Ellis County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 99,818 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 1038Precinct 1038 | 1,208 | 2,667 | 46 | 3,921 | 30.8% | 68.0% | R+37.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1006Precinct 1006 | 1,592 | 1,936 | 52 | 3,580 | 44.5% | 54.1% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1057Precinct 1057 | 1,570 | 1,790 | 49 | 3,409 | 46.1% | 52.5% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1034Precinct 1034 | 872 | 2,321 | 31 | 3,224 | 27.0% | 72.0% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1043Precinct 1043 | 910 | 2,156 | 29 | 3,095 | 29.4% | 69.7% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1032Precinct 1032 | 458 | 2,574 | 16 | 3,048 | 15.0% | 84.4% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1036Precinct 1036 | 989 | 2,020 | 39 | 3,048 | 32.4% | 66.3% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1005Precinct 1005 | 1,022 | 1,781 | 34 | 2,837 | 36.0% | 62.8% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1054Precinct 1054 | 1,829 | 702 | 44 | 2,575 | 71.0% | 27.3% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1051Precinct 1051 | 1,319 | 1,216 | 30 | 2,565 | 51.4% | 47.4% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1055Precinct 1055 | 834 | 1,620 | 43 | 2,497 | 33.4% | 64.9% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1039Precinct 1039 | 629 | 1,834 | 33 | 2,496 | 25.2% | 73.5% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1050Precinct 1050 | 1,465 | 962 | 38 | 2,465 | 59.4% | 39.0% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1009Precinct 1009 | 524 | 1,904 | 19 | 2,447 | 21.4% | 77.8% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1041Precinct 1041 | 605 | 1,790 | 26 | 2,421 | 25.0% | 73.9% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1056Precinct 1056 | 559 | 1,800 | 32 | 2,391 | 23.4% | 75.3% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1012Precinct 1012 | 1,053 | 1,306 | 31 | 2,390 | 44.1% | 54.6% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1015Precinct 1015 | 638 | 1,679 | 15 | 2,332 | 27.4% | 72.0% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1022Precinct 1022 | 717 | 1,519 | 28 | 2,264 | 31.7% | 67.1% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1027Precinct 1027 | 633 | 1,584 | 28 | 2,245 | 28.2% | 70.6% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1003Precinct 1003 | 869 | 1,302 | 36 | 2,207 | 39.4% | 59.0% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1028Precinct 1028 | 482 | 1,657 | 19 | 2,158 | 22.3% | 76.8% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1033Precinct 1033 | 584 | 1,547 | 22 | 2,153 | 27.1% | 71.9% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1052Precinct 1052 | 1,307 | 780 | 33 | 2,120 | 61.7% | 36.8% | D+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1011Precinct 1011 | 649 | 1,221 | 20 | 1,890 | 34.3% | 64.6% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1017Precinct 1017 | 542 | 1,301 | 20 | 1,863 | 29.1% | 69.8% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1037Precinct 1037 | 494 | 1,292 | 30 | 1,816 | 27.2% | 71.1% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1025Precinct 1025 | 581 | 1,167 | 19 | 1,767 | 32.9% | 66.0% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1019Precinct 1019 | 391 | 1,317 | 26 | 1,734 | 22.5% | 76.0% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1053Precinct 1053 | 769 | 889 | 36 | 1,694 | 45.4% | 52.5% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1026Precinct 1026 | 510 | 1,131 | 25 | 1,666 | 30.6% | 67.9% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1048Precinct 1048 | 532 | 1,021 | 21 | 1,574 | 33.8% | 64.9% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1018Precinct 1018 | 726 | 812 | 28 | 1,566 | 46.4% | 51.9% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1007Precinct 1007 | 404 | 1,098 | 21 | 1,523 | 26.5% | 72.1% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1001Precinct 1001 | 931 | 572 | 15 | 1,518 | 61.3% | 37.7% | D+23.