Monmouth County, New Jersey: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 645,3532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $124,8452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cape May County, NJ · similarity 0.91
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +7.7% |
| 1896 | −14.6% |
| 1900 | −9.2% |
| 1904 | −9.0% |
| 1908 | −14.7% |
| 1912 | +30.3% |
| 1916 | −4.0% |
| 1920 | −37.4% |
| 1924 | −37.2% |
| 1928 | −31.9% |
| 1932 | −6.8% |
| 1936 | −3.2% |
| 1940 | −15.5% |
| 1944 | −17.4% |
| 1948 | −26.3% |
| 1952 | −32.8% |
| 1956 | −44.1% |
| 1960 | −13.2% |
| 1964 | +21.6% |
| 1968 | −10.3% |
| 1972 | −32.5% |
| 1976 | −10.4% |
| 1980 | −23.0% |
| 1984 | −31.4% |
| 1988 | −23.0% |
| 1992 | −6.0% |
| 1996 | +8.2% |
| 2000 | +4.6% |
| 2004 | −10.0% |
| 2008 | −3.7% |
| 2012 | −5.0% |
| 2016 | −9.3% |
| 2020 | −2.8% |
| 2024 | −11.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 156,382 | 197,409 | 361,596 | ||
| R | 181,291 | 191,808 | 375,807 | ||
| R | 137,181 | 166,723 | 317,750 | ||
| R | 133,820 | 148,000 | 285,667 | ||
| R | 148,737 | 160,433 | 312,616 | ||
| R | 133,773 | 163,650 | 299,939 | ||
| D | 131,476 | 119,291 | 262,141 | ||
| D | 120,414 | 99,975 | 248,961 | ||
| R | 101,750 | 117,715 | 266,116 | ||
| R | 91,844 | 147,320 | 240,957 | ||
| R | 79,382 | 152,595 | 232,909 | ||
| R | 71,328 | 120,173 | 211,971 | ||
| R | 88,956 | 110,104 | 202,790 | ||
| R | 63,176 | 124,830 | 189,977 | ||
| R | 69,669 | 87,311 | 170,456 | ||
| D | 95,320 | 61,367 | 157,055 | ||
| R | 62,434 | 81,382 | 144,060 | ||
| R | 32,329 | 83,828 | 116,751 | ||
| R | 37,006 | 73,228 | 110,491 | ||
| R | 30,507 | 52,908 | 85,033 | ||
| R | 34,720 | 49,349 | 84,122 | ||
| R | 36,298 | 49,675 | 86,047 | ||
| R | 38,914 | 41,460 | 80,767 | ||
| R | 35,219 | 40,467 | 76,741 | ||
| R | 24,286 | 47,046 | 71,454 | ||
| R | 14,931 | 34,451 | 52,482 | ||
| R | 12,975 | 28,818 | 42,336 | ||
| R | 10,729 | 11,624 | 22,590 | ||
| D | 9,799 | 3,683 | 20,182 | ||
| R | 9,252 | 12,519 | 22,239 | ||
| R | 9,032 | 10,885 | 20,534 | ||
| R | 8,568 | 10,363 | 19,514 | ||
| R | 7,799 | 10,611 | 19,197 | ||
| D | 9,013 | 7,676 | 17,277 | ||
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Demographics
Monmouth's mix of affluent Shore towns, commuter suburbs, and rural inland townships once made it a competitive swing county, but its presidential margins have widened toward Republicans by double digits over the past two election cycles.
The Democratic margin here reached thirty points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved nine points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eleven points.
A population of 645,353, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,845 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cape May County and Dorchester County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monmouth County, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/34025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
