Kinney County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted R+50%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,1572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 57.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Stevens County, WA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | −7.4% |
| 1916 | +7.2% |
| 1920 | −15.8% |
| 1924 | −4.4% |
| 1928 | +4.7% |
| 1932 | +76.7% |
| 1936 | +34.2% |
| 1940 | +45.4% |
| 1944 | +33.4% |
| 1948 | +34.0% |
| 1952 | −11.3% |
| 1956 | −12.0% |
| 1960 | +25.8% |
| 1964 | +47.8% |
| 1968 | +22.5% |
| 1972 | −28.9% |
| 1976 | +23.5% |
| 1980 | −6.8% |
| 1984 | −22.8% |
| 1988 | −7.0% |
| 1992 | −2.3% |
| 1996 | −11.7% |
| 2000 | −30.9% |
| 2004 | −31.8% |
| 2008 | −17.7% |
| 2012 | −25.1% |
| 2016 | −33.4% |
| 2020 | −43.5% |
| 2024 | −50.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 346 | 1,063 | 1,424 | ||
| R | 446 | 1,144 | 1,604 | ||
| R | 458 | 936 | 1,430 | ||
| R | 522 | 880 | 1,425 | ||
| R | 633 | 907 | 1,551 | ||
| R | 542 | 1,051 | 1,600 | ||
| R | 486 | 932 | 1,444 | ||
| R | 503 | 650 | 1,256 | ||
| R | 598 | 634 | 1,539 | ||
| R | 669 | 771 | 1,450 | ||
| R | 486 | 774 | 1,263 | ||
| R | 472 | 543 | 1,046 | ||
| D | 516 | 318 | 843 | ||
| R | 234 | 425 | 660 | ||
| D | 333 | 198 | 599 | ||
| D | 439 | 155 | 594 | ||
| D | 358 | 211 | 569 | ||
| R | 289 | 368 | 660 | ||
| R | 306 | 384 | 690 | ||
| D | 370 | 175 | 574 | ||
| D | 401 | 200 | 602 | ||
| D | 418 | 156 | 577 | ||
| D | 357 | 175 | 532 | ||
| D | 678 | 89 | 768 | ||
| D | 200 | 182 | 382 | ||
| R | 144 | 158 | 315 | ||
| R | 98 | 137 | 247 | ||
| D | 233 | 201 | 442 | ||
| O | 76 | 97 | 282 | ||
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Demographics
Kinney County's roughly 1,400 square miles hold fewer than 3,400 residents, most tied to ranching and hunting leases along the Devils River watershed. Its 50-point Republican margins have held steady across recent cycles, reflecting a rural Hispanic-majority electorate that has shifted sharply rightward.
Kinney County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of seventy-seven points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved seven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,000, and a population of 3,157. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stevens County and Kootenai County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kinney County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48271/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
