Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBaylor CountyTexasUnited States
English12.5%7.9%9.5%
German11.6%8.3%12.5%
Irish10.7%6.0%9.4%
American9.1%4.6%5.3%
Czech5.9%——
Scottish2.2%1.3%1.3%
Italian1.1%1.9%4.8%
French0.9%1.5%1.6%
Mexican11.9%32.1%11.3%
Spanish0.5%——
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
Native Hawaiian0.5%——
African American†1.1%10.3%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Baylor County
Texas
United States
Median age
48.1
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
4.9%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
27.2%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Baylor County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$45,370
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
21.8%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.3%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Baylor County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.5%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
8.2%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Baylor County
Texas
United States
Catholic
20.9%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
59.5%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
3.3%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
10.4%
4.5%
5.2%
Latter-day Saints
5.9%
1.2%
2.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Baylor County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 1,672 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Baylor County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
37
431
5
473
7.8%
91.1%
R+83.3
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
34
394
2
430
7.9%
91.6%
R+83.7
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
63
346
5
414
15.2%
83.6%
R+68.4
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
49
298
8
355
13.8%
83.9%
R+70.1
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+80.9%
1908
+79.4%
1912
+75.4%
1916
+79.4%
1920
+57.4%
1924
+75.4%
1928
+23.0%
1932
+92.6%
1936
+87.8%
1940
+84.6%
1944
+81.9%
1948
+84.8%
1952
+13.0%
1956
+18.8%
1960
+25.4%
1964
+56.5%
1968
+18.8%
1972
−33.1%
1976
+25.9%
1980
+3.7%
1984
−12.6%
1988
+11.5%
1992
+17.8%
1996
+4.6%
2000
−31.4%
2004
−42.8%
2008
−54.5%
2012
−64.7%
2016
−71.8%
2020
−77.0%
2024
−76.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
11.0%Harris184
87.8%Trump1,471
0.5%Stein8 +2
R+76.8
D+0.2
R+75.4
1,675
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican87.8%1,471
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic11.0%184
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%8
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%7
OtherAll other candidates0.3%5
R
10.8%Biden183
87.8%Trump1,494
1.3%Jorgensen22
R+77.0
R+5.2
R+81.5
1,702
R
12.7%Clinton191
84.5%Trump1,267
2.1%Johnson31
R+71.8
R+7.1
R+73.9
1,499
R
16.8%Obama267
81.5%Romney1,297
1.4%Gray23
R+64.7
R+10.2
R+68.6
1,592
R
22.3%Obama366
76.8%McCain1,262
0.9%
R+54.5
R+11.7
R+61.8
1,643
R
28.5%Kerry467
71.3%Bush1,169
0.2%
R+42.8
R+11.5
R+40.3
1,640
R
33.4%Gore663
64.8%Bush1,285
1.3%Nader26
R+31.4
R+35.9
R+31.9
1,984
D
45.8%Clinton955
41.2%Dole860
12.6%Perot262
D+4.6
R+13.2
R+4.0
2,086
D
46.4%Clinton990
28.7%Bush611
24.8%Perot529
D+17.8
D+6.2
D+12.2
2,132
D
55.7%Dukakis1,153
44.2%Bush914
0.1%
D+11.5
D+24.1
D+19.3
2,070
R
43.4%Mondale1,019
56.0%Reagan1,314
0.6%
R+12.6
R+16.3
D+5.6
2,346
D
51.3%Carter1,183
47.6%Reagan1,098
1.1%
D+3.7
R+22.2
D+13.4
2,306
D
62.7%Carter1,335
36.8%Ford783
0.6%
D+25.9
D+59.0
D+23.9
2,130
R
33.4%McGovern598
66.5%Nixon1,190
0.1%
R+33.1
R+51.9
R+9.9
1,789
D
49.2%Humphrey1,064
30.4%Nixon657
20.5%
D+18.8
R+37.7
D+19.5
2,164
D
78.2%Johnson1,403
21.7%Goldwater389
0.1%
D+56.5
D+31.1
D+33.9
1,794
D
62.7%Kennedy1,199
37.3%Nixon713
0.1%
D+25.4
D+6.6
D+25.2
1,913
D
59.3%Stevenson1,047
40.5%Eisenhower715
0.2%
D+18.8
D+5.8
D+34.2
1,766
D
56.4%Stevenson1,142
43.4%Eisenhower879
0.1%
D+13.0
R+71.8
D+23.8
2,024
D
90.8%Truman1,522
6.0%Dewey101
3.2%
D+84.8
D+2.8
D+80.3
1,676
D
87.6%Roosevelt1,568
5.7%Dewey102
6.7%
D+81.9
R+2.6
D+74.5
1,789
D
92.3%Roosevelt1,667
7.7%Willkie139
0.1%
D+84.6
R+3.2
D+74.6
1,807
D
93.8%Roosevelt1,541
6.1%Landon100
0.1%
D+87.8
R+4.8
D+63.5
1,642
D
96.2%Roosevelt1,437
3.7%Hoover55
0.1%
D+92.6
D+69.6
D+74.8
1,493
D
61.5%Smith784
38.5%Hoover491
0.0%
D+23.0
R+52.4
D+40.4
1,275
D
87.0%Davis1,012
11.6%Coolidge135
1.4%La Follette16
D+75.4
D+18.0
D+100.6
1,163
D
73.6%Cox632
16.2%Harding139
10.2%
D+57.4
R+22.0
D+83.6
859
D
85.0%Wilson711
5.6%Hughes47
9.3%
D+79.4
D+4.0
D+76.3
836
D
77.5%Wilson551
2.1%Taft15
20.4%
D+75.4
R+4.0
D+55.8
711
D
87.1%Bryan600
7.7%Taft53
5.2%
D+79.4
R+1.5
D+88.9
689
D
87.1%Parker446
6.3%Roosevelt32
6.6%
D+80.9
—
D+100.5
512
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
11.9%198
85.7%1,431
1,669
2020
R
10.5%177
87.1%1,462
1,678
2018
R
12.6%156
86.7%1,072
1,237
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Baylor County, TX
Year
Total registered
2018
2,330
2020
2,408
2022
2,381
2024
2,430
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+18 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +135 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,531 in average income, against $75,391 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Baylor County, TX in Baylor County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+6
2012
−75
2013
+18
2014
−9
2015
+64
2016
+47
2017
−52
2018
+44
2019
−49
2021
+34
2022
+34
2023
+32
2024
+23
2025
+18
This sparsely populated ranching county in north-central Texas recorded an R+76.8 margin in 2024, making it among the most one-sided presidential results in the state. Fewer than 4,100 residents live across its 871 square miles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 92.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 77.0 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 76.8 points.
A population of 3,485, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,370 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Eastland County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Baylor County, Texas voted Republican by 76.8 points (R+76.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,675 votes cast, 184 went Democratic and 1,471 went Republican.
When did Baylor County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baylor County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Baylor County, Texas?
Baylor County, Texas has a population of 3,485 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baylor County, Texas?
Median household income in Baylor County, Texas is $45,370 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Baylor County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baylor County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.