- Lead
- 1,274
- Total
- 10,014
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Turnout
- 45.7%
Kleberg County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 45.7% of 22,217 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 194
- Total
- 11,097
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- 50.5%
- Lead
- 349
- Total
- 9,587
- vs nation
- D+1.6
- Turnout
- 42.6%
- Lead
- 696
- Total
- 8,907
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 716
- Total
- 9,876
- vs nation
- Even
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 816
- Total
- 9,973
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 45
- Total
- 9,194
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,745
- Total
- 8,999
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,5792024 5-year
- Population density
- 35 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 881 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,2922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 20.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 71.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+12.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Luna County, NM · twin score 94.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 45.7%10,153 participants ÷ 22,217 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 29.3%–35.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,153 | 22,217 ± 382 | 45.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,683 | 22,536 ± 464 | 34.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,177 | 22,152 ± 478 | 50.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 8,683 | 22,689 ± 400 | 38.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,679 | 22,715 ± 550 | 42.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 8,907 | 22,347 | 39.9% | Derived | — | |
| 9,876 | 21,590 | 45.7% | Derived | — | |
| 9,973 | 20,833 extrapolated | 47.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Kleberg County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Kleberg County result
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Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
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Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 17 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 10,040 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 453 | 836 | 11 | 1,300 | 34.8% | 64.3% | R+29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 449 | 572 | 11 | 1,032 | 43.5% | 55.4% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 368 | 590 | 6 | 964 | 38.2% | 61.2% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 339 | 409 | 5 | 753 | 45.0% | 54.3% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 225 | 483 | 5 | 713 | 31.6% | 67.7% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 214 | 491 | 4 | 709 | 30.2% | 69.3% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 43Precinct 43 | 395 | 234 | 2 | 631 | 62.6% | 37.1% | D+25.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 41Precinct 41 | 310 | 268 | 4 | 582 | 53.3% | 46.0% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 252 | 281 | 5 | 538 | 46.8% | 52.2% | R+5.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 42Precinct 42 | 282 | 197 | 2 | 481 | 58.6% | 41.0% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 144 | 272 | 3 | 419 | 34.4% | 64.9% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 108 | 253 | 3 | 364 | 29.7% | 69.5% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 172 | 183 | 7 | 362 | 47.5% | 50.6% | R+3.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 185 | 149 | 5 | 339 | 54.6% | 44.0% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 178 | 150 | 2 | 330 | 53.9% | 45.5% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 44Precinct 44 | 171 | 139 | 4 | 314 | 54.5% | 44.3% | D+10.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 100 | 107 | 2 | 209 | 47.8% | 51.2% | R+3.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Kleberg County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2024 · 28 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.6%
1,727 votes · D+78.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 87.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
56.0%
5,612 votes · R+12.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 54.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
5,803votes
60.2% of the vote · D+21.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,381 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
5,712votes
53.5% of the vote · R+7.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 5,612 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+70.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+45.4 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +68.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+11.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +6.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Kleberg County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 18,002 |
| 2018 | 18,186 |
| 2020 | 18,749 |
| 2022 | 18,605 |
| 2024 | 18,689 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−219 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −5,356 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,582 in average income, against $61,671 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+6.8 on average — 6.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Kleberg County, TX itself (R+12.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Nueces County, TX225R+11.5
- Hidalgo County, TX40R+2.9
- Jim Wells County, TX35R+15.5
- Bexar County, TX33D+9.7
- Harris County, TX26D+5.5
- Cameron County, TX22R+5.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Nueces County, TX252
- Bexar County, TX94
- Hidalgo County, TX39
- Jim Wells County, TX38
- Harris County, TX29
- Travis County, TX27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −311 |
| 2012 | −311 |
| 2013 | −472 |
| 2014 | −520 |
| 2015 | −766 |
| 2016 | −353 |
| 2017 | −708 |
| 2018 | −232 |
| 2019 | −241 |
| 2021 | −343 |
| 2022 | −332 |
| 2023 | −301 |
| 2024 | −247 |
| 2025 | −219 |
Home to the King Ranch and the naval air station at Kingsville, Kleberg County has a majority-Hispanic population that moved roughly 20 points toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024, mirroring a broader Rio Grande corridor trend.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 12.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.7 points.
A population of 30,579, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,292 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Luna County and Imperial County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kleberg County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48273/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.