ashland County, OH46
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −181 |
| 2012 | −173 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | −300 |
| 2015 | −314 |
| 2016 | −432 |
| 2017 | −329 |
| 2018 | −381 |
| 2019 | −415 |
| 2021 | −250 |
| 2022 | −439 |
| 2023 | −441 |
| 2024 | −167 |
| 2025 | −272 |
Holmes County's R+69.2 margin in 2024 reflects both its rural character and a large Plain community that, when it participates, votes heavily conservative — though Amish turnout traditionally runs well below surrounding townships.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 69.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.2 points.
A population of 44,418, a 97% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,140 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Todd County and Chilton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Todd County
Kentucky
89.1twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated2008–2016 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Chilton County
Alabama
87.2twin score
% Evangelical2004–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Butler County
Kentucky
86.9twin score
% Evangelical2000–2004 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Holmes County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Holmes County
Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Holmes County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Holmes County, Ohio voted Republican by 69.2 points (R+69.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,335 votes cast, 1,854 went Democratic and 10,384 went Republican.
When did Holmes County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Holmes County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Holmes County, Ohio?
Holmes County, Ohio has a population of 44,418 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Holmes County, Ohio?
Median household income in Holmes County, Ohio is $76,140 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Holmes County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Holmes County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.