- Lead
- 8,407
- Total
- 13,600
- vs nation
- R+60.3
- Turnout
- 76.9%
Bandera County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 76.9% of 17,729 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,552
- Total
- 12,726
- vs nation
- R+63.8
- Turnout
- 70.6%
- Lead
- 6,437
- Total
- 10,218
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Turnout
- 60.9%
- Lead
- 5,562
- Total
- 9,448
- vs nation
- R+62.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,685
- Total
- 9,297
- vs nation
- R+57.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,195
- Total
- 8,741
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,187
- Total
- 7,273
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,317
- Total
- 5,673
- vs nation
- R+49.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,0212024 5-year
- Population density
- 28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 791 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,8132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kerr County, TX · twin score 92.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 76.9%13,630 participants ÷ 17,729 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.0 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off vs state
- -10.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 67.9%–69.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,630 | 17,729 ± 359 | 76.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 10,513 | 17,068 ± 342 | 61.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,888 | 18,260 ± 398 | 70.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,619 | 17,401 ± 373 | 55.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,345 | 16,993 ± 297 | 60.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 9,448 | 16,073 | 58.8% | Derived | — | |
| 9,297 | 15,674 | 59.3% | Derived | — | |
| 8,741 | 15,275 extrapolated | 57.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Bandera County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Bandera County result
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Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
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Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 10 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 13,600 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 407Precinct 407 | 372 | 1,899 | 15 | 2,286 | 16.3% | 83.1% | R+66.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 415 | 1,757 | 19 | 2,191 | 18.9% | 80.2% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 305Precinct 305 | 338 | 1,740 | 24 | 2,102 | 16.1% | 82.8% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 395 | 1,339 | 15 | 1,749 | 22.6% | 76.6% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 262 | 1,132 | 18 | 1,412 | 18.6% | 80.2% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 314 | 1,038 | 9 | 1,361 | 23.1% | 76.3% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 306Precinct 306 | 175 | 987 | 11 | 1,173 | 14.9% | 84.1% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 409Precinct 409 | 124 | 520 | 14 | 658 | 18.8% | 79.0% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 410Precinct 410 | 81 | 350 | 3 | 434 | 18.7% | 80.6% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 408Precinct 408 | 56 | 177 | 1 | 234 | 23.9% | 75.6% | R+51.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Bandera County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
75.3%
536 votes · D+57.3
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 71.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.4%
10,939 votes · R+61.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 80.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,532votes
18.6% of the vote · R+61.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,505 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,939votes
80.4% of the vote · R+61.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,057 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+77.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.3 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +45.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+65.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +63.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Bandera County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,759 |
| 2018 | 15,333 |
| 2020 | 17,098 |
| 2022 | 17,963 |
| 2024 | 19,026 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+247 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,513 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $98,800 in average income, against $96,885 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.1 on average — 55 points more Democratic-leaning than Bandera County, TX itself (R+61.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX321D+9.7
- Kendall County, TX54R+55.6
- Kerr County, TX51R+54.3
- Harris County, TX25D+5.5
- Medina County, TX20R+42.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX195
- Kerr County, TX53
- Kendall County, TX37
- Medina County, TX35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +9 |
| 2012 | +45 |
| 2013 | +7 |
| 2014 | +327 |
| 2015 | +374 |
| 2016 | +608 |
| 2017 | +657 |
| 2018 | +541 |
| 2019 | +370 |
| 2021 | +766 |
| 2022 | +662 |
| 2023 | +597 |
| 2024 | +303 |
| 2025 | +247 |
Bandera County, a sparsely populated ranching and tourism hub west of San Antonio, has delivered presidential margins above R+60 in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily rural, Anglo demographic that dominates the Texas Hill Country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.3 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 63.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.8 points.
A population of 22,021, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,813 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kerr County and Gillespie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bandera County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.