- Lead
- 8,060
- Total
- 17,153
- vs nation
- R+45.5
- Turnout
- 70.0%
Elk County, PA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.0% of 24,664 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,618
- Total
- 16,906
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- 70.3%
- Lead
- 6,172
- Total
- 14,547
- vs nation
- R+44.5
- Turnout
- 59.2%
- Lead
- 2,116
- Total
- 13,279
- vs nation
- R+19.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 614
- Total
- 14,271
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,270
- Total
- 14,550
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,593
- Total
- 13,580
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 860
- Total
- 13,013
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,5062024 5-year
- Population density
- 37 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 827 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,3802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cambria County, PA · twin score 81.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 70.0%17,263 participants ÷ 24,664 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 54.9%–56.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17,263 | 24,664 ± 134 | 70.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 13,731 | 24,875 ± 137 | 55.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,041 | 24,244 ± 106 | 70.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 11,424 | 24,506 ± 128 | 46.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,720 | 24,881 ± 133 | 59.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 13,279 | 25,358 | 52.4% | Derived | — | |
| 14,271 | 25,459 | 56.1% | Derived | — | |
| 14,550 | 25,560 extrapolated | 56.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Elk County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Elk County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 61 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 16,433 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0230420470230 | 228 | 928 | 3 | 1,159 | 19.7% | 80.1% | R+60.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0385420470385 | 268 | 883 | 4 | 1,155 | 23.2% | 76.5% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct 0070420470070 | 296 | 817 | 12 | 1,125 | 26.3% | 72.6% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct 0242420470242 | 287 | 771 | 7 | 1,065 | 26.9% | 72.4% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct 0080420470080 | 277 | 767 | 6 | 1,050 | 26.4% | 73.0% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct 0335420470335 | 199 | 740 | 12 | 951 | 20.9% | 77.8% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct 0200420470200 | 182 | 678 | 3 | 863 | 21.1% | 78.6% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct 0365420470365 | 200 | 645 | 5 | 850 | 23.5% | 75.9% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct 0315420470315 | 205 | 600 | 6 | 811 | 25.3% | 74.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 0355420470355 | 160 | 637 | 3 | 800 | 20.0% | 79.6% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct 0250420470250 | 269 | 493 | 7 | 769 | 35.0% | 64.1% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct 0110420470110 | 150 | 612 | 5 | 767 | 19.6% | 79.8% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct 0395420470395 | 212 | 509 | 9 | 730 | 29.0% | 69.7% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct 0375420470375 | 213 | 477 | 5 | 695 | 30.6% | 68.6% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct 0325420470325 | 181 | 430 | 3 | 614 | 29.5% | 70.0% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct 0262420470262 | 157 | 328 | 5 | 490 | 32.0% | 66.9% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0345420470345 | 154 | 288 | 4 | 446 | 34.5% | 64.6% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct 0140420470140 | 107 | 274 | 5 | 386 | 27.7% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct 0220420470220 | 81 | 208 | 4 | 293 | 27.6% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct 0160420470160 | 81 | 171 | 6 | 258 | 31.4% | 66.3% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0150420470150 | 68 | 178 | 1 | 247 | 27.5% | 72.1% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct 0170420470170 | 66 | 158 | 3 | 227 | 29.1% | 69.6% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct 0010420470010 | 35 | 130 | 0 | 165 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct 0100420470100 | 32 | 98 | 1 | 131 | 24.4% | 74.8% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct 0295420470295 | 35 | 94 | 1 | 130 | 26.9% | 72.3% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct 0090420470090 | 28 | 85 | 2 | 115 | 24.3% | 73.9% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct 0210420470210 | 25 | 47 | 0 | 72 | 34.7% | 65.3% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct 0190420470190 | 12 | 56 | 1 | 69 | 17.4% | 81.2% | R+63.8 |
| BENEZETT TWP Voting District42_4204710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOX TWP DIST 0142_4204770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOX TWP DIST 0242_4204780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIGHLAND TWP VTD HIGHLAND42_4204790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HIGHLAND TWP VTD JAMES CITY42_42047100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HORTON TWP Voting District42_42047110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JAY TWP VTD CALEDONIA42_42047120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JAY TWP VTD WEEDVILLE42_42047130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0142_42047140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0242_42047150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0342_42047160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSONBURG DIST 0442_42047170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JONES TWP VTD LAMONT42_42047190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JONES TWP VTD WILCOX42_42047200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLSTONE TWP Voting District42_42047210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0122420470122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY TWP VTD NORTH42_42047220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY TWP VTD SOUTH42_42047230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0142_42047240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0242_42047250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0342_42047260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0442_42047270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGWAY WD 0542_42047280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRING CREEK TWP Voting District42_42047290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0142_42047315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0242_42047325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0342_42047335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0442_42047345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0542_42047355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0642_42047365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0742_42047375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0842_42047385 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. MARYS WD 0942_42047395 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Elk County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.5%
10,455 votes · D+41.1
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · 59.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73.1%
12,543 votes · R+47.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
10,455votes
70.5% of the vote · D+41.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 9,035 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,543votes
73.1% of the vote · R+47.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,140 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+36.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.0 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +18.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+49.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +45.5 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Elk County, PA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Republican than the rolls.
20,462 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,345 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,890 in average income, against $70,663 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.8 on average — 5.8 points more Republican-leaning than Elk County, PA itself (R+47.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, PA41R+58.5
- Clearfield County, PA28R+51.5
- McKean County, PA26R+47.2
- Cameron County, PA22R+50.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clearfield County, PA53
- Jefferson County, PA40
- McKean County, PA35
- Allegheny County, PA29
- Erie County, PA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +25 |
| 2012 | −98 |
| 2013 | −101 |
| 2014 | −223 |
| 2015 | −177 |
| 2016 | −287 |
| 2017 | −147 |
| 2018 | −50 |
| 2019 | −109 |
| 2021 | +6 |
| 2022 | −108 |
| 2023 | −84 |
| 2024 | +9 |
| 2025 | −1 |
Elk County's heavily forested terrain and legacy timber and manufacturing economy underpin a voter profile that broke roughly 73–26 for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, among the widest margins in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.0 points.
A population of 30,506, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,380 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cambria County and Putnam County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Elk County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.