- Lead
- 19,337
- Total
- 69,406
- vs nation
- R+26.4
- Turnout
- 61.3%
Kaufman County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.3% of 113,791 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,219
- Total
- 56,839
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Turnout
- 64.5%
- Lead
- 19,309
- Total
- 41,265
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 58.9%
- Lead
- 15,374
- Total
- 34,670
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,574
- Total
- 35,145
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,357
- Total
- 30,366
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,835
- Total
- 23,063
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,314
- Total
- 17,993
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 172,6042024 5-year
- Population density
- 221 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 781 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,4852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ellis County, TX · twin score 95.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 61.3%69,800 participants ÷ 113,791 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 39.6%–45.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69,800 | 113,791 ± 1,581 | 61.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 43,015 | 100,559 ± 1,142 | 42.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 56,703 | 87,954 ± 733 | 64.5% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 38,464 | 79,819 ± 800 | 48.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 44,228 | 75,069 ± 614 | 58.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 34,670 | 69,074 | 50.2% | Derived | — | |
| 35,145 | 63,745 | 55.1% | Derived | — | |
| 30,366 | 58,416 extrapolated | 52.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Kaufman County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Kaufman County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
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Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 37 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 69,536 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 1,995 | 2,033 | 46 | 4,074 | 49.0% | 49.9% | R+0.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 2,276 | 1,731 | 56 | 4,063 | 56.0% | 42.6% | D+13.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 1,587 | 2,149 | 47 | 3,783 | 42.0% | 56.8% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 2,094 | 1,213 | 53 | 3,360 | 62.3% | 36.1% | D+26.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 1,160 | 1,931 | 42 | 3,133 | 37.0% | 61.6% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 1,206 | 1,885 | 32 | 3,123 | 38.6% | 60.4% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 1,441 | 1,503 | 32 | 2,976 | 48.4% | 50.5% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 1,709 | 1,194 | 41 | 2,944 | 58.1% | 40.6% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 354 | 2,240 | 29 | 2,623 | 13.5% | 85.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 882 | 1,432 | 25 | 2,339 | 37.7% | 61.2% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 249 | 1,793 | 8 | 2,050 | 12.1% | 87.5% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 301 | 1,676 | 15 | 1,992 | 15.1% | 84.1% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 564 | 1,323 | 24 | 1,911 | 29.5% | 69.2% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 444 | 1,438 | 10 | 1,892 | 23.5% | 76.0% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 318 | 1,486 | 15 | 1,819 | 17.5% | 81.7% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 594 | 1,133 | 22 | 1,749 | 34.0% | 64.8% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 306 | 1,409 | 17 | 1,732 | 17.7% | 81.4% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37 | 967 | 724 | 18 | 1,709 | 56.6% | 42.4% | D+14.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 556 | 1,114 | 24 | 1,694 | 32.8% | 65.8% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 343 | 1,271 | 15 | 1,629 | 21.1% | 78.0% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 199 | 1,284 | 11 | 1,494 | 13.3% | 85.9% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 297 | 1,141 | 7 | 1,445 | 20.6% | 79.0% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 211 | 1,196 | 10 | 1,417 | 14.9% | 84.4% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 298 | 1,083 | 8 | 1,389 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 279 | 1,077 | 15 | 1,371 | 20.4% | 78.6% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 483 | 813 | 19 | 1,315 | 36.7% | 61.8% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 407 | 874 | 8 | 1,289 | 31.6% | 67.8% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 281 | 909 | 10 | 1,200 | 23.4% | 75.8% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 496 | 642 | 12 | 1,150 | 43.1% | 55.8% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 717 | 392 | 18 | 1,127 | 63.6% | 34.8% | D+28.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 198 | 885 | 15 | 1,098 | 18.0% | 80.6% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 221 | 804 | 11 | 1,036 | 21.3% | 77.6% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 267 | 678 | 6 | 951 | 28.1% | 71.3% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 136 | 790 | 5 | 931 | 14.6% | 84.9% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 568 | 309 | 11 | 888 | 64.0% | 34.8% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 205 | 388 | 11 | 604 | 33.9% | 64.2% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 117 | 118 | 1 | 236 | 49.6% | 50.0% | R+0.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Kaufman County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
94.4%
3,943 votes · D+89.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 93.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
71.7%
29,587 votes · R+46.8
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 71.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
24,726votes
35.6% of the vote · R+27.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 18,405 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
44,063votes
63.5% of the vote · R+27.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 37,624 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+97.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+71.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +90.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+48.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +48.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Kaufman County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 67,665 |
| 2018 | 72,976 |
| 2020 | 81,901 |
| 2022 | 93,515 |
| 2024 | 108,165 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+9,535 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +79,269 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,020 in average income, against $79,509 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.6 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Kaufman County, TX itself (R+27.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dallas County, TX4,414D+22.2
- Collin County, TX565R+11.1
- Tarrant County, TX526R+5.1
- Denton County, TX366R+13.1
- Henderson County, TX335R+63.5
- Rockwall County, TX277R+40.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dallas County, TX1,971
- Henderson County, TX463
- Rockwall County, TX368
- Collin County, TX354
- Van Zandt County, TX353
- Tarrant County, TX293
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +664 |
| 2012 | +672 |
| 2013 | +1,037 |
| 2014 | +1,870 |
| 2015 | +2,471 |
| 2016 | +3,066 |
| 2017 | +4,005 |
| 2018 | +4,902 |
| 2019 | +7,124 |
| 2021 | +11,006 |
| 2022 | +12,360 |
| 2023 | +11,544 |
| 2024 | +9,013 |
| 2025 | +9,535 |
Kaufman County's population has climbed steadily as Dallas sprawl pushes southeast, yet it continues to return lopsided Republican margins — R+27.9 in 2024 — suggesting suburban growth here hasn't yet shifted its partisan baseline.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.9 points.
A population of 172,604, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,485 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ellis County and Johnston County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kaufman County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48257/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.