HarrisDemocratic34.1%16,928TrumpRepublican62.7%31,129KennedyIndependent1.5%746
R+28.6- Lead
- 14,201
- Total
- 49,628
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- 71.9%
Akashiccounty
Josephine County, OR
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.9% of 69,723 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.7%18,451TrumpRepublican61.5%31,751JorgensenLibertarian1.5%795
R+25.8- Lead
- 13,300
- Total
- 51,641
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 75.8%
ClintonDemocratic30.2%13,453TrumpRepublican60.4%26,923JohnsonLibertarian4.1%1,829
R+30.2- Lead
- 13,470
- Total
- 44,560
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- 69.2%
ObamaDemocratic37.2%14,953RomneyRepublican58.8%23,673JohnsonLibertarian1.3%532
R+21.7- Lead
- 8,720
- Total
- 40,238
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.4%17,412McCainRepublican54.6%22,973OtherAll other candidates4.0%1,664
R+13.2- Lead
- 5,561
- Total
- 42,049
- vs nation
- R+20.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.0%15,214BushRepublican62.1%26,241OtherAll other candidates1.9%820
R+26.1- Lead
- 11,027
- Total
- 42,275
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic32.3%11,864BushRepublican60.4%22,186NaderGreen4.9%1,783
R+28.1- Lead
- 10,322
- Total
- 36,733
- vs nation
- R+28.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.6%11,113DoleRepublican50.0%16,048PerotReform11.0%3,546
R+15.4- Lead
- 4,935
- Total
- 32,111
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,1792024 5-year
- Population density
- 54 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,639 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,0982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Douglas County, OR · twin score 90.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 71.9%50,155 participants ÷ 69,723 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 58.7%–61.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50,155 | 69,723 ± 615 | 71.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 43,620 | 69,717 ± 632 | 62.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 52,022 | 68,589 ± 604 | 75.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 41,625 | 66,867 ± 569 | 62.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 45,754 | 66,097 ± 428 | 69.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 40,238 | 64,709 | 62.2% | Derived | — | |
| 42,049 | 62,570 | 67.2% | Derived | — | |
| 42,275 | 60,431 extrapolated | 70.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 47 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
47 precincts · 49,628 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -22 | 1,693 | 3,112 | 133 | 4,938 | 34.3% | 63.0% | R+28.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -11 | 1,498 | 1,910 | 134 | 3,542 | 42.3% | 53.9% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -88 | 1,101 | 1,895 | 94 | 3,090 | 35.6% | 61.3% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -2121 | 825 | 1,734 | 71 | 2,630 | 31.4% | 65.9% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -3131 | 1,083 | 1,337 | 102 | 2,522 | 42.9% | 53.0% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -3838 | 751 | 1,655 | 73 | 2,479 | 30.3% | 66.8% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -77 | 791 | 1,147 | 78 | 2,016 | 39.2% | 56.9% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -3636 | 477 | 1,177 | 49 | 1,703 | 28.0% | 69.1% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -4242 | 425 | 1,145 | 34 | 1,604 | 26.5% | 71.4% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -1919 | 431 | 1,128 | 38 | 1,597 | 27.0% | 70.6% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -33 | 616 | 886 | 46 | 1,548 | 39.8% | 57.2% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -55 | 568 | 854 | 46 | 1,468 | 38.7% | 58.2% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -1818 | 444 | 954 | 48 | 1,446 | 30.7% | 66.0% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -1717 | 450 | 829 | 28 | 1,307 | 34.4% | 63.4% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -3939 | 388 | 854 | 34 | 1,276 | 30.4% | 66.9% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -44 | 525 | 647 | 59 | 1,231 | 42.6% | 52.6% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -1515 | 334 | 862 | 31 | 1,227 | 27.2% | 70.3% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -4343 | 331 | 822 | 26 | 1,179 | 28.1% | 69.7% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -2222 | 303 | 799 | 29 | 1,131 | 26.8% | 70.6% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -3737 | 365 | 707 | 48 | 1,120 | 32.6% | 63.1% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -2525 | 313 | 675 | 31 | 1,019 | 30.7% | 66.2% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -3030 | 364 | 598 | 40 | 1,002 | 36.3% | 59.7% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -66 | 316 | 567 | 19 | 902 | 35.0% | 62.9% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -3535 | 216 | 541 | 19 | 776 | 27.8% | 69.7% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -4040 | 330 | 340 | 32 | 702 | 47.0% | 48.4% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -3333 | 192 | 426 | 16 | 634 | 30.3% | 67.2% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -2424 | 165 | 383 | 14 | 562 | 29.4% | 68.1% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -2626 | 179 | 349 | 25 | 553 | 32.4% | 63.1% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -2828 | 140 | 309 | 26 | 475 | 29.5% | 65.1% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -2727 | 132 | 314 | 14 | 460 | 28.7% | 68.3% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -3434 | 145 | 182 | 9 | 336 | 43.2% | 54.2% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -1616 | 80 | 238 | 12 | 330 | 24.2% | 