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1024Precinct 1024 | 448 | 1,014 | 15 | 1,477 | 30.3% | 68.7% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1014Precinct 1014 | 249 | 1,206 | 9 | 1,464 | 17.0% | 82.4% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1010Precinct 1010 | 382 | 989 | 16 | 1,387 | 27.5% | 71.3% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1030Precinct 1030 | 304 | 1,069 | 6 | 1,379 | 22.0% | 77.5% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1013Precinct 1013 | 404 | 953 | 10 | 1,367 | 29.6% | 69.7% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1058Precinct 1058 | 536 | 762 | 25 | 1,323 | 40.5% | 57.6% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1020Precinct 1020 | 272 | 1,016 | 16 | 1,304 | 20.9% | 77.9% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1035Precinct 1035 | 323 | 852 | 13 | 1,188 | 27.2% | 71.7% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1021Precinct 1021 | 197 | 871 | 15 | 1,083 | 18.2% | 80.4% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1016Precinct 1016 | 441 | 414 | 4 | 859 | 51.3% | 48.2% | D+3.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1059Precinct 1059 | 116 | 494 | 4 | 614 | 18.9% | 80.5% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1029Precinct 1029 | 91 | 402 | 1 | 494 | 18.4% | 81.4% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1031Precinct 1031 | 131 | 355 | 4 | 490 | 26.7% | 72.4% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1044Precinct 1044 | 103 | 376 | 9 | 488 | 21.1% | 77.0% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1049Precinct 1049 | 115 | 360 | 2 | 477 | 24.1% | 75.5% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1046Precinct 1046 | 149 | 249 | 3 | 401 | 37.2% | 62.1% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1040Precinct 1040 | 81 | 310 | 4 | 395 | 20.5% | 78.5% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1042Precinct 1042 | 101 | 248 | 3 | 352 | 28.7% | 70.5% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1047Precinct 1047 | 44 | 193 | 3 | 240 | 18.3% | 80.4% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1004Precinct 1004 | 67 | 80 | 5 | 152 | 44.1% | 52.6% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1002Precinct 1002 | 40 | 106 | 0 | 146 | 27.4% | 72.6% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1045Precinct 1045 | 20 | 103 | 2 | 125 | 16.0% | 82.4% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1008Precinct 1008 | 39 | 73 | 2 | 114 | 34.2% | 64.0% | R+29.8 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +77.4% |
| 1908 | +75.8% |
| 1912 | +78.3% |
| 1916 | +85.7% |
| 1920 | +55.7% |
| 1924 | +18.9% |
| 1928 | +10.4% |
| 1932 | +85.6% |
| 1936 | +89.1% |
| 1940 | +83.8% |
| 1944 | +77.1% |
| 1948 | +61.8% |
| 1952 | +20.0% |
| 1956 | +18.4% |
| 1960 | +22.8% |
| 1964 | +44.7% |
| 1968 | +13.6% |
| 1972 | −39.1% |
| 1976 | +17.6% |
| 1980 | −4.2% |
| 1984 | −35.4% |
| 1988 | −18.9% |
| 1992 | −12.0% |
| 1996 | −17.5% |
| 2000 | −41.4% |
| 2004 | −49.4% |
| 2008 | −42.2% |
| 2012 | −47.4% |
| 2016 | −44.7% |
| 2020 | −34.0% |
| 2024 | −31.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 102,217 |
| 2018 | 108,499 |
| 2020 | 120,188 |
| 2022 | 131,057 |
| 2024 | 147,399 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+7,178 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +64,927 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,940 in average income, against $89,330 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.1 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Ellis County, TX itself (R+31.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dallas County, TX3,219D+22.2
- Tarrant County, TX1,508R+5.1
- Denton County, TX275R+13.1
- Johnson County, TX249R+51.4
- Navarro County, TX214R+51.8
- Collin County, TX206R+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dallas County, TX1,509
- Tarrant County, TX854
- Johnson County, TX333
- Navarro County, TX260
- Denton County, TX206
- Collin County, TX170
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +950 |
| 2012 | +495 |
| 2013 | +1,319 |
| 2014 | +2,143 |
| 2015 | +2,941 |
| 2016 | +3,905 |
| 2017 | +4,096 |
| 2018 | +4,619 |
| 2019 | +4,841 |
| 2021 | +8,612 |
| 2022 | +7,667 |
| 2023 | +8,923 |
| 2024 | +7,238 |
| 2025 | +7,178 |
Ellis County has absorbed rapid population growth from the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex while maintaining lopsided Republican margins, with the 2024 presidential race decided by more than 31 points — a pattern that has held even as newcomers reshape its demographics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 49.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 213,160, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,595 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kaufman County and Montgomery County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ellis County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.