Bristol County, Massachusetts: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 582,2702024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,6252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marlboro County, SC · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −18.0% |
| 1896 | −54.9% |
| 1900 | −33.5% |
| 1904 | −24.5% |
| 1908 | −29.2% |
| 1912 | −2.3% |
| 1916 | −10.7% |
| 1920 | −50.6% |
| 1924 | −44.0% |
| 1928 | +3.5% |
| 1932 | +10.0% |
| 1936 | +22.0% |
| 1940 | +23.6% |
| 1944 | +19.5% |
| 1948 | +25.2% |
| 1952 | −2.4% |
| 1956 | −15.9% |
| 1960 | +33.8% |
| 1964 | +57.7% |
| 1968 | +34.2% |
| 1972 | +9.9% |
| 1976 | +24.2% |
| 1980 | +3.1% |
| 1984 | +0.4% |
| 1988 | +12.4% |
| 1992 | +23.6% |
| 1996 | +40.6% |
| 2000 | +34.8% |
| 2004 | +28.1% |
| 2008 | +23.2% |
| 2012 | +20.5% |
| 2016 | +9.4% |
| 2020 | +11.9% |
| 2024 | +1.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 137,813 | 134,201 | 278,002 | ||
| D | 153,377 | 119,872 | 281,364 | ||
| D | 129,540 | 105,443 | 256,686 | ||
| D | 143,433 | 93,898 | 241,509 | ||
| D | 146,861 | 90,531 | 243,120 | ||
| D | 147,854 | 82,524 | 232,878 | ||
| D | 136,325 | 62,848 | 211,337 | ||
| D | 127,725 | 47,164 | 198,213 | ||
| D | 102,406 | 52,370 | 211,754 | ||
| D | 107,854 | 83,797 | 193,530 | ||
| D | 94,010 | 93,232 | 188,039 | ||
| D | 83,460 | 77,545 | 188,605 | ||
| D | 116,318 | 69,957 | 191,771 | ||
| D | 103,163 | 84,390 | 188,768 | ||
| D | 119,439 | 56,672 | 183,569 | ||
| D | 146,885 | 39,230 | 186,636 | ||
| D | 130,049 | 64,290 | 194,722 | ||
| R | 79,357 | 109,542 | 189,365 | ||
| R | 93,444 | 98,105 | 192,011 | ||
| D | 106,741 | 63,216 | 172,551 | ||
| D | 90,529 | 60,880 | 151,692 | ||
| D | 97,571 | 60,143 | 158,391 | ||
| D | 80,805 | 49,754 | 141,145 | ||
| D | 62,474 | 50,846 | 116,675 | ||
| D | 59,257 | 55,205 | 115,755 | ||
| R | 19,802 | 58,929 | 88,980 | ||
| R | 17,719 | 56,734 | 77,032 | ||
| R | 18,065 | 22,578 | 42,050 | ||
| R | 12,420 | 13,279 | 37,963 | ||
| R | 10,719 | 20,683 | 34,144 | ||
| R | 11,103 | 18,742 | 31,235 | ||
| R | 9,355 | 19,396 | 29,947 | ||
| R | 6,022 | 21,629 | 28,435 | ||
| R | 10,825 | 15,732 | 27,256 | ||
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Demographics
Bristol County, anchored by cities like New Bedford and Fall River, swung significantly rightward over the past decade — its 2024 presidential margin of D+1.3 made it among the most competitive counties in an otherwise heavily Democratic state.
The Democratic margin here once reached fifty-eight points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 582,270, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,625 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marlboro County and Hampton County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bristol County, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/25005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
