Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLake CountyTennesseeUnited States
American12.3%11.3%5.3%
Irish12.2%9.3%9.4%
German7.0%9.1%12.5%
English7.0%13.3%9.5%
Italian1.2%2.2%4.8%
Polish1.0%—2.2%
Dutch1.0%——
Scotch-Irish0.9%1.7%—
African American†21.8%14.3%9.9%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Mexican1.7%3.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.6%1.8%
Venezuelan0.3%0.2%—
Ecuadorian0.2%——
Native Hawaiian0.1%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lake County
Tennessee
United States
Median age
42.8
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.9%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.3%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lake County
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$28,814
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
32.2%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
9.4%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lake County
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.8%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.7%
5.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lake County
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
—
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
46.6%
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
42.5%
44.5%
51.5%
Black Protestant
5.7%
5.5%
2.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lake County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 1,939 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Lake County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -3 Lake County Middle School3 Lake County Middle School
175
743
7
925
18.9%
80.3%
R+61.4
Precinct -2 Lake County Courthouse2 Lake County Courthouse
243
643
10
896
27.1%
71.8%
R+44.6
Precinct -1 Tiptonville Senior Center1 Tiptonville Senior Center
11
107
0
118
9.3%
90.7%
R+81.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+89.2%
1896
+71.8%
1900
+47.0%
1904
+45.8%
1908
+43.9%
1912
+56.7%
1916
+68.7%
1920
+54.1%
1924
+80.0%
1928
+70.5%
1932
+91.8%
1936
+93.8%
1940
+86.3%
1944
+81.1%
1948
+43.5%
1952
+50.0%
1956
+51.7%
1960
+28.5%
1964
+38.7%
1968
+13.6%
1972
−35.0%
1976
+52.6%
1980
+34.9%
1984
+15.0%
1988
+7.4%
1992
+33.3%
1996
+34.5%
2000
+28.7%
2004
+11.7%
2008
−6.7%
2012
−13.4%
2016
−39.6%
2020
−47.5%
2024
−54.9%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
22.1%Harris429
77.0%Trump1,493
0.4%Kennedy8 +4
R+54.9
R+7.4
R+53.4
1,939
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican77.0%1,493
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.1%429
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.4%8
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%3
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%2
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%2
Rachele FruitIndependent0.1%2
R
25.9%Biden526
73.4%Trump1,492
0.4%Jorgensen9
R+47.5
R+7.9
R+51.9
2,034
R
29.3%Clinton577
68.9%Trump1,357
0.9%Johnson18
R+39.6
R+26.2
R+41.7
1,970
R
42.4%Obama884
55.7%Romney1,163
1.9%
R+13.4
R+6.6
R+17.2
2,087
R
45.8%Obama1,024
52.5%McCain1,175
1.7%
R+6.7
R+18.5
R+14.0
2,238
D
55.6%Kerry1,317
43.8%Bush1,039
0.6%
D+11.7
R+17.0
D+14.2
2,370
D
63.8%Gore1,419
35.1%Bush781
0.5%Nader11
D+28.7
R+5.8
D+28.2
2,224
D
64.2%Clinton1,273
29.7%Dole589
5.5%Perot110
D+34.5
D+1.2
D+26.0
1,982
D
62.8%Clinton1,449
29.5%Bush680
6.5%Perot151
D+33.3
D+26.0
D+27.8
2,306
D
53.4%Dukakis935
46.1%Bush806
0.5%
D+7.4
R+7.6
D+15.1
1,750
D
56.9%Mondale1,191
42.0%Reagan878
1.1%
D+15.0
R+20.0
D+33.2
2,092
D
67.0%Carter1,718
32.1%Reagan823
0.9%
D+34.9
R+17.7
D+44.7
2,563
D
75.8%Carter1,933
23.2%Ford591
1.0%
D+52.6
D+87.6
D+50.6
2,549
R
30.7%McGovern536
65.7%Nixon1,147
3.6%
R+35.0
R+48.6
R+11.8
1,746
O
30.6%Humphrey737
17.0%Nixon409
52.4%
Wallace +21.8
R+25.1
D+14.3
2,408
