HarrisDemocratic10.9%1,208TrumpRepublican88.5%9,825OliverLibertarian0.3%36
R+77.6- Lead
- 8,617
- Total
- 11,101
- vs nation
- R+76.2
- Turnout
- 70.7%
Akashiccounty
Montague County, TX
Contests in this Place (84 available)
President30 · 1908–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1908–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.7% of 15,798 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic11.2%1,097TrumpRepublican87.6%8,615JorgensenLibertarian0.8%78
R+76.5- Lead
- 7,518
- Total
- 9,832
- vs nation
- R+80.9
- Turnout
- 66.9%
ClintonDemocratic10.3%885TrumpRepublican87.5%7,526JohnsonLibertarian2.0%170
R+77.2- Lead
- 6,641
- Total
- 8,604
- vs nation
- R+79.3
- Turnout
- 60.6%
ObamaDemocratic14.4%1,116RomneyRepublican84.5%6,549GrayLibertarian1.0%79
R+70.1- Lead
- 5,433
- Total
- 7,751
- vs nation
- R+73.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic20.1%1,597McCainRepublican78.6%6,245OtherAll other candidates1.4%108
R+58.5- Lead
- 4,648
- Total
- 7,950
- vs nation
- R+65.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic24.6%1,946BushRepublican74.8%5,910OtherAll other candidates0.5%41
R+50.2- Lead
- 3,964
- Total
- 7,897
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic30.8%2,256BushRepublican67.5%4,951NaderGreen0.9%66
R+36.8- Lead
- 2,695
- Total
- 7,330
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.0%2,718DoleRepublican45.7%3,029PerotReform12.7%842
R+4.7- Lead
- 311
- Total
- 6,626
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+77.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,0462024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 931 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,5452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Van Zandt County, TX · twin score 97.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 70.7%11,163 participants ÷ 15,798 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 55.9%–58.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,163 | 15,798 ± 209 | 70.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,881 | 15,134 ± 228 | 52.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,844 | 14,720 ± 261 | 66.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 7,421 | 14,391 ± 244 | 51.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 8,604 | 14,195 ± 246 | 60.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 7,751 | 14,732 | 52.6% | Derived | — | |
| 7,950 | 14,614 | 54.4% | Derived | — | |
| 7,897 | 14,496 extrapolated | 54.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Montague County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Montague County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 15 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 11,097 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 224 | 1,847 | 11 | 2,082 | 10.8% | 88.7% | R+78.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 123 | 971 | 4 | 1,098 | 11.2% | 88.4% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 122 | 887 | 3 | 1,012 | 12.1% | 87.6% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 85 | 805 | 2 | 892 | 9.5% | 90.2% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 95 | 724 | 9 | 828 | 11.5% | 87.4% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 88 | 693 | 8 | 789 | 11.2% | 87.8% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 78 | 700 | 4 | 782 | 10.0% | 89.5% | R+79.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 90 | 641 | 1 | 732 | 12.3% | 87.6% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 85 | 621 | 5 | 711 | 12.0% | 87.3% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 73 | 621 | 6 | 700 | 10.4% | 88.7% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 42 | 417 | 3 | 462 | 9.1% | 90.3% | R+81.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 52 | 390 | 5 | 447 | 11.6% | 87.2% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 26 | 218 | 3 | 247 | 10.5% | 88.3% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 16 | 193 | 0 | 209 | 7.7% | 92.3% | R+84.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 9 | 97 | 0 | 106 | 8.5% | 91.5% | R+83.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Montague County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
91.4%
3,090 votes · D+83.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 89.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
88.5%
9,825 votes · R+77.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 87.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
4,087votes
64.9% of the vote · D+30.3
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 3,746 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,825votes
88.5% of the vote · R+77.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,615 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1908
+78.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+68.6 · U.S. R+9.6
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +78.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+80.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+76.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +79.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBrent HagenbuchState Senate · 30
RDavid SpillerState House · 68
Seats representing Montague County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 12,853 |
| 2020 | 14,001 |
| 2022 | 14,661 |
| 2024 | 15,649 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+202 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,974 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,016 in average income, against $80,109 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.2 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than Montague County, TX itself (R+77.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wise County, TX103R+70.0
- Tarrant County, TX92R+5.1
- Denton County, TX90R+13.1
- Wichita County, TX45R+44.0
- Cooke County, TX32R+66.8
- Parker County, TX27R+66.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tarrant County, TX52
- Wichita County, TX52
- Wise County, TX51
- Denton County, TX49
- Cooke County, TX34
- Clay County, TX23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +66 |
| 2012 | −251 |
| 2013 | −27 |
| 2014 | −7 |
| 2015 | −55 |
| 2016 | +163 |
| 2017 | +64 |
| 2018 | +248 |
| 2019 | +294 |
| 2021 | +638 |
| 2022 | +747 |
| 2023 | +615 |
| 2024 | +277 |
| 2025 | +202 |
Montague County, anchored by the small city of Nocona, delivered over 88% of its presidential vote to the Republican column in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican pattern common to rural North Texas counties with agricultural and ranching economies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 77.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 77.6 points.
A population of 21,046, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,545 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Van Zandt County and Rains County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Van Zandt County
Texas
97.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Rains County
Texas
97.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Jack County
Texas
96.6twin score
2008–2020 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montague County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48337/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Montague County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Montague County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montague County, Texas voted Republican by 77.6 points (R+77.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,101 votes cast, 1,208 went Democratic and 9,825 went Republican.
When did Montague County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montague County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Montague County, Texas?
Montague County, Texas has a population of 21,046 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montague County, Texas?
Median household income in Montague County, Texas is $64,545 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Montague County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montague County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.