Bailey County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted R+61%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,9132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,4202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 66.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Owyhee County, ID · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Bailey CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Bailey County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | +41.2% |
| 1928 | −48.6% |
| 1932 | +78.0% |
| 1936 | +60.1% |
| 1940 | +52.7% |
| 1944 | +40.1% |
| 1948 | +60.7% |
| 1952 | −3.7% |
| 1956 | +18.7% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +17.4% |
| 1968 | −13.8% |
| 1972 | −59.5% |
| 1976 | +3.8% |
| 1980 | −38.0% |
| 1984 | −46.6% |
| 1988 | −24.9% |
| 1992 | −26.7% |
| 1996 | −26.1% |
| 2000 | −52.7% |
| 2004 | −56.3% |
| 2008 | −40.4% |
| 2012 | −48.1% |
| 2016 | −52.8% |
| 2020 | −55.1% |
| 2024 | −61.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 332 | 1,395 | 1,741 | ||
| R | 409 | 1,434 | 1,860 | ||
| R | 397 | 1,344 | 1,793 | ||
| R | 466 | 1,339 | 1,816 | ||
| R | 682 | 1,618 | 2,316 | ||
| R | 525 | 1,882 | 2,412 | ||
| R | 488 | 1,589 | 2,090 | ||
| R | 706 | 1,246 | 2,066 | ||
| R | 677 | 1,308 | 2,365 | ||
| R | 876 | 1,459 | 2,343 | ||
| R | 684 | 1,888 | 2,586 | ||
| R | 800 | 1,809 | 2,655 | ||
| D | 1,356 | 1,255 | 2,627 | ||
| R | 465 | 1,837 | 2,305 | ||
| R | 820 | 1,174 | 2,558 | ||
| D | 1,503 | 1,056 | 2,562 | ||
| R | 1,064 | 1,180 | 2,271 | ||
| D | 1,274 | 871 | 2,151 | ||
| R | 1,039 | 1,118 | 2,162 | ||
| D | 1,115 | 234 | 1,452 | ||
| D | 943 | 358 | 1,458 | ||
| D | 1,066 | 330 | 1,397 | ||
| D | 788 | 191 | 993 | ||
| D | 851 | 104 | 958 | ||
| R | 142 | 410 | 552 | ||
| D | 166 | 63 | 250 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
5.0%
German
2.7%
American
2.4%
Irish
2.1%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
0.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$61,420
Bailey County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Bailey County$61,420
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Bailey County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.0%
Working age (18–64)9.9%
Seniors (65+)25.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
47.3%
speak English only
Spanish49.6%
Other Indo-European3.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Bailey County's flat, agricultural landscape anchors an economy built on cotton and feedlots, and its small, majority-Hispanic population has nonetheless produced some of the widest Republican margins on the southern High Plains.
Bailey County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of seventy-eight points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved six points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $61,420, and a population of 6,913. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Owyhee County and Colfax County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bailey County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bailey County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bailey County, Texas voted Republican by 61.1 points (R+61), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,741 votes cast, 332 went Democratic and 1,395 went Republican.
What is Bailey County, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Bailey County, Texas in the "New American" typology — Communities where a large share of households speak a language other than English — multilingual, Democratic-leaning overall, yet the hardest-swinging bloc toward the Republican Party in 2024. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bailey County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bailey County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bailey County, Texas?
Bailey County, Texas has a population of 6,913 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bailey County, Texas?
Median household income in Bailey County, Texas is $61,420 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Bailey County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bailey County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The county's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.