Medina County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 24,617 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2CPrecinct 2C | 723 | 2,151 | 27 | 2,901 | 24.9% | 74.1% | R+49.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B | 640 | 1,665 | 17 | 2,322 | 27.6% | 71.7% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1CPrecinct 1C | 817 | 1,480 | 16 | 2,313 | 35.3% | 64.0% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B | 518 | 1,729 | 20 | 2,267 | 22.8% | 76.3% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1BPrecinct 1B | 402 | 1,805 | 11 | 2,218 | 18.1% | 81.4% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3DPrecinct 3D | 748 | 1,179 | 10 | 1,937 | 38.6% | 60.9% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 541 | 1,192 | 18 | 1,751 | 30.9% | 68.1% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 797 | 921 | 22 | 1,740 | 45.8% | 52.9% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3CPrecinct 3C | 443 | 1,209 | 12 | 1,664 | 26.6% | 72.7% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4CPrecinct 4C | 586 | 956 | 13 | 1,555 | 37.7% | 61.5% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 235 | 948 | 10 | 1,193 | 19.7% | 79.5% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1DPrecinct 1D | 211 | 929 | 9 | 1,149 | 18.4% | 80.9% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A | 193 | 812 | 12 | 1,017 | 19.0% | 79.8% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3BPrecinct 3B | 88 | 375 | 6 | 469 | 18.8% | 80.0% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3EPrecinct 3E | 8 | 113 | 0 | 121 | 6.6% | 93.4% | R+86.8 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +14.7% |
| 1908 | −9.0% |
| 1912 | +36.8% |
| 1916 | +7.5% |
| 1920 | −15.0% |
| 1924 | +7.5% |
| 1928 | +5.9% |
| 1932 | +65.9% |
| 1936 | +35.7% |
| 1940 | +8.3% |
| 1944 | −4.1% |
| 1948 | +10.9% |
| 1952 | −27.0% |
| 1956 | −27.4% |
| 1960 | +6.8% |
| 1964 | +36.6% |
| 1968 | +7.9% |
| 1972 | −45.2% |
| 1976 | +6.1% |
| 1980 | −21.7% |
| 1984 | −30.5% |
| 1988 | −14.9% |
| 1992 | −11.7% |
| 1996 | −17.6% |
| 2000 | −35.5% |
| 2004 | −40.9% |
| 2008 | −33.9% |
| 2012 | −39.2% |
| 2016 | −43.2% |
| 2020 | −39.1% |
| 2024 | −42.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 31,508 |
| 2020 | 33,763 |
| 2022 | 35,611 |
| 2024 | 38,525 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,256 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +9,619 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $71,165 in average income, against $80,058 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.8 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Medina County, TX itself (R+42.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX901D+9.7
- Atascosa County, TX93R+43.3
- Frio County, TX39R+24.5
- Bandera County, TX35R+61.8
- Travis County, TX22D+39.3
- Comal County, TX21R+45.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX750
- Atascosa County, TX77
- Frio County, TX34
- Uvalde County, TX27
- Guadalupe County, TX22
- Bandera County, TX20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +189 |
| 2012 | +160 |
| 2013 | +345 |
| 2014 | +409 |
| 2015 | +374 |
| 2016 | +640 |
| 2017 | +746 |
| 2018 | +529 |
| 2019 | +578 |
| 2021 | +1,425 |
| 2022 | +1,246 |
| 2023 | +1,034 |
| 2024 | +688 |
| 2025 | +1,256 |
Medina County's sparse ranchland and small towns along the San Antonio exurban fringe have delivered lopsided Republican margins for decades, with the 2024 presidential result continuing a pattern of roughly 70-plus percent GOP support.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.7 points.
A population of 53,547, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,074 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Victoria County and Wharton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Medina County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48325/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.