Sullivan County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 75,541 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -11A11A | 1,673 | 3,658 | 72 | 5,403 | 31.0% | 67.7% | R+36.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -4A4A | 927 | 4,309 | 44 | 5,280 | 17.6% | 81.6% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -6A6A | 938 | 4,056 | 44 | 5,038 | 18.6% | 80.5% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -5A5A | 845 | 3,308 | 51 | 4,204 | 20.1% | 78.7% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -8A8A | 881 | 3,270 | 43 | 4,194 | 21.0% | 78.0% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -9A9A | 830 | 3,087 | 32 | 3,949 | 21.0% | 78.2% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -2A2A | 1,046 | 2,651 | 46 | 3,743 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -10A10A | 958 | 2,621 | 39 | 3,618 | 26.5% | 72.4% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -6B6B | 641 | 2,786 | 26 | 3,453 | 18.6% | 80.7% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -7A7A | 838 | 2,380 | 37 | 3,255 | 25.7% | 73.1% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -2B2B | 805 | 2,105 | 51 | 2,961 | 27.2% | 71.1% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -3A3A | 776 | 2,139 | 42 | 2,957 | 26.2% | 72.3% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -1A1A | 463 | 2,353 | 21 | 2,837 | 16.3% | 82.9% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -7B7B | 541 | 1,977 | 16 | 2,534 | 21.3% | 78.0% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -8B8B | 407 | 2,061 | 20 | 2,488 | 16.4% | 82.8% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -4B4B | 381 | 2,085 | 16 | 2,482 | 15.4% | 84.0% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -11B11B | 886 | 1,560 | 27 | 2,473 | 35.8% | 63.1% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -2C2C | 488 | 1,820 | 23 | 2,331 | 20.9% | 78.1% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -5B5B | 401 | 1,762 | 21 | 2,184 | 18.4% | 80.7% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -10B10B | 412 | 1,743 | 23 | 2,178 | 18.9% | 80.0% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -6C6C | 293 | 1,622 | 15 | 1,930 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -4C4C | 304 | 1,584 | 9 | 1,897 | 16.0% | 83.5% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -9B9B | 503 | 1,207 | 17 | 1,727 | 29.1% | 69.9% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -7C7C | 273 | 1,331 | 21 | 1,625 | 16.8% | 81.9% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -5C5C | 114 | 679 | 7 | 800 | 14.2% | 84.9% | R+70.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +24.9% |
| 1896 | +13.3% |
| 1900 | +16.2% |
| 1904 | +16.6% |
| 1908 | +13.1% |
| 1912 | +44.3% |
| 1916 | +18.8% |
| 1920 | +9.3% |
| 1924 | +19.0% |
| 1928 | −12.7% |
| 1932 | +27.5% |
| 1936 | +28.4% |
| 1940 | +27.0% |
| 1944 | +9.2% |
| 1948 | +4.2% |
| 1952 | −13.6% |
| 1956 | −14.3% |
| 1960 | −20.3% |
| 1964 | +4.8% |
| 1968 | −26.2% |
| 1972 | −45.7% |
| 1976 | +2.7% |
| 1980 | −7.2% |
| 1984 | −36.4% |
| 1988 | −30.6% |
| 1992 | −13.8% |
| 1996 | −16.2% |
| 2000 | −21.8% |
| 2004 | −36.6% |
| 2008 | −41.3% |
| 2012 | −47.2% |
| 2016 | −55.2% |
| 2020 | −51.9% |
| 2024 | −55.0% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 96,771 |
| 2018 | 96,284 |
| 2020 | 107,128 |
| 2022 | 110,735 |
| 2024 | 116,940 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,906 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +16,603 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,048 in average income, against $73,436 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+48.5 on average — 6.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Sullivan County, TN itself (R+55.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washington County, TN768R+39.5
- Hawkins County, TN425R+68.8
- Washington County, VA221R+53.1
- Carter County, TN189R+63.2
- Bristol city, VA183R+39.6
- Scott County, VA115R+70.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washington County, TN837
- Hawkins County, TN412
- Bristol city, VA205
- Carter County, TN203
- Washington County, VA183
- Knox County, TN118
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +533 |
| 2012 | −44 |
| 2013 | +363 |
| 2014 | +684 |
| 2015 | +359 |
| 2016 | +582 |
| 2017 | +1,288 |
| 2018 | +1,296 |
| 2019 | +1,220 |
| 2021 | +2,203 |
| 2022 | +2,757 |
| 2023 | +2,021 |
| 2024 | +1,435 |
| 2025 | +1,906 |
Sullivan County anchors the Tri-Cities region of northeast Tennessee, where a blue-collar manufacturing and healthcare workforce has moved steadily toward Republican dominance over the past two decades, producing some of the widest presidential margins in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.0 points.
A population of 160,624, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,807 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walker County and Sevier County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sullivan County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47163/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.