HarrisDemocratic25.9%41TrumpRepublican72.8%115OliverLibertarian1.3%2
R+46.8- Lead
- 74
- Total
- 158
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccounty
Kenedy County, TX
Contests in this Place (79 available)
President26 · 1924–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1924–2024.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic33.5%65TrumpRepublican65.5%127OtherAll other candidates1.0%2
R+32.0- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 194
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- 89.0%
ClintonDemocratic53.2%99TrumpRepublican45.2%84JohnsonLibertarian1.6%3
D+8.1- Lead
- 15
- Total
- 186
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Turnout
- 65.2%
ObamaDemocratic49.1%82RomneyRepublican50.3%84GrayLibertarian0.6%1
R+1.2- Lead
- 2
- Total
- 167
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic53.5%108McCainRepublican46.5%94OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+6.9- Lead
- 14
- Total
- 202
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic50.3%85BushRepublican48.5%82OtherAll other candidates1.2%2
D+1.8- Lead
- 3
- Total
- 169
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic52.2%119BushRepublican46.5%106NaderGreen0.9%2
D+5.7- Lead
- 13
- Total
- 228
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic63.9%133DoleRepublican34.1%71PerotReform1.9%4
D+29.8- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 208
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1452024 5-year
- Population density
- 0.10 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,459 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $38,8822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- La Salle County, TX · twin score 84.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20205 cycles · 3 audited
- 2020 turnout
- 89.0%211 participants ÷ 237 CVAP
- 2016→2018 drop-off
- +9.8 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off vs state
- +2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 | 237 ± 81 | 89.0% | Audited | A/D | |
| 2018Mid | 205 | 370 ± 93 | 55.4% | Audited | A/D |
| 204 | 313 ± 105 | 65.2% | Audited | A/D | |
| 167 | 326 | 51.2% | Derived | — | |
| 202 | 210 | 96.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Kenedy County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Kenedy County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 6 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 158 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 13 | 31 | 1 | 45 | 28.9% | 68.9% | R+40.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 36 | 33.3% | 63.9% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 34 | 8.8% | 91.2% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 25 | 32.0% | 68.0% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 36.4% | 63.6% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Kenedy County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1924–2024 · 26 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
95.3%
123 votes · D+91.5
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · 90.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
92.6%
125 votes · R+85.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 88.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
139votes
67.8% of the vote · D+36.1
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 133 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
127votes
65.5% of the vote · R+32.0
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 125 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+105.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+80.0 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +99.0 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
+69.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+85.2 · U.S. R+15.4
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +66.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RAdam HinojosaState Senate · 27
RRyan GuillenState House · 31
Seats representing Kenedy County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 318 |
| 2018 | 311 |
| 2020 | 296 |
| 2022 | 301 |
| 2024 | 270 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−8 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −151 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +9 |
| 2012 | +3 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | −14 |
| 2015 | −8 |
| 2016 | −15 |
| 2017 | −22 |
| 2018 | +8 |
| 2019 | −48 |
| 2021 | −6 |
| 2022 | +13 |
| 2023 | −11 |
| 2024 | −28 |
| 2025 | −8 |
Kenedy County's 414 residents are spread across nearly 1,400 square miles of South Texas ranchland, and it has returned lopsided Republican margins in recent cycles despite sitting in a heavily Hispanic region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 85.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 14.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.8 points.
A population of 145, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,882 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of La Salle County and Hidalgo County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
La Salle County
Texas
84.2twin score
% Catholic% Latino% White≠ median age
Hidalgo County
New Mexico
81.6twin score
% LatinoMexican ancestry2008–2016 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Jim Wells County
Texas
79.9twin score
% Latino% Catholic% White≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kenedy County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48261/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kenedy County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kenedy County, Texas voted Republican by 46.8 points (R+46.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 158 votes cast, 41 went Democratic and 115 went Republican.
When did Kenedy County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kenedy County, Texas voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Kenedy County, Texas?
Kenedy County, Texas has a population of 145 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kenedy County, Texas?
Median household income in Kenedy County, Texas is $38,882 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Kenedy County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kenedy County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.