- Lead
- 17,840
- Total
- 36,644
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Turnout
- 54.1%
Bowie County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.1% of 67,967 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 16,369
- Total
- 38,261
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Turnout
- 55.1%
- Lead
- 16,086
- Total
- 34,602
- vs nation
- R+48.6
- Turnout
- 50.6%
- Lead
- 14,673
- Total
- 35,404
- vs nation
- R+45.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,347
- Total
- 35,186
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,911
- Total
- 33,760
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,663
- Total
- 30,320
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 29,270
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,1152024 5-year
- Population density
- 104 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 885 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,8032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morgan County, AL · twin score 89.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 54.1%36,783 participants ÷ 67,967 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 37.8%–41.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36,783 | 67,967 ± 637 | 54.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 26,691 | 68,680 ± 577 | 38.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 38,320 | 69,491 ± 633 | 55.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 28,663 | 69,118 ± 573 | 41.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 34,917 | 68,994 ± 542 | 50.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 35,404 | 68,342 | 51.8% | Derived | — | |
| 35,186 | 67,269 | 52.3% | Derived | — | |
| 33,760 | 66,196 extrapolated | 51.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Bowie County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Bowie County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 49 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
49 precincts · 36,711 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 5CPrecinct 5C | 807 | 2,396 | 33 | 3,236 | 24.9% | 74.0% | R+49.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 834 | 1,562 | 25 | 2,421 | 34.4% | 64.5% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8BPrecinct 8B | 490 | 1,573 | 20 | 2,083 | 23.5% | 75.5% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 242 | 1,664 | 16 | 1,922 | 12.6% | 86.6% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 361 | 1,327 | 11 | 1,699 | 21.2% | 78.1% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 546 | 1,065 | 13 | 1,624 | 33.6% | 65.6% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 266 | 1,280 | 8 | 1,554 | 17.1% | 82.4% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6APrecinct 6A | 440 | 1,064 | 20 | 1,524 | 28.9% | 69.8% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6BPrecinct 6B | 340 | 1,128 | 16 | 1,484 | 22.9% | 76.0% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 238 | 1,198 | 9 | 1,445 | 16.5% | 82.9% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11APrecinct 11A | 169 | 1,184 | 9 | 1,362 | 12.4% | 86.9% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 140 | 1,170 | 10 | 1,320 | 10.6% | 88.6% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 76 | 883 | 5 | 964 | 7.9% | 91.6% | R+83.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8CPrecinct 8C | 150 | 734 | 6 | 890 | 16.9% | 82.5% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 109 | 728 | 5 | 842 | 12.9% | 86.5% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B | 287 | 533 | 6 | 826 | 34.7% | 64.5% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 104 | 679 | 2 | 785 | 13.2% | 86.5% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A | 253 | 514 | 16 | 783 | 32.3% | 65.6% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 87 | 638 | 3 | 728 | 12.0% | 87.6% | R+75.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14APrecinct 14A | 239 | 431 | 1 | 671 | 35.6% | 64.2% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 46 | 599 | 3 | 648 | 7.1% | 92.4% | R+85.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 31 | 584 | 3 | 618 | 5.0% | 94.5% | R+89.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 395 | 165 | 5 | 565 | 69.9% | 29.2% | D+40.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3BPrecinct 3B | 264 | 281 | 8 | 553 | 47.7% | 50.8% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1BPrecinct 1B | 350 | 190 | 8 | 548 | 63.9% | 34.7% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 19 | 519 | 1 | 539 | 3.5% | 96.3% | R+92.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 280 | 205 | 8 | 493 | 56.8% | 41.6% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4CPrecinct 4C | 244 | 231 | 7 | 482 | 50.6% | 47.9% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8APrecinct 8A | 273 | 177 | 3 | 453 | 60.3% | 39.1% | D+21.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 356 | 82 | 7 | 445 | 80.0% | 18.4% | D+61.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 42 | 393 | 3 | 438 | 9.6% | 89.7% | R+80.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 28 | 402 | 0 | 430 | 6.5% | 93.5% | R+87.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2CPrecinct 2C | 320 | 72 | 6 | 398 | 80.4% | 18.1% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 23 | 269 | 2 | 294 | 7.8% | 91.5% | R+83.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 40 | 187 | 0 | 227 | 17.6% | 82.4% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B | 131 | 76 | 2 | 209 | 62.7% | 36.4% | D+26.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9APrecinct 9A | 30 | 176 | 0 | 206 | 14.6% | 85.4% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 30 | 174 | 1 | 205 | 14.6% | 84.9% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 35 | 135 | 1 | 171 | 20.5% | 78.9% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20APrecinct 20A | 61 | 88 | 1 | 150 | 40.7% | 58.7% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5APrecinct 5A | 48 | 81 | 1 | 130 | 36.9% | 62.3% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22APrecinct 22A | 10 | 91 | 1 | 102 | 9.8% | 89.2% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18APrecinct 18A | 10 | 58 | 1 | 69 | 14.5% | 84.1% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12APrecinct 12A | 0 | 56 | 0 | 56 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16APrecinct 16A | 7 | 44 | 0 | 51 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4DPrecinct 4D | 9 | 23 | 1 | 33 | 27.3% | 69.7% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2DPrecinct 2D | 18 | 8 | 0 | 26 | 69.2% | 30.8% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5BPrecinct 5B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Bowie County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.1%
5,030 votes · D+82.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 90.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.0%
27,122 votes · R+48.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 73.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
13,657votes
46.7% of the vote · D+3.1
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 12,445 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,122votes
74.0% of the vote · R+48.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 27,116 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+86.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +63.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+48.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +47.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Bowie County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 59,083 |
| 2018 | 59,606 |
| 2020 | 61,407 |
| 2022 | 60,986 |
| 2024 | 62,656 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−19 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,452 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,574 in average income, against $83,443 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.7 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Bowie County, TX itself (R+48.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Miller County, AR563R+51.1
- Cass County, TX144R+65.7
- Tarrant County, TX90R+5.1
- Dallas County, TX88D+22.2
- Little River County, AR62R+54.3
- Hempstead County, AR39R+39.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Miller County, AR629
- Cass County, TX111
- Dallas County, TX110
- Little River County, AR75
- Tarrant County, TX64
- Collin County, TX57
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −99 |
| 2012 | −119 |
| 2013 | +123 |
| 2014 | −432 |
| 2015 | −459 |
| 2016 | +75 |
| 2017 | −212 |
| 2018 | +187 |
| 2019 | −531 |
| 2021 | −425 |
| 2022 | −350 |
| 2023 | +89 |
| 2024 | +720 |
| 2025 | −19 |
Bowie County sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.7 points.
A population of 92,115, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,803 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Cass County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bowie County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.