Carson County, Texas: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+81%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+81MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 5,8012024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,2312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Comanche County, KS · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carson CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carson County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +55.9% |
| 1916 | +59.9% |
| 1920 | +34.0% |
| 1924 | +32.0% |
| 1928 | −20.1% |
| 1932 | +73.5% |
| 1936 | +82.2% |
| 1940 | +63.7% |
| 1944 | +43.7% |
| 1948 | +50.6% |
| 1952 | −15.7% |
| 1956 | −4.2% |
| 1960 | −15.7% |
| 1964 | +20.2% |
| 1968 | −11.4% |
| 1972 | −53.0% |
| 1976 | +9.7% |
| 1980 | −30.0% |
| 1984 | −48.7% |
| 1988 | −33.9% |
| 1992 | −26.9% |
| 1996 | −36.6% |
| 2000 | −63.3% |
| 2004 | −66.7% |
| 2008 | −71.9% |
| 2012 | −77.7% |
| 2016 | −80.0% |
| 2020 | −79.5% |
| 2024 | −81.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 290 | 2,866 | 3,177 | ||
| R | 297 | 2,779 | 3,122 | ||
| R | 249 | 2,620 | 2,964 | ||
| R | 292 | 2,451 | 2,778 | ||
| R | 406 | 2,548 | 2,980 | ||
| R | 485 | 2,450 | 2,944 | ||
| R | 480 | 2,216 | 2,742 | ||
| R | 742 | 1,742 | 2,730 | ||
| R | 825 | 1,647 | 3,057 | ||
| R | 1,034 | 2,100 | 3,148 | ||
| R | 826 | 2,412 | 3,254 | ||
| R | 1,006 | 1,888 | 2,942 | ||
| D | 1,542 | 1,269 | 2,824 | ||
| R | 561 | 1,868 | 2,466 | ||
| R | 904 | 1,211 | 2,685 | ||
| D | 1,574 | 1,044 | 2,621 | ||
| R | 1,009 | 1,387 | 2,407 | ||
| R | 976 | 1,061 | 2,044 | ||
| R | 1,071 | 1,471 | 2,552 | ||
| D | 1,301 | 413 | 1,754 | ||
| D | 1,216 | 446 | 1,763 | ||
| D | 1,636 | 362 | 2,000 | ||
| D | 1,568 | 147 | 1,728 | ||
| D | 1,391 | 212 | 1,603 | ||
| R | 592 | 891 | 1,484 | ||
| D | 611 | 306 | 952 | ||
| D | 428 | 208 | 647 | ||
| D | 326 | 78 | 414 | ||
| D | 200 | 21 | 320 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.8%
Irish
8.6%
English
7.2%
American
6.1%
Scottish
2.8%
Polish
1.6%
Italian
0.8%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$85,231
Carson County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Carson County$85,231
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Carson County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.5%
Working age (18–64)7.4%
Seniors (65+)4.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Spanish3.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other Indo-European0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carson County's 2024 presidential margin of R+81.1 places it among the most one-sided counties in Texas, reflecting the Panhandle's sparse, agriculture-anchored population where statewide competitive races rarely register locally.
The Republican margin here reached eighty-one points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eighty-one points.
A population of 5,801, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,231 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Comanche County and Austin County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carson County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More stable rural right counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carson County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carson County, Texas voted Republican by 81.1 points (R+81), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,177 votes cast, 290 went Democratic and 2,866 went Republican.
What is Carson County, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Carson County, Texas in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Carson County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carson County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Carson County, Texas?
Carson County, Texas has a population of 5,801 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carson County, Texas?
Median household income in Carson County, Texas is $85,231 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Carson County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carson County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.