Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKinney CountyTexasUnited States
Mexican47.2%32.1%11.3%
Honduran1.5%0.8%0.3%
Puerto Rican1.3%0.8%1.8%
Venezuelan1.3%——
Salvadoran0.9%1.2%0.7%
Cuban0.4%0.5%0.7%
Nicaraguan0.4%——
German17.6%8.3%12.5%
English6.2%7.9%9.5%
Irish5.6%6.0%9.4%
Scottish1.6%1.3%1.3%
Danish1.3%——
Norwegian1.1%——
French1.0%1.5%1.6%
Greek1.0%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Kinney County
Texas
United States
Median age
50.3
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
11.7%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.5%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Kinney County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$70,000
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.4%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
11.8%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Kinney County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
48.0%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
48.0%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Kinney County
Texas
United States
Catholic
30.3%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
21.5%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
40.2%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.9%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Kinney County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 1,422 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Kinney County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
82
331
4
417
19.7%
79.4%
R+59.7
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
78
283
2
363
21.5%
78.0%
R+56.5
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
99
232
4
335
29.6%
69.3%
R+39.7
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
86
216
5
307
28.0%
70.4%
R+42.3
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+6.3%
1908
No data
1912
−7.4%
1916
+7.2%
1920
−15.8%
1924
−4.4%
1928
+4.7%
1932
+76.7%
1936
+34.2%
1940
+45.4%
1944
+33.4%
1948
+34.0%
1952
−11.3%
1956
−12.0%
1960
+25.8%
1964
+47.8%
1968
+22.5%
1972
−28.9%
1976
+23.5%
1980
−6.8%
1984
−22.8%
1988
−7.0%
1992
−2.3%
1996
−11.7%
2000
−30.9%
2004
−31.8%
2008
−17.7%
2012
−25.1%
2016
−33.4%
2020
−43.5%
2024
−50.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
24.4%Harris346
74.9%Trump1,063
0.5%Oliver7 +1
R+50.5
R+7.0
R+49.1
1,419
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican74.9%1,063
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.4%346
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%7
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%3
R
27.8%Biden446
71.3%Trump1,144
0.7%Jorgensen11
R+43.5
R+10.1
R+48.0
1,604
R
32.0%Clinton458
65.5%Trump936
1.7%Johnson25
R+33.4
R+8.3
R+35.5
1,430
R
36.6%Obama522
61.8%Romney880
1.0%Gray14
R+25.1
R+7.5
R+29.0
1,425
R
40.8%Obama633
58.5%McCain907
0.7%
R+17.7
D+14.1
R+24.9
1,551
R
33.9%Kerry542
65.7%Bush1,051
0.4%
R+31.8
R+0.9
R+29.4
1,600
R
33.7%Gore486
64.5%Bush932
1.1%Nader16
R+30.9
R+19.2
R+31.4
1,444
R
40.0%Clinton503
51.8%Dole650
7.7%Perot97
R+11.7
R+9.4
R+20.2
1,256
R
38.9%Clinton598
41.2%Bush634
19.4%Perot299
R+2.3
D+4.7
R+7.9
1,539
R
46.1%Dukakis669
53.2%Bush771
0.7%
R+7.0
D+15.8
D+0.7
1,450
R
38.5%Mondale486
61.3%Reagan774
0.2%
R+22.8
R+16.0
R+4.6
1,263
R
45.1%Carter472
51.9%Reagan543
3.0%
R+6.8
R+30.3
D+2.9
1,046
D
61.2%Carter516
37.7%Ford318
1.1%
D+23.5
D+52.4
D+21.4
843
R
35.5%McGovern234
64.4%Nixon425
0.2%
R+28.9
R+51.5
R+5.8
660
D
55.6%Humphrey333
33.1%Nixon198
11.4%
D+22.5
R+25.3
D+23.2
599
D
73.9%Johnson439
26.1%Goldwater155
0.0%
D+47.8
D+22.0
D+25.2
594
D
62.9%Kennedy358
37.1%Nixon211
0.0%
D+25.8
D+37.8
D+25.7
569
R
43.8%Stevenson289
55.8%Eisenhower368
0.5%
R+12.0
R+0.7
D+3.4
660
R
44.3%Stevenson306
55.7%Eisenhower384
0.0%
R+11.3
R+45.3
R+0.5
690
D
64.5%Truman370
30.5%Dewey175
5.1%
D+34.0
D+0.6
D+29.5
574
D
66.6%Roosevelt401
33.2%Dewey200
0.2%
D+33.4
R+12.0
D+25.9
602
D
72.4%Roosevelt418
27.0%Willkie156
0.5%
D+45.4
D+11.2
D+35.5
577
D
67.1%Roosevelt357
32.9%Landon175
0.0%
D+34.2
R+42.5
D+9.9
532
D
88.3%Roosevelt678
11.6%Hoover89
0.1%
D+76.7
D+72.0
D+58.9
768
D
52.4%Smith200
47.6%Hoover182
0.0%
D+4.7
D+9.2
D+22.2
382
R
45.7%Davis144
50.2%Coolidge158
4.1%La Follette13
R+4.4
D+11.3
D+20.7
315
R
39.7%Cox98
55.5%Harding137
4.9%
R+15.8
R+23.0
D+10.4
247
D
52.7%Wilson233
45.5%Hughes201
1.8%
D+7.2
D+14.7
D+4.1
442
O
27.0%Wilson76
34.4%Taft97
38.7%
Roosevelt +4.3
—
R+27.0
282
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
D
52.8%Parker218
46.5%Roosevelt192
0.7%
D+6.3
—
D+26.0
413
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
28.2%390
70.0%969
1,385
2020
R
26.3%395
71.2%1,070
1,503
2018
R
29.9%358
69.0%827
1,199
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Kinney County, TX
Year
Total registered
2018
2,253
2020
2,270
2022
2,183
2024
2,175
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
0 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −130 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,082 in average income, against $63,431 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Kinney County, TX in Kinney County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+2
2012
+5
2013
−31
2014
−111
2015
+30
2016
+1
2017
+58
2018
−46
2019
−42
2021
+13
2022
+18
2023
+28
2024
−55
2025
0
Kinney County's roughly 1,400 square miles hold fewer than 3,400 residents, most tied to ranching and hunting leases along the Devils River watershed. Its 50-point Republican margins have held steady across recent cycles, reflecting a rural Hispanic-majority electorate that has shifted sharply rightward.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.
A population of 3,157, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,000 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crockett County and Crosby County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Kinney County, Texas voted Republican by 50.5 points (R+50.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,419 votes cast, 346 went Democratic and 1,063 went Republican.
When did Kinney County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kinney County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Kinney County, Texas?
Kinney County, Texas has a population of 3,157 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kinney County, Texas?
Median household income in Kinney County, Texas is $70,000 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Kinney County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kinney County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