D
69.4%Johnson1,667
30.6%Goldwater736
0.0%
D+38.7
D+10.2
D+16.2
2,403
D
62.6%Kennedy1,346
34.0%Nixon732
3.4%
D+28.5
R+23.1
D+28.4
2,151
D
74.5%Stevenson1,673
22.8%Eisenhower512
2.7%
D+51.7
D+1.7
D+67.1
2,246
D
74.7%Stevenson1,475
24.7%Eisenhower487
0.7%
D+50.0
D+6.5
D+60.8
1,975
D
55.5%Truman833
11.9%Dewey179
32.6%
D+43.5
R+37.6
D+39.1
1,502
D
90.6%Roosevelt1,440
9.4%Dewey150
0.0%
D+81.1
R+5.1
D+73.6
1,590
D
92.9%Roosevelt2,962
6.7%Willkie213
0.4%
D+86.3
R+7.6
D+76.3
3,187
D
96.9%Roosevelt3,604
3.0%Landon113
0.1%
D+93.8
D+2.0
D+69.6
3,720
D
95.9%Roosevelt1,824
4.1%Hoover78
0.0%
D+91.8
D+21.3
D+74.0
1,902
D
85.3%Smith960
14.7%Hoover166
0.0%
D+70.5
R+9.4
D+88.0
1,126
D
89.5%Davis817
9.5%Coolidge87
0.9%La Follette8
D+80.0
D+25.8
D+105.1
913
D
76.8%Cox1,192
22.7%Harding352
0.5%
D+54.1
R+14.6
D+80.3
1,552
D
83.7%Wilson727
15.0%Hughes130
1.4%
D+68.7
D+12.0
D+65.6
869
D
75.0%Wilson499
18.3%Taft122
6.6%
D+56.7
D+12.8
D+37.1
665
D
71.3%Bryan464
27.3%Taft178
1.4%
D+43.9
R+1.9
D+53.5
651
D
72.8%Parker469
27.0%Roosevelt174
0.2%
D+45.8
R+1.2
D+65.5
644
D
73.5%Bryan558
26.5%McKinley201
0.0%
D+47.0
R+24.8
D+54.6
759
D
85.0%Bryan811
13.2%McKinley126
1.8%
D+71.8
R+17.4
D+77.9
954
D
90.3%Cleveland468
1.2%Harrison6
8.5%
D+89.2
—
D+87.5
518
—
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No data
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No data
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No data
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No data
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
21.0%384
77.3%1,414
1,830
2020
R
25.5%493
70.5%1,361
1,930
2018
R
33.8%490
64.1%930
1,451
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Lake County, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
3,785
2018
3,722
2020
3,411
2022
3,367
2024
3,414
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−29 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −955 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $33,556 in average income, against $51,066 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+62.8 on average — 7.9 points more Republican-leaning than Lake County, TN itself (R+54.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Dyer County, TN44R+61.8
Obion County, TN21R+64.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Dyer County, TN43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Lake County, TN in Lake County, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+2
2012
−64
2013
+12
2014
+4
2015
−43
2016
−35
2017
−40
2018
−16
2019
−360
2021
−313
2022
−14
2023
−70
2024
+11
2025
−29
Lake County, hugging the Mississippi River in the state's northwest corner, recorded an R+54.9 margin in 2024 despite a population under 8,000 — making it a study in how rural river-bottom communities vote at near-uniform rates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 54.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.9 points.
A population of 6,579, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $28,814 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pemiscot County and New Madrid County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Lake County, Tennessee voted Republican by 54.9 points (R+54.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,939 votes cast, 429 went Democratic and 1,493 went Republican.
When did Lake County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lake County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Lake County, Tennessee?
Lake County, Tennessee has a population of 6,579 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Lake County, Tennessee is $28,814 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Lake County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lake County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