72.1% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -2323 | 93 | 220 | 10 | 323 | 28.8% | 68.1% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -1111 | 114 | 156 | 16 | 286 | 39.9% | 54.5% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct -4646 | 102 | 164 | 13 | 279 | 36.6% | 58.8% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -1212 | 109 | 133 | 7 | 249 | 43.8% | 53.4% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -2020 | 78 | 139 | 10 | 227 | 34.4% | 61.2% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -1010 | 80 | 131 | 4 | 215 | 37.2% | 60.9% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -1313 | 66 | 137 | 9 | 212 | 31.1% | 64.6% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -3232 | 67 | 138 | 6 | 211 | 31.8% | 65.4% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -4444 | 63 | 102 | 9 | 174 | 36.2% | 58.6% | R+22.4 |
| Precinct -4747 | 50 | 83 | 6 | 139 | 36.0% | 59.7% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -99 | 40 | 87 | 7 | 134 | 29.9% | 64.9% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -4545 | 32 | 90 | 6 | 128 | 25.0% | 70.3% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -4141 | 26 | 76 | 4 | 106 | 24.5% | 71.7% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -1414 | 28 | 61 | 5 | 94 | 29.8% | 64.9% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -2929 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 46 | 19.6% | 78.3% | R+58.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Josephine County, OR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
58.9%
3,060 votes · D+25.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 57.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
71.3%
2,625 votes · R+45.3
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
18,451votes
35.7% of the vote · R+25.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 17,412 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
31,751votes
61.5% of the vote · R+25.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 31,129 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+22.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.7 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +7.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+32.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.2 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +30.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RNoah RobinsonState Senate · 2
RDwayne YunkerState House · 3
RAlek SkarlatosState House · 4
Seats representing Josephine County, OR. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+17.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+28.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Republican than the rolls.
70,593 registered voters · 2024 · up from 69,769 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+356 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,755 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,877 in average income, against $66,720 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+4.1 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Josephine County, OR itself (R+28.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jackson County, OR532R+6.4
- Douglas County, OR69R+37.5
- Los Angeles County, CA58D+32.9
- Lane County, OR53D+22.9
- Multnomah County, OR52D+61.6
- Deschutes County, OR40D+10.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jackson County, OR546
- Douglas County, OR75
- Lane County, OR68
- Multnomah County, OR62
- Maricopa County, AZ39
- Klamath County, OR34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +272 |
| 2012 | +468 |
| 2013 | +759 |
| 2014 | +583 |
| 2015 | +1,461 |
| 2016 | +1,292 |
| 2017 | +1,484 |
| 2018 | +938 |
| 2019 | +693 |
| 2021 | +972 |
| 2022 | −20 |
| 2023 | +745 |
| 2024 | +752 |
| 2025 | +356 |
Josephine County, anchored by Grants Pass in the rugged Siskiyou foothills, has voted Republican by double digits in every recent presidential cycle, with its 2024 margin of R+28.6 reflecting a largely white, rural electorate well outside Oregon's Willamette Valley Democratic strongholds.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.3 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.6 points.
A population of 88,179, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,098 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Douglas County and Ravalli County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Douglas County
Oregon
90.9twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian agepopulation scale
Ravalli County
Montana
83.5twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian ageelasticity
Tuolumne County
California
79.7twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian age12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Josephine County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Josephine County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Josephine County, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Josephine County, Oregon voted Republican by 28.6 points (R+28.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 49,628 votes cast, 16,928 went Democratic and 31,129 went Republican.
When did Josephine County, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Josephine County, Oregon voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Josephine County, Oregon?
Josephine County, Oregon has a population of 88,179 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Josephine County, Oregon?
Median household income in Josephine County, Oregon is $60,098 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Josephine County, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Josephine County, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.