- Lead
- 38,950
- Total
- 269,989
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Turnout
- 58.2%
Providence County, RI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.2% of 473,328 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 62,461
- Total
- 272,667
- vs nation
- D+18.5
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 52,017
- Total
- 248,474
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Lead
- 83,735
- Total
- 239,786
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 86,956
- Total
- 252,553
- vs nation
- D+27.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 62,474
- Total
- 231,324
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 81,091
- Total
- 218,308
- vs nation
- D+36.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 84,965
- Total
- 212,122
- vs nation
- D+31.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 664,8542024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,624 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 410 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,7872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampden County, MA · twin score 93.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 58.2%275,369 participants ÷ 473,328 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 36.1%–41.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275,369 | 473,328 ± 3,887 | 58.2% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 179,259 | 472,702 ± 3,786 | 37.9% | Audited | B/A |
| 274,155 | 456,808 ± 3,131 | 60.0% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 205,079 | 452,478 ± 2,703 | 45.3% | Audited | B/A |
| 251,687 | 445,097 ± 2,278 | 56.5% | Audited | B/A | |
| 239,786 | 434,720 | 55.2% | Derived | — | |
| 252,553 | 429,109 | 58.9% | Derived | — | |
| 231,324 | 423,498 extrapolated | 54.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 16 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 269,679 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -007-Providence007-Providence | 40,830 | 12,745 | 1,905 | 55,480 | 73.6% | 23.0% | D+50.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -007-Cranston007-Cranston | 21,299 | 18,702 | 1,000 | 41,001 | 51.9% | 45.6% | D+6.3 |
| Precinct -007-Pawtucket007-Pawtucket | 15,838 | 7,961 | 719 | 24,518 | 64.6% | 32.5% | D+32.1 |
| Precinct -007-East Providence007-East Providence | 13,852 | 8,649 | 588 | 23,089 | 60.0% | 37.5% | D+22.5 |
| Precinct -007-Cumberland007-Cumberland | 10,218 | 8,853 | 542 | 19,613 | 52.1% | 45.1% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -007-North Providence007-North Providence | 8,613 | 7,496 | 346 | 16,455 | 52.3% | 45.6% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -007-Johnston007-Johnston | 6,265 | 9,230 | 304 | 15,799 | 39.7% | 58.4% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -007-Woonsocket007-Woonsocket | 6,428 | 6,615 | 289 | 13,332 | 48.2% | 49.6% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -007-Lincoln007-Lincoln | 6,344 | 6,037 | 337 | 12,718 | 49.9% | 47.5% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -007-Smithfield007-Smithfield | 5,302 | 6,200 | 287 | 11,789 | 45.0% | 52.6% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -007-Burrillville007-Burrillville | 3,206 | 5,412 | 191 | 8,809 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -007-North Smithfield007-North Smithfield | 3,390 | 3,720 | 173 | 7,283 | 46.5% | 51.1% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -007-Scituate007-Scituate | 2,574 | 4,033 | 162 | 6,769 | 38.0% | 59.6% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -007-Glocester007-Glocester | 2,512 | 3,792 | 132 | 6,436 | 39.0% | 58.9% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -007-Central Falls007-Central Falls | 2,295 | 1,227 | 82 | 3,604 | 63.7% | 34.0% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -007-Foster007-Foster | 1,136 | 1,771 | 77 | 2,984 | 38.1% | 59.3% | R+21.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Providence County, RI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
83.5%
219,465 votes · D+67.0
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 67.6%
Republican
William McKinley1896
66.6%
26,844 votes · R+37.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 61.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
219,465votes
83.5% of the vote · D+67.0
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 189,014 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
153,860votes
55.8% of the vote · R+11.6
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 146,197 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+44.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +40.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+31.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.7 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +14.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Providence County, RI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 5 state senate and 5 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 63.2%154,076 | 36.8%89,903 | 243,979 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Republican than the rolls.
381,895 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−2,765 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −47,731 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,671 in average income, against $78,000 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+17.4 on average — 2.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Providence County, RI itself (D+14.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kent County, RI1,891D+1.9
- Bristol County, MA1,424D+1.3
- Norfolk County, MA691D+28.5
- Suffolk County, MA676D+52.1
- Worcester County, MA570D+10.0
- Middlesex County, MA555D+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kent County, RI2,400
- Bristol County, MA1,087
- Washington County, RI597
- Norfolk County, MA513
- Worcester County, MA497
- Suffolk County, MA474
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3,923 |
| 2012 | −3,750 |
| 2013 | −4,729 |
| 2014 | −3,554 |
| 2015 | −4,420 |
| 2016 | −4,221 |
| 2017 | −4,285 |
| 2018 | −2,907 |
| 2019 | −2,744 |
| 2021 | −2,820 |
| 2022 | −4,383 |
| 2023 | −2,672 |
| 2024 | −558 |
| 2025 | −2,765 |
Home to more than half of Rhode Island's residents, Providence County combines a majority-minority capital city with older post-industrial suburbs, producing consistent Democratic margins that have held above ten points in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.4 points.
A population of 664,854, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,787 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampden County and Camden County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Providence County, Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/44007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.