Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMills CountyTexasUnited States
German15.7%8.3%12.5%
English13.3%7.9%9.5%
Irish10.4%6.0%9.4%
American6.8%4.6%5.3%
Scottish2.6%1.3%1.3%
Czech2.2%——
Scotch-Irish2.0%——
Italian0.8%1.9%4.8%
Mexican17.8%32.1%11.3%
Spaniard1.7%0.3%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Mills County
Texas
United States
Median age
47.9
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
6.4%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.0%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Mills County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$67,620
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.2%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.9%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Mills County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.6%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
13.3%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Mills County
Texas
United States
Catholic
10.1%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
68.0%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
13.6%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
8.3%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Mills County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 2,742 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Mills County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
74
659
4
737
10.0%
89.4%
R+79.4
Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8
69
448
3
520
13.3%
86.2%
R+72.9
Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9
65
402
4
471
13.8%
85.4%
R+71.5
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
31
349
1
381
8.1%
91.6%
R+83.5
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
30
237
2
269
11.2%
88.1%
R+77.0
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6
25
192
0
217
11.5%
88.5%
R+77.0
Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11
16
131
0
147
10.9%
89.1%
R+78.2
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1908
+43.8%
1912
+52.5%
1916
+58.2%
1920
+35.1%
1924
+73.5%
1928
−27.3%
1932
+83.0%
1936
+71.8%
1940
+70.5%
1944
+69.1%
1948
+65.6%
1952
−10.9%
1956
−10.7%
1960
−7.6%
1964
+42.5%
1968
+4.6%
1972
−47.3%
1976
+19.2%
1980
+2.1%
1984
−29.3%
1988
−10.6%
1992
+2.6%
1996
−14.6%
2000
−51.4%
2004
−61.8%
2008
−62.2%
2012
−72.8%
2016
−76.1%
2020
−77.7%
2024
−76.9%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
11.3%Harris310
88.2%Trump2,418
0.3%Oliver9 +2
R+76.9
D+0.8
R+75.4
2,742
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican88.2%2,418
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic11.3%310
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%9
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%4
OtherAll other candidates0.0%1
R
10.8%Biden271
88.5%Trump2,217
0.6%Jorgensen15
R+77.7
R+1.6
R+82.1
2,505
R
10.8%Clinton243
86.9%Trump1,951
1.8%Johnson41
R+76.1
R+3.2
R+78.2
2,245
R
12.7%Obama279
85.5%Romney1,882
1.5%Gray33
R+72.8
R+10.6
R+76.7
2,201
R
18.3%Obama398
80.5%McCain1,753
1.2%
R+62.2
R+0.5
R+69.5
2,177
R
18.6%Kerry416
80.4%Bush1,794
0.9%
R+61.8
R+10.3
R+59.3
2,231
R
23.7%Gore548
75.1%Bush1,738
0.6%Nader14
R+51.4
R+36.9
R+51.9
2,314
R
36.8%Clinton748
51.4%Dole1,044
11.3%Perot230
R+14.6
R+17.1
R+23.1
2,033
D
37.8%Clinton753
35.3%Bush702
26.6%Perot530
D+2.6
D+13.2
R+3.0
1,990
R
44.6%Dukakis842
55.2%Bush1,043
0.2%
R+10.6
D+18.6
R+2.9
1,888
R
35.1%Mondale688
64.4%Reagan1,262
0.5%
R+29.3
R+31.4
R+11.1
1,960
D
49.9%Carter1,028
47.8%Reagan985
2.2%
D+2.1
R+17.1
D+11.8
2,059
D
59.2%Carter1,012
40.0%Ford684
0.8%
D+19.2
D+66.5
D+17.1
1,710
R
26.2%McGovern388
73.4%Nixon1,089
0.4%
R+47.3
R+51.9
R+24.1
1,483
D
43.4%Humphrey722
38.8%Nixon645
17.8%
D+4.6
R+37.9
D+5.3
1,663
D
71.3%Johnson1,228
28.7%Goldwater495
0.0%
D+42.5
D+50.1
D+20.0
1,723
R
46.1%Kennedy869
53.6%Nixon1,012
0.3%
R+7.6
D+3.2
R+7.7
1,887
R
44.6%Stevenson735
55.3%Eisenhower912
0.1%
R+10.7
D+0.1
D+4.7
1,648
R
44.5%Stevenson875
55.4%Eisenhower1,089
0.1%
R+10.9
R+76.5
R+0.1
1,966
D
80.0%Truman1,135
14.5%Dewey205
5.5%
D+65.6
R+3.5
D+61.1
1,418
D
78.6%Roosevelt1,428
9.5%Dewey172
11.9%
D+69.1
R+1.3
D+61.6
1,817
D
85.2%Roosevelt1,658
14.7%Willkie287
0.1%
D+70.5
R+1.3
D+60.5
1,946
D
85.9%Roosevelt1,005
14.1%Landon165
0.0%
D+71.8
R+11.2
D+47.5
1,170
D
91.5%Roosevelt1,434
8.5%Hoover133
0.0%
D+83.0
D+110.3
D+65.2
1,567
R
36.3%Smith442
63.7%Hoover774
0.0%
R+27.3
R+100.8
R+9.8
1,216
D
85.1%Davis1,289
11.6%Coolidge175
3.4%La Follette51
D+73.5
D+38.4
D+98.7
1,515
D
55.7%Cox669
20.6%Harding247
23.7%
D+35.1
R+23.1
D+61.3
1,201
D
72.9%Wilson640
14.7%Hughes129
12.4%
D+58.2
D+5.7
D+55.1
878
D
62.5%Wilson573
10.0%Taft92
27.5%
D+52.5
D+8.7
D+32.9
917
D
67.8%Bryan567
24.0%Taft201
8.1%
D+43.8
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D+53.3
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
12.6%344
85.8%2,343
2,730
2020
R
10.1%252
88.3%2,196
2,487
2018
R
11.4%229
88.0%1,764
2,004
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Mills County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
3,335
2018
3,381
2020
3,429
2022
3,455
2024
3,626
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+21 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +458 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $90,008 in average income, against $74,646 for residents who stayed — 21% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Brown County, TX29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Mills County, TX in Mills County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−66
2012
−19
2013
+65
2014
+17
2015
+17
2016
+27
2017
+63
2018
−7
2019
+33
2021
+100
2022
+50
2023
+89
2024
+68
2025
+21
Mills County's sparse Hill Country ranching economy and population under 6,000 produce some of the state's widest presidential margins, with the 2024 result landing nearly 77 points to the right of the national median.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 77.7 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.9 points.
A population of 4,511, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,620 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Young County and Harper County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Mills County, Texas voted Republican by 76.9 points (R+76.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,742 votes cast, 310 went Democratic and 2,418 went Republican.
When did Mills County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mills County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Mills County, Texas?
Mills County, Texas has a population of 4,511 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mills County, Texas?
Median household income in Mills County, Texas is $67,620 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Mills County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mills County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
