Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupJeff Davis CountyTexasUnited States
English13.0%7.9%9.5%
German11.5%8.3%12.5%
Irish7.5%6.0%9.4%
Italian2.8%1.9%4.8%
Scotch-Irish2.5%——
Norwegian2.4%——
Swedish1.2%——
French1.0%1.5%1.6%
Mexican29.8%32.1%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Jeff Davis County
Texas
United States
Median age
58
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
0.0%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
33.9%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Jeff Davis County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$59,286
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
23.9%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.9%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Jeff Davis County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
25.7%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
23.9%
28.2%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.3%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Jeff Davis County
Texas
United States
Catholic
15.0%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
16.4%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
64.0%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Jeff Davis County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 1,169 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Jeff Davis County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
131
162
5
298
44.0%
54.4%
R+10.4
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
103
187
2
292
35.3%
64.0%
R+28.8
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
106
146
7
259
40.9%
56.4%
R+15.4
Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5
72
123
4
199
36.2%
61.8%
R+25.6
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
38
81
2
121
31.4%
66.9%
R+35.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+24.9%
1908
+18.0%
1912
+32.7%
1916
+51.4%
1920
+37.9%
1924
+37.0%
1928
−16.7%
1932
+68.2%
1936
+79.4%
1940
+76.4%
1944
+67.1%
1948
+58.2%
1952
−25.2%
1956
−18.2%
1960
+3.4%
1964
+27.1%
1968
+9.7%
1972
−30.3%
1976
+3.5%
1980
−15.0%
1984
−26.0%
1988
−22.9%
1992
−4.5%
1996
−11.6%
2000
−40.1%
2004
−33.1%
2008
−22.7%
2012
−23.4%
2016
−22.9%
2020
−21.7%
2024
−21.3%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
38.5%Harris450
59.8%Trump699
1.2%Oliver14 +1
R+21.3
D+0.4
R+19.8
1,169
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican59.8%699
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.5%450
Chase OliverLibertarian1.2%14
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%6
R
38.4%Biden501
60.1%Trump784
1.3%Jorgensen17
R+21.7
D+1.2
R+26.1
1,305
R
35.4%Clinton422
58.4%Trump695
3.5%Johnson42
R+22.9
D+0.5
R+25.0
1,191
R
36.9%Obama440
60.3%Romney719
2.0%Gray24
R+23.4
R+0.7
R+27.3
1,192
R
37.9%Obama468
60.6%McCain749
1.5%
R+22.7
D+10.3
R+30.0
1,236
R
32.4%Kerry378
65.5%Bush764
2.1%
R+33.1
D+7.0
R+30.6
1,167
R
26.7%Gore283
66.8%Bush708
4.3%Nader46
R+40.1
R+28.5
R+40.6
1,060
R
38.4%Clinton370
50.1%Dole482
10.3%Perot99
R+11.6
R+7.2
R+20.2
963
R
36.6%Clinton321
41.1%Bush360
21.3%Perot187
R+4.5
D+18.4
R+10.0
876
R
37.4%Dukakis325
60.2%Bush524
2.4%
R+22.9
D+3.1
R+15.1
870
R
36.7%Mondale299
62.7%Reagan511
0.6%
R+26.0
R+11.1
R+7.8
815
R
41.2%Carter300
56.1%Reagan409
2.7%
R+15.0
R+18.4
R+5.2
729
D
50.9%Carter309
47.4%Ford288
1.6%
D+3.5
D+33.7
D+1.4
607
R
33.9%McGovern202
64.2%Nixon382
1.8%
R+30.3
R+39.9
R+7.1
595
D
48.2%Humphrey239
38.5%Nixon191
13.3%
D+9.7
R+17.5
D+10.4
496
D
63.5%Johnson304
36.3%Goldwater174
0.2%
D+27.1
D+23.7
D+4.6
479
D
51.2%Kennedy195
47.8%Nixon182
1.0%
D+3.4
D+21.6
D+3.2
381
R
40.5%Stevenson165
58.7%Eisenhower239
0.7%
R+18.2
D+7.0
R+2.8
407
R
37.4%Stevenson183
62.6%Eisenhower306
0.0%
R+25.2
R+83.4
R+14.4
489
D
76.9%Truman309
18.7%Dewey75
4.5%
D+58.2
R+8.9
D+53.7
402
D
79.4%Roosevelt331
12.2%Dewey51
8.4%
D+67.1
R+9.3
D+59.7
417
D
88.2%Roosevelt374
11.8%Willkie50
0.0%
D+76.4
R+3.0
D+66.5
424
D
89.5%Roosevelt291
10.2%Landon33
0.3%
D+79.4
D+11.2
D+55.1
325
D
83.4%Roosevelt252
15.2%Hoover46
1.3%
D+68.2
D+84.9
D+50.4
302
R
41.5%Smith112
58.1%Hoover157
0.4%
R+16.7
R+53.6
D+0.8
270
D
63.6%Davis117
26.6%Coolidge49
9.8%La Follette18
D+37.0
R+0.9
D+62.1
184
D
68.9%Cox91
31.1%Harding41
0.0%
D+37.9
R+13.6
D+64.1
132
D
75.2%Wilson234
23.8%Hughes74
1.0%
D+51.4
D+18.8
D+48.3
311
D
62.9%Wilson129
30.2%Taft62
6.8%
D+32.7
D+14.7
D+13.1
205
D
57.3%Bryan121
39.3%Taft83
3.3%
D+18.0
R+6.9
D+27.6
211
D
61.9%Parker112
37.0%Roosevelt67
1.1%
D+24.9
—
D+44.5
181
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
38.7%447
58.1%671
1,155
2020
R
37.6%483
59.6%767
1,286
2018
R
39.6%466
58.0%683
1,177
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Jeff Davis County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
1,655
2018
1,710
2020
1,670
2022
1,584
2024
1,574
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−38 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −241 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $108,020 in average income, against $90,757 for residents who stayed — 19% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Jeff Davis County, TX in Jeff Davis County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−52
2012
+6
2013
−58
2014
−7
2015
−22
2016
+32
2017
+27
2018
−19
2019
+32
2021
−8
2022
−37
2023
−41
2024
−56
2025
−38
Jeff Davis County stretches across the Davis Mountains with fewer than 2,500 residents spread over nearly 2,300 square miles, making it one of Texas's least-dense counties. Its small electorate swung Republican by 21 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.1 points in 2000. The 2024 margin was 21.3 points.
A population of 1,865, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,286 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sierra County and Sierra County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Jeff Davis County, Texas voted Republican by 21.3 points (R+21.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,169 votes cast, 450 went Democratic and 699 went Republican.
When did Jeff Davis County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jeff Davis County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Jeff Davis County, Texas?
Jeff Davis County, Texas has a population of 1,865 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jeff Davis County, Texas?
Median household income in Jeff Davis County, Texas is $59,286 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Jeff Davis County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jeff Davis County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
