Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMcMullen CountyTexasUnited States
Mexican50.6%32.1%11.3%
Spanish8.6%——
Salvadoran3.0%1.2%0.7%
Irish20.3%6.0%9.4%
German10.9%8.3%12.5%
American4.3%4.6%5.3%
English4.1%7.9%9.5%
Scottish2.3%1.3%1.3%
French1.4%1.5%1.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
McMullen County
Texas
United States
Median age
31.8
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
4.6%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.2%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
McMullen County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$43,875
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.3%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
20.1%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
McMullen County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
26.4%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
26.4%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
McMullen County
Texas
United States
Catholic
33.3%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
21.5%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
45.2%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
McMullen County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 487 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
McMullen County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
12
142
0
154
7.8%
92.2%
R+84.4
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
10
115
1
126
7.9%
91.3%
R+83.3
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
9
106
1
116
7.8%
91.4%
R+83.6
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
6
85
0
91
6.6%
93.4%
R+86.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+50.4%
1908
+41.3%
1912
+66.1%
1916
+59.7%
1920
+36.8%
1924
−0.9%
1928
−1.0%
1932
+91.1%
1936
+75.5%
1940
+62.7%
1944
+31.2%
1948
+53.3%
1952
−30.0%
1956
−9.9%
1960
−0.2%
1964
+20.8%
1968
−2.1%
1972
−54.5%
1976
−5.6%
1980
−37.4%
1984
−69.3%
1988
−52.3%
1992
−44.2%
1996
−36.5%
2000
−64.0%
2004
−66.0%
2008
−49.9%
2012
−72.4%
2016
−83.0%
2020
−78.9%
2024
−84.4%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
7.6%Harris37
92.0%Trump448
0.4%Oliver2
R+84.4
R+5.5
R+82.9
487
All 3 candidates in 2024 · 1 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican92.0%448
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic7.6%37
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%2
R
10.3%Biden53
89.1%Trump460
0.4%Jorgensen2
R+78.9
D+4.1
R+83.3
516
R
8.0%Clinton40
91.0%Trump454
0.4%McMullin2
R+83.0
R+10.6
R+85.1
499
R
13.3%Obama67
85.7%Romney431
1.0%Gray5
R+72.4
R+22.5
R+76.2
503
R
24.6%Obama132
74.5%McCain400
0.9%
R+49.9
D+16.1
R+57.2
537
R
16.8%Kerry95
82.8%Bush467
0.4%
R+66.0
R+1.9
R+63.5
564
R
17.5%Gore77
81.5%Bush358
0.9%Nader4
R+64.0
R+27.5
R+64.5
439
R
27.2%Clinton117
63.7%Dole274
8.1%Perot35
R+36.5
D+7.7
R+45.0
430
R
17.6%Clinton78
61.9%Bush274
20.1%Perot89
R+44.2
D+8.0
R+49.8
443
R
23.6%Dukakis94
75.9%Bush302
0.5%
R+52.3
D+17.1
R+44.5
398
R
15.3%Mondale61
84.7%Reagan337
0.0%
R+69.3
R+31.9
R+51.1
398
R
30.7%Carter122
68.1%Reagan271
1.3%
R+37.4
R+31.8
R+27.7
398
R
47.2%Carter194
52.8%Ford217
0.0%
R+5.6
D+48.9
R+7.7
411
R
22.2%McGovern88
76.8%Nixon304
1.0%
R+54.5
R+52.4
R+31.4
396
R
37.4%Humphrey160
39.5%Nixon169
23.1%
R+2.1
R+22.9
R+1.4
428
D
60.3%Johnson267
39.5%Goldwater175
0.2%
D+20.8
D+21.0
R+1.8
443
R
49.9%Kennedy240
50.1%Nixon241
0.0%
R+0.2
D+9.7
R+0.4
481
R
44.8%Stevenson185
54.7%Eisenhower226
0.5%
R+9.9
D+20.1
D+5.5
413
R
34.9%Stevenson156
64.9%Eisenhower290
0.2%
R+30.0
R+83.3
R+19.2
447
D
73.5%Truman222
20.2%Dewey61
6.3%
D+53.3
D+22.1
D+48.8
302
D
59.5%Roosevelt223
28.3%Dewey106
12.3%
D+31.2
R+31.5
D+23.7
375
D
81.4%Roosevelt336
18.6%Willkie77
0.0%
D+62.7
R+12.8
D+52.8
413
D
87.7%Roosevelt265
12.3%Landon37
0.0%
D+75.5
R+15.6
D+51.2
302
D
95.6%Roosevelt258
4.4%Hoover12
0.0%
D+91.1
D+92.2
D+73.3
270
R
49.0%Smith94
50.0%Hoover96
1.0%
R+1.0
R+0.1
D+16.4
192
R
48.9%Davis109
49.8%Coolidge111
1.3%La Follette3
R+0.9
R+37.7
D+24.3
223
D
67.9%Cox72
31.1%Harding33
0.9%
D+36.8
R+22.9
D+63.0
106
D
79.9%Wilson115
20.1%Hughes29
0.0%
D+59.7
R+6.4
D+56.6
144
D
80.6%Wilson50
14.5%Taft9
4.8%
D+66.1
D+24.8
D+46.6
62
D
70.2%Bryan85
28.9%Taft35
0.8%
D+41.3
R+9.1
D+50.9
121
D
74.8%Parker86
24.3%Roosevelt28
0.9%
D+50.4
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D+70.1
115
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
10.1%48
88.9%423
476
2020
R
8.6%43
90.8%454
500
2018
R
9.5%41
90.0%387
430
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in McMullen County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
697
2018
687
2020
706
2022
660
2024
644
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−9 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −18 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,533 in average income, against $183,489 for residents who stayed — 64% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in McMullen County, TX in McMullen County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−17
2012
+31
2013
+37
2014
+29
2015
+18
2016
−24
2017
−44
2018
−38
2019
+11
2021
+6
2022
−14
2023
+9
2024
−13
2025
−9
McMullen County's 851 residents make it among the smallest electorates in Texas, yet it consistently records some of the widest presidential margins in the state, reflecting the deep Republican alignment of its ranching-dominated South Texas interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 84.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 84.4 points.
A population of 700, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,875 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hockley County and Garza County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, McMullen County, Texas voted Republican by 84.4 points (R+84.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 487 votes cast, 37 went Democratic and 448 went Republican.
When did McMullen County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McMullen County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in McMullen County, Texas?
McMullen County, Texas has a population of 700 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McMullen County, Texas?
Median household income in McMullen County, Texas is $43,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of McMullen County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McMullen County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.
