Kenedy County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted R+47%. Democratic peak: D+91 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 1452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $38,8822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Reeves County, TX · similarity 0.89
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | +80.0% |
| 1928 | +81.5% |
| 1932 | +91.5% |
| 1936 | +52.4% |
| 1940 | −28.3% |
| 1944 | −53.7% |
| 1948 | +17.3% |
| 1952 | −77.0% |
| 1956 | −85.2% |
| 1960 | +2.6% |
| 1964 | +58.2% |
| 1968 | +13.1% |
| 1972 | −16.9% |
| 1976 | +36.1% |
| 1980 | +16.0% |
| 1984 | +6.8% |
| 1988 | +21.9% |
| 1992 | +10.3% |
| 1996 | +29.8% |
| 2000 | +5.7% |
| 2004 | +1.8% |
| 2008 | +6.9% |
| 2012 | −1.2% |
| 2016 | +8.1% |
| 2020 | −32.0% |
| 2024 | −46.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 41 | 115 | 158 | ||
| R | 65 | 127 | 194 | ||
| D | 99 | 84 | 186 | ||
| R | 82 | 84 | 167 | ||
| D | 108 | 94 | 202 | ||
| D | 85 | 82 | 169 | ||
| D | 119 | 106 | 228 | ||
| D | 133 | 71 | 208 | ||
| D | 87 | 69 | 174 | ||
| D | 119 | 76 | 196 | ||
| D | 110 | 96 | 207 | ||
| D | 106 | 76 | 187 | ||
| D | 139 | 65 | 205 | ||
| R | 88 | 124 | 213 | ||
| D | 100 | 76 | 183 | ||
| D | 115 | 30 | 146 | ||
| D | 78 | 74 | 152 | ||
| R | 10 | 125 | 135 | ||
| R | 14 | 108 | 122 | ||
| D | 45 | 31 | 81 | ||
| R | 16 | 60 | 82 | ||
| R | 38 | 68 | 106 | ||
| D | 96 | 30 | 126 | ||
| D | 123 | 5 | 129 | ||
| D | 118 | 12 | 130 | ||
| D | 67 | 7 | 75 | ||
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Demographics
Kenedy County's 414 residents are spread across nearly 1,400 square miles of South Texas ranchland, and it has returned lopsided Republican margins in recent cycles despite sitting in a heavily Hispanic region.
Kenedy County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of ninety-one points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved fifteen points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $38,882, and a population of 145. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Reeves County and Cowlitz County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kenedy County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48261/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
