Jasper County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 15,860 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 180 | 1,696 | 8 | 1,884 | 9.6% | 90.0% | R+80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 278 | 1,416 | 16 | 1,710 | 16.3% | 82.8% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 131 | 1,370 | 8 | 1,509 | 8.7% | 90.8% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 248 | 1,168 | 8 | 1,424 | 17.4% | 82.0% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 115 | 1,298 | 4 | 1,417 | 8.1% | 91.6% | R+83.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 48 | 1,002 | 3 | 1,053 | 4.6% | 95.2% | R+90.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 284 | 580 | 4 | 868 | 32.7% | 66.8% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 112 | 705 | 5 | 822 | 13.6% | 85.8% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 337 | 374 | 4 | 715 | 47.1% | 52.3% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 184 | 476 | 3 | 663 | 27.8% | 71.8% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 70 | 574 | 4 | 648 | 10.8% | 88.6% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 228 | 371 | 4 | 603 | 37.8% | 61.5% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 35 | 537 | 2 | 574 | 6.1% | 93.6% | R+87.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 46 | 388 | 1 | 435 | 10.6% | 89.2% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 165 | 260 | 6 | 431 | 38.3% | 60.3% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 74 | 293 | 0 | 367 | 20.2% | 79.8% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 37 | 282 | 1 | 320 | 11.6% | 88.1% | R+76.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 22 | 236 | 2 | 260 | 8.5% | 90.8% | R+82.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 14 | 94 | 0 | 108 | 13.0% | 87.0% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 49 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +30.1% |
| 1908 | +52.9% |
| 1912 | +63.6% |
| 1916 | +81.0% |
| 1920 | +66.8% |
| 1924 | +78.5% |
| 1928 | +19.0% |
| 1932 | +91.0% |
| 1936 | +86.3% |
| 1940 | +82.1% |
| 1944 | +62.2% |
| 1948 | +59.1% |
| 1952 | +14.3% |
| 1956 | −13.3% |
| 1960 | +17.6% |
| 1964 | +30.4% |
| 1968 | +8.3% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | +26.2% |
| 1980 | +12.8% |
| 1984 | −1.5% |
| 1988 | +14.0% |
| 1992 | +14.8% |
| 1996 | +4.8% |
| 2000 | −21.6% |
| 2004 | −30.1% |
| 2008 | −42.0% |
| 2012 | −48.3% |
| 2016 | −59.8% |
| 2020 | −61.4% |
| 2024 | −66.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,485 |
| 2018 | 22,818 |
| 2020 | 23,374 |
| 2022 | 23,739 |
| 2024 | 24,496 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+238 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +375 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,512 in average income, against $69,848 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.6 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Jasper County, TX itself (R+66.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hardin County, TX107R+75.8
- Orange County, TX97R+66.7
- Newton County, TX88R+66.6
- Harris County, TX77D+5.5
- Jefferson County, TX71R+8.9
- Tyler County, TX47R+73.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hardin County, TX96
- Orange County, TX87
- Newton County, TX82
- Jefferson County, TX79
- Harris County, TX69
- Angelina County, TX36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +331 |
| 2012 | −509 |
| 2013 | −249 |
| 2014 | −191 |
| 2015 | −123 |
| 2016 | +134 |
| 2017 | +119 |
| 2018 | +264 |
| 2019 | −219 |
| 2021 | −130 |
| 2022 | +136 |
| 2023 | +254 |
| 2024 | +320 |
| 2025 | +238 |
Jasper County sits in the forested Sabine River corridor of East Texas, where a decades-long Democratic tradition has given way to some of the state's most lopsided Republican margins, reflecting broader rural realignment across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.6 points.
A population of 32,727, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,723 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cass County and Fayette County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jasper County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48241/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.