New Madrid County, Missouri: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+53%. Democratic peak: D+62 in 1948.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 15,7312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,8812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62 in 1948MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mississippi County, MO · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +51.9% |
| 1896 | +54.6% |
| 1900 | +34.6% |
| 1904 | +15.3% |
| 1908 | +11.5% |
| 1912 | +7.5% |
| 1916 | +13.9% |
| 1920 | −1.4% |
| 1924 | +1.8% |
| 1928 | −6.7% |
| 1932 | +34.9% |
| 1936 | +21.2% |
| 1940 | +20.5% |
| 1944 | +29.9% |
| 1948 | +62.1% |
| 1952 | +38.1% |
| 1956 | +40.7% |
| 1960 | +27.4% |
| 1964 | +48.3% |
| 1968 | +19.8% |
| 1972 | −15.0% |
| 1976 | +31.0% |
| 1980 | +1.6% |
| 1984 | −6.8% |
| 1988 | +5.9% |
| 1992 | +29.6% |
| 1996 | +26.9% |
| 2000 | +4.4% |
| 2004 | −5.5% |
| 2008 | −15.1% |
| 2012 | −20.3% |
| 2016 | −45.4% |
| 2020 | −51.0% |
| 2024 | −53.5% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,561 | 5,203 | 6,811 | ||
| R | 1,748 | 5,447 | 7,250 | ||
| R | 1,933 | 5,270 | 7,357 | ||
| R | 2,814 | 4,284 | 7,250 | ||
| R | 3,370 | 4,593 | 8,092 | ||
| R | 3,716 | 4,154 | 7,907 | ||
| D | 3,738 | 3,416 | 7,266 | ||
| D | 4,451 | 2,417 | 7,570 | ||
| D | 4,883 | 2,431 | 8,289 | ||
| D | 3,812 | 3,387 | 7,208 | ||
| R | 3,776 | 4,323 | 8,099 | ||
| D | 4,171 | 4,041 | 8,298 | ||
| D | 5,319 | 2,798 | 8,136 | ||
| R | 3,500 | 4,735 | 8,235 | ||
| D | 4,195 | 2,317 | 9,496 | ||
| D | 7,415 | 2,583 | 9,998 | ||
| D | 7,373 | 4,205 | 11,578 | ||
| D | 8,419 | 3,552 | 11,971 | ||
| D | 8,504 | 3,809 | 12,329 | ||
| D | 8,925 | 2,082 | 11,018 | ||
| D | 7,626 | 4,108 | 11,752 | ||
| D | 9,591 | 6,318 | 15,933 | ||
| D | 7,791 | 5,056 | 12,872 | ||
| D | 7,837 | 3,768 | 11,652 | ||
| R | 4,153 | 4,750 | 8,925 | ||
| D | 4,167 | 4,018 | 8,312 | ||
| R | 3,637 | 3,745 | 7,498 | ||
| D | 2,715 | 2,039 | 4,879 | ||
| D | 1,945 | 1,607 | 4,519 | ||
| D | 1,824 | 1,436 | 3,375 | ||
| D | 1,257 | 922 | 2,196 | ||
| D | 1,379 | 668 | 2,052 | ||
| D | 1,639 | 480 | 2,121 | ||
| D | 1,215 | 361 | 1,647 | ||
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Demographics
New Madrid County, anchored by the Missouri Bootheel's agricultural flatlands, has shifted from a competitive rural Democrat stronghold to one of the state's most one-sided presidential counties over the past two decades, reflecting a broader realignment across the rural Midwest.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at sixty-two points in 1948 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2004 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by six points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-three points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $51,881 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 18% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mississippi County and Randolph County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
New Madrid County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29143/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
