HarrisDemocratic22.9%1,561TrumpRepublican76.4%5,203OliverLibertarian0.5%34
R+53.5- Lead
- 3,642
- Total
- 6,811
- vs nation
- R+52.0
- Turnout
- 57.1%
Akashiccounty
New Madrid County, MO
Contests in this Place (91 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.1% of 11,928 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic24.1%1,748TrumpRepublican75.1%5,447JorgensenLibertarian0.6%43
R+51.0- Lead
- 3,699
- Total
- 7,250
- vs nation
- R+55.5
- Turnout
- 55.4%
ClintonDemocratic26.3%1,933TrumpRepublican71.6%5,270JohnsonLibertarian1.4%106
R+45.4- Lead
- 3,337
- Total
- 7,357
- vs nation
- R+47.4
- Turnout
- 53.6%
ObamaDemocratic38.8%2,814RomneyRepublican59.1%4,284GrayLibertarian1.8%127
R+20.3- Lead
- 1,470
- Total
- 7,250
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.6%3,370McCainRepublican56.8%4,593OtherAll other candidates1.6%129
R+15.1- Lead
- 1,223
- Total
- 8,092
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.0%3,716BushRepublican52.5%4,154OtherAll other candidates0.5%37
R+5.5- Lead
- 438
- Total
- 7,907
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic51.4%3,738BushRepublican47.0%3,416NaderGreen0.6%45
D+4.4- Lead
- 322
- Total
- 7,266
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic58.8%4,451DoleRepublican31.9%2,417PerotReform8.8%663
D+26.9- Lead
- 2,034
- Total
- 7,570
- vs nation
- D+18.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,7312024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 675 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,8812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.1 in 1948MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lake County, TN · twin score 89.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 57.1%6,811 participants ÷ 11,928 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 40.9%–43.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,811 | 11,928 ± 82 | 57.1% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,871 | 12,429 ± 63 | 39.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,315 | 13,199 ± 90 | 55.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,786 | 13,580 ± 65 | 42.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,439 | 13,886 ± 58 | 53.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 7,250 | 14,134 | 51.3% | Derived | — | |
| 8,092 | 13,359 | 60.6% | Derived | — | |
| 7,907 | 12,584 extrapolated | 62.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 12 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 6,811 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BIG PRAIRIE 4 (0204)BIG PRAIRIE 4 (0204) | 314 | 728 | 4 | 1,046 | 30.0% | 69.6% | R+39.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PORTAGE 2 (0902)PORTAGE 2 (0902) | 158 | 645 | 7 | 810 | 19.5% | 79.6% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -BIG PRAIRIE 1-2, BIG PRAIRIE 3, WEST 3-4BIG PRAIRIE 1-2, BIG PRAIRIE 3, WEST 3-4 | 117 | 665 | 7 | 789 | 14.8% | 84.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -PORTAGE 1, LESIEUR 1PORTAGE 1, LESIEUR 1 | 144 | 583 | 5 | 732 | 19.7% | 79.6% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -NEW MADRID 2, 4 AND 5NEW MADRID 2, 4 AND 5 | 133 | 430 | 3 | 566 | 23.5% | 76.0% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -COMO 1-2, COMO 3-4COMO 1-2, COMO 3-4 | 128 | 400 | 5 | 533 | 24.0% | 75.0% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -ANDERSON 1-2, PORTAGE 3ANDERSON 1-2, PORTAGE 3 | 77 | 446 | 6 | 529 | 14.6% | 84.3% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -COMO 5, LEWIS 1-2-5COMO 5, LEWIS 1-2-5 | 145 | 263 | 3 | 411 | 35.3% | 64.0% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -LEWIS 3-4, NEW MADRID 1LEWIS 3-4, NEW MADRID 1 | 132 | 262 | 2 | 396 | 33.3% | 66.2% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -WEST 1-2WEST 1-2 | 51 | 307 | 2 | 360 | 14.2% | 85.3% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -LAFONT 1-2-3LAFONT 1-2-3 | 78 | 242 | 3 | 323 | 24.1% | 74.9% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -NEW MADRID 3 (0803)NEW MADRID 3 (0803) | 84 | 232 | 0 | 316 | 26.6% | 73.4% | R+46.8 |
presidential history
Party record book
New Madrid County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
81.0%
8,925 votes · D+62.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 77.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.4%
5,203 votes · R+53.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
9,591votes
60.2% of the vote · D+20.5
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 8,925 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
6,318votes
39.7% of the vote · D+20.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,447 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+60.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.6 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +57.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+55.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +52.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJason BeanState Senate · 25
Seats representing New Madrid County, MO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,797 |
| 2018 | 11,529 |
| 2020 | 11,623 |
| 2022 | 11,219 |
| 2024 | 11,565 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−126 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,461 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,858 in average income, against $60,303 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.9 on average — 6.5 points more Republican-leaning than New Madrid County, MO itself (R+53.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Scott County, MO120R+58.9
- Stoddard County, MO32R+73.9
- Dunklin County, MO27R+61.8
- Pemiscot County, MO23R+49.1
- Mississippi County, MO20R+53.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Scott County, MO124
- Cape Girardeau County, MO38
- Dunklin County, MO37
- Pemiscot County, MO29
- Stoddard County, MO25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −135 |
| 2012 | −253 |
| 2013 | −138 |
| 2014 | −111 |
| 2015 | −132 |
| 2016 | −229 |
| 2017 | −295 |
| 2018 | −253 |
| 2019 | −160 |
| 2021 | −167 |
| 2022 | −212 |
| 2023 | −179 |
| 2024 | −71 |
| 2025 | −126 |
New Madrid County, anchored by the Missouri Bootheel's agricultural flatlands, has shifted from a competitive rural Democrat stronghold to one of the state's most one-sided presidential counties over the past two decades, reflecting a broader realignment across the rural Midwest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.1 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.5 points.
A population of 15,731, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,881 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lake County and Pemiscot County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lake County
Tennessee
89.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% Evangelical≠ 2000 margin
Pemiscot County
Missouri
88.1twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2000 margin≠ Irish ancestry
McIntosh County
Oklahoma
87.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% Evangelical≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Madrid County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29143/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in New Madrid County
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Frequently asked questions
How did New Madrid County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Madrid County, Missouri voted Republican by 53.5 points (R+53.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,811 votes cast, 1,561 went Democratic and 5,203 went Republican.
When did New Madrid County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Madrid County, Missouri voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in New Madrid County, Missouri?
New Madrid County, Missouri has a population of 15,731 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Madrid County, Missouri?
Median household income in New Madrid County, Missouri is $51,881 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of New Madrid County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Madrid County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.