- Lead
- 15,300
- Total
- 28,170
- vs nation
- R+52.8
- Turnout
- 67.6%
Kerr County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.6% of 41,951 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 14,355
- Total
- 27,745
- vs nation
- R+56.2
- Turnout
- 70.3%
- Lead
- 13,046
- Total
- 23,297
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- 60.8%
- Lead
- 12,936
- Total
- 21,879
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,182
- Total
- 22,556
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,981
- Total
- 21,246
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,635
- Total
- 19,228
- vs nation
- R+55.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,981
- Total
- 16,775
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,4892024 5-year
- Population density
- 48 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,103 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,3952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.1 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Burnet County, TX · twin score 94.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 67.6%28,348 participants ÷ 41,951 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 52.2%–57.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28,348 | 41,951 ± 550 | 67.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 22,604 | 41,146 ± 545 | 54.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 28,153 | 40,048 ± 501 | 70.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,205 | 39,159 ± 475 | 56.7% | Audited | C/A |
| 23,499 | 38,633 ± 556 | 60.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 21,879 | 38,086 | 57.4% | Derived | — | |
| 22,556 | 35,487 | 63.6% | Derived | — | |
| 21,246 | 32,888 extrapolated | 64.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Kerr County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Kerr County result
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Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
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Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 20 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 28,170 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 539 | 1,949 | 20 | 2,508 | 21.5% | 77.7% | R+56.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 312Precinct 312 | 692 | 1,715 | 23 | 2,430 | 28.5% | 70.6% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 406Precinct 406 | 450 | 1,899 | 18 | 2,367 | 19.0% | 80.2% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 215Precinct 215 | 460 | 1,814 | 19 | 2,293 | 20.1% | 79.1% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 220Precinct 220 | 483 | 1,725 | 14 | 2,222 | 21.7% | 77.6% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 269 | 1,352 | 7 | 1,628 | 16.5% | 83.0% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 314Precinct 314 | 556 | 1,001 | 19 | 1,576 | 35.3% | 63.5% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 119Precinct 119 | 484 | 1,047 | 25 | 1,556 | 31.1% | 67.3% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 348 | 1,097 | 15 | 1,460 | 23.8% | 75.1% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 417Precinct 417 | 318 | 1,105 | 9 | 1,432 | 22.2% | 77.2% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 257 | 1,077 | 9 | 1,343 | 19.1% | 80.2% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 244 | 1,047 | 10 | 1,301 | 18.8% | 80.5% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 416Precinct 416 | 235 | 1,053 | 7 | 1,295 | 18.1% | 81.3% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 113Precinct 113 | 294 | 729 | 16 | 1,039 | 28.3% | 70.2% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 99 | 803 | 4 | 906 | 10.9% | 88.6% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 107Precinct 107 | 171 | 673 | 6 | 850 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 211Precinct 211 | 170 | 521 | 10 | 701 | 24.3% | 74.3% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 308Precinct 308 | 138 | 523 | 2 | 663 | 20.8% | 78.9% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 118Precinct 118 | 81 | 249 | 5 | 335 | 24.2% | 74.3% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 410Precinct 410 | 27 | 236 | 2 | 265 | 10.2% | 89.1% | R+78.9 |
presidential history
Party record book
Kerr County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
77.2%
2,165 votes · D+55.0
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · 68.0%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
79.0%
11,829 votes · R+58.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 79.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,524votes
23.5% of the vote · R+51.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 6,315 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,615votes
76.7% of the vote · R+54.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,879 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+59.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.1 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +39.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+63.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.1 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Kerr County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 34,640 |
| 2018 | 32,954 |
| 2020 | 37,726 |
| 2022 | 39,036 |
| 2024 | 40,065 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+373 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +7,224 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $87,218 in average income, against $91,856 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.2 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Kerr County, TX itself (R+54.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX197D+9.7
- Gillespie County, TX109R+60.9
- Kendall County, TX79R+55.6
- Harris County, TX77D+5.5
- Travis County, TX67D+39.3
- Bandera County, TX53R+61.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX201
- Gillespie County, TX122
- Kendall County, TX73
- Travis County, TX63
- Harris County, TX60
- Bandera County, TX51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +175 |
| 2012 | +269 |
| 2013 | +319 |
| 2014 | +702 |
| 2015 | +676 |
| 2016 | +671 |
| 2017 | +561 |
| 2018 | +719 |
| 2019 | +374 |
| 2021 | +881 |
| 2022 | +877 |
| 2023 | +342 |
| 2024 | +285 |
| 2025 | +373 |
Kerr County's rugged Hill Country terrain and retirement-destination growth have reinforced a Republican lean that has deepened every presidential cycle, with the 2024 margin of R+54.3 ranking among the widest in the Texas midsize-county tier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.3 points.
A population of 53,489, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,395 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Burnet County and Gillespie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kerr County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48265/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.