Clay County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 5,918 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 97 | 716 | 2 | 815 | 11.9% | 87.9% | R+76.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 92 | 655 | 6 | 753 | 12.2% | 87.0% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 39 | 659 | 2 | 700 | 5.6% | 94.1% | R+88.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 92 | 570 | 11 | 673 | 13.7% | 84.7% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 17 | 389 | 2 | 408 | 4.2% | 95.3% | R+91.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 28 | 284 | 1 | 313 | 8.9% | 90.7% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 38 | 272 | 1 | 311 | 12.2% | 87.5% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 18 | 266 | 3 | 287 | 6.3% | 92.7% | R+86.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 38 | 239 | 3 | 280 | 13.6% | 85.4% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 26 | 252 | 1 | 279 | 9.3% | 90.3% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 30 | 217 | 1 | 248 | 12.1% | 87.5% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 22 | 189 | 5 | 216 | 10.2% | 87.5% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 9 | 172 | 4 | 185 | 4.9% | 93.0% | R+88.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 12 | 167 | 2 | 181 | 6.6% | 92.3% | R+85.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 8 | 130 | 0 | 138 | 5.8% | 94.2% | R+88.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 18 | 111 | 2 | 131 | 13.7% | 84.7% | R+71.0 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +55.4% |
| 1908 | +61.5% |
| 1912 | +72.9% |
| 1916 | +73.5% |
| 1920 | +48.2% |
| 1924 | +59.1% |
| 1928 | −6.7% |
| 1932 | +87.8% |
| 1936 | +82.9% |
| 1940 | +69.2% |
| 1944 | +67.0% |
| 1948 | +69.6% |
| 1952 | +23.3% |
| 1956 | +29.3% |
| 1960 | +24.8% |
| 1964 | +56.2% |
| 1968 | +20.1% |
| 1972 | −29.5% |
| 1976 | +36.2% |
| 1980 | +10.0% |
| 1984 | −16.4% |
| 1988 | +5.6% |
| 1992 | +6.8% |
| 1996 | −7.4% |
| 2000 | −35.6% |
| 2004 | −50.5% |
| 2008 | −58.6% |
| 2012 | −69.7% |
| 2016 | −76.5% |
| 2020 | −77.5% |
| 2024 | −79.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 7,656 |
| 2020 | 7,959 |
| 2022 | 8,066 |
| 2024 | 8,291 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+71 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +711 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,113 in average income, against $76,036 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.0 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, TX itself (R+79.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wichita County, TX172R+44.0
- Montague County, TX23R+77.6
- Tarrant County, TX20R+5.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wichita County, TX156
- Montague County, TX22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −62 |
| 2012 | −110 |
| 2013 | −70 |
| 2014 | −37 |
| 2015 | +13 |
| 2016 | −92 |
| 2017 | +266 |
| 2018 | −7 |
| 2019 | +63 |
| 2021 | +126 |
| 2022 | +218 |
| 2023 | +256 |
| 2024 | +76 |
| 2025 | +71 |
Clay County, a sparsely populated ranching enclave in north-central Texas, recorded a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 79 points Republican — among the widest in the state — reflecting a rural demographic that has shifted decisively over recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 79.6 points.
A population of 10,495, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,114 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rains County and Callahan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clay County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.