- Lead
- 7,570
- Total
- 18,522
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- 62.2%
Clinton County, PA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.2% of 29,957 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,400
- Total
- 17,625
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- 57.8%
- Lead
- 5,278
- Total
- 15,505
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Turnout
- 50.0%
- Lead
- 1,569
- Total
- 13,311
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 407
- Total
- 14,791
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,212
- Total
- 13,967
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 543
- Total
- 11,994
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,365
- Total
- 11,483
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,7982024 5-year
- Population density
- 42 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 890 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,8162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Vermillion County, IN · twin score 88.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 62.2%18,629 participants ÷ 29,957 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -6.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 51.5%–52.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18,629 | 29,957 ± 190 | 62.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 14,121 | 29,987 ± 174 | 47.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,689 | 30,613 ± 150 | 57.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 12,508 | 30,873 ± 173 | 40.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 15,571 | 31,165 ± 156 | 50.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 13,311 | 30,869 | 43.1% | Derived | — | |
| 14,791 | 28,969 | 51.1% | Derived | — | |
| 13,967 | 27,069 extrapolated | 51.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Clinton County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Clinton County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 68 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 18,522 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0370420350370 | 469 | 918 | 9 | 1,396 | 33.6% | 65.8% | R+32.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0160420350160 | 341 | 964 | 12 | 1,317 | 25.9% | 73.2% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct 0030420350030 | 294 | 768 | 11 | 1,073 | 27.4% | 71.6% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct 0280420350280 | 261 | 806 | 4 | 1,071 | 24.4% | 75.3% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct 0210420350210 | 420 | 603 | 13 | 1,036 | 40.5% | 58.2% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 0290420350290 | 310 | 605 | 6 | 921 | 33.7% | 65.7% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct 0020420350020 | 195 | 604 | 5 | 804 | 24.3% | 75.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct 0300420350300 | 183 | 607 | 8 | 798 | 22.9% | 76.1% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct 0350420350350 | 208 | 570 | 6 | 784 | 26.5% | 72.7% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct 0250420350250 | 204 | 545 | 9 | 758 | 26.9% | 71.9% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct 0120420350120 | 232 | 488 | 5 | 725 | 32.0% | 67.3% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 0200420350200 | 352 | 342 | 5 | 699 | 50.4% | 48.9% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct 0140420350140 | 111 | 524 | 4 | 639 | 17.4% | 82.0% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct 0060420350060 | 198 | 430 | 2 | 630 | 31.4% | 68.3% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct 0100420350100 | 142 | 449 | 4 | 595 | 23.9% | 75.5% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct 0040420350040 | 133 | 452 | 5 | 590 | 22.5% | 76.6% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct 0070420350070 | 131 | 397 | 3 | 531 | 24.7% | 74.8% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct 0220420350220 | 178 | 320 | 7 | 505 | 35.2% | 63.4% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct 0090420350090 | 75 | 386 | 4 | 465 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct 0180420350180 | 192 | 258 | 8 | 458 | 41.9% | 56.3% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct 0050420350050 | 104 | 318 | 4 | 426 | 24.4% | 74.6% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct 0315420350315 | 132 | 281 | 7 | 420 | 31.4% | 66.9% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct 0230420350230 | 96 | 238 | 5 | 339 | 28.3% | 70.2% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct 0130420350130 | 52 | 224 | 1 | 277 | 18.8% | 80.9% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct 0190420350190 | 91 | 135 | 4 | 230 | 39.6% | 58.7% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct 0240420350240 | 78 | 143 | 3 | 224 | 34.8% | 63.8% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct 0265420350265 | 43 | 156 | 1 | 200 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct 0340420350340 | 68 | 108 | 2 | 178 | 38.2% | 60.7% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct 0010420350010 | 50 | 96 | 1 | 147 | 34.0% | 65.3% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 0080420350080 | 25 | 87 | 1 | 113 | 22.1% | 77.0% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct 0170420350170 | 20 | 90 | 3 | 113 | 17.7% | 79.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct 0150420350150 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 34 | 20.6% | 79.4% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct 0360420350360 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct 0110420350110 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| ALLISON TWP Voting District42_4203510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AVIS Voting District42_4203520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BALD EAGLE TWP Voting District42_4203530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEECH CREEK BOROUGH Voting District42_4203550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEECH CREEK TWP Voting District42_4203540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CASTANEA TWP Voting District42_4203560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHAPMAN TWP Voting District42_4203570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLEBROOK TWP Voting District42_4203580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CRAWFORD TWP Voting District42_4203590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DUNNSTABLE TWP Voting District42_42035100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAST KEATING TWP Voting District42_42035110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLEMINGTON BOROUGH Voting District42_42035120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALLAGHER TWP Voting District42_42035130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENE TWP Voting District42_42035140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRUGAN TWP Voting District42_42035150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAMAR TWP Voting District42_42035160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEIDY TWP Voting District42_42035170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0142_42035180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0242_42035190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0342_42035200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0442_42035210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOCK HAVEN WD 0542_42035220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOGAN TWP Voting District42_42035230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOGANTON BOROUGH Voting District42_42035240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILL HALL BOROUGH Voting District42_42035250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOYES TWP Voting District42_42035260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE CREEK TWP VTD 0142_42035280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE CREEK TWP VTD 0242_42035290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTER TWP Voting District42_42035300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RENOVO BOROUGH Voting District42_42035310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH RENOVO BOROUGH Voting District42_42035340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP Voting District42_42035350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST KEATING TWP Voting District42_42035360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOODWARD TWP Voting District42_42035370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Clinton County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.8%
10,038 votes · D+39.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 55.8%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
73.6%
8,120 votes · R+47.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 70.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
10,038votes
69.8% of the vote · D+39.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 8,351 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,965votes
70.0% of the vote · R+40.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,902 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+17.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +9.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+40.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +39.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Clinton County, PA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.8 points more Republican than the rolls.
22,514 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+127 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −110 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,278 in average income, against $65,840 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.4 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Clinton County, PA itself (R+40.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lycoming County, PA181R+41.5
- Centre County, PA113D+2.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lycoming County, PA219
- Centre County, PA134
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +195 |
| 2012 | +184 |
| 2013 | +29 |
| 2014 | −376 |
| 2015 | −151 |
| 2016 | −417 |
| 2017 | −156 |
| 2018 | −160 |
| 2019 | −41 |
| 2021 | +754 |
| 2022 | −119 |
| 2023 | −19 |
| 2024 | +40 |
| 2025 | +127 |
Clinton County's population of under 40,000 is concentrated along the West Branch Susquehanna River, and its presidential margins have swung from competitive to R+40.9 over the past two decades—one of the steeper realignment arcs in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 47.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 37,798, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,816 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Vermillion County and Montgomery County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clinton County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.