† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
14 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWaco-Temple-BryanTexasUnited States
German12.4%8.3%12.5%
English9.1%7.9%9.5%
Irish7.9%6.0%9.4%
American5.1%4.6%5.3%
Italian2.2%1.9%4.8%
French1.7%1.5%1.6%
Czech1.6%——
Scottish1.2%1.3%1.3%
Mexican20.0%32.1%11.3%
Puerto Rican2.2%0.8%1.8%
Guatemalan0.3%0.4%0.5%
Cuban0.3%0.5%0.7%
Salvadoran0.3%1.2%0.7%
Spaniard0.3%0.3%—
Dominican0.2%—0.7%
African American†13.9%10.3%9.9%
African0.6%0.6%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%0.4%0.2%
Asian Indian0.6%1.8%1.4%
Filipino0.5%0.5%0.9%
Chinese0.4%0.8%1.3%
Korean0.4%0.3%0.4%
Vietnamese0.3%1.0%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Waco-Temple-Bryan
Texas
United States
Median age
33
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
14.6%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.7%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Waco-Temple-Bryan
Texas
United States
Median household income
$66,164
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.6%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.4%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Waco-Temple-Bryan
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.5%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
15.3%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Waco-Temple-Bryan
Texas
United States
Catholic
15.1%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
24.4%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.8%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+68.1%
1916
+65.4%
1920
+47.4%
1924
+65.1%
1928
+13.8%
1932
+86.5%
1936
+86.4%
1940
+74.1%
1944
+71.8%
1948
+63.5%
1952
+15.3%
1956
+10.6%
1960
+24.3%
1964
+50.0%
1968
+18.2%
1972
−37.2%
1976
+10.1%
1980
−7.9%
1984
−32.6%
1988
−17.2%
1992
−6.8%
1996
−9.1%
2000
−32.4%
2004
−34.1%
2008
−23.5%
2012
−30.2%
2016
−28.4%
2020
−23.1%
2024
−30.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
33.9%Harris143,050
64.9%Trump273,456
0.7%Oliver2,825 +2
R+30.9
R+7.9
R+29.5
421,503
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican64.9%273,456
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic33.9%143,050
Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%2,825
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%1,719
OtherAll other candidates0.1%453
R
37.5%Biden152,248
60.5%Trump246,046
2.0%
R+23.1
D+5.3
R+27.5
406,439
R
33.1%Clinton106,065
61.5%Trump196,909
5.4%
R+28.4
D+1.9
R+30.4
320,421
R
34.1%Obama99,331
64.4%Romney187,371
1.5%
R+30.2
R+6.7
R+34.1
291,154
R
37.8%Obama115,397
61.3%McCain187,254
0.9%
R+23.5
D+10.5
R+30.8
305,379
R
32.7%Kerry94,581
66.7%Bush193,180
0.6%
R+34.1
R+1.7
R+31.6
289,518
R
32.8%Gore81,326
65.1%Bush161,704
2.1%
R+32.4
R+23.3
R+32.9
248,212
R
41.4%Clinton91,628
50.5%Dole111,785
8.1%
R+9.1
R+2.3
R+17.6
221,301
R
35.6%Clinton85,064
42.3%Bush101,228
22.1%
R+6.8
D+10.5
R+12.3
239,030
R
41.1%Dukakis90,252
58.3%Bush128,173
0.6%
R+17.2
D+15.3
R+9.5
219,851
R
33.5%Mondale74,021
66.1%Reagan145,935
0.3%
R+32.6
R+24.7
R+14.4
220,724
R
44.6%Carter81,414
52.4%Reagan95,751
3.0%
R+7.9
R+17.9
D+1.9
182,627
D
54.6%Carter91,332
44.5%Ford74,469
0.9%
D+10.1
D+47.3
D+8.0
167,289
R
31.2%McGovern41,562
68.5%Nixon91,166
0.3%
R+37.2
R+55.4
R+14.1
133,172
D
49.5%Humphrey62,948
31.4%Nixon39,882
19.1%
D+18.2
R+31.8
D+18.8
127,079
D
74.9%Johnson81,600
25.0%Goldwater27,193
0.1%
D+50.0
D+25.7
D+27.4
108,895
D
62.0%Kennedy61,208
37.7%Nixon37,207
0.3%
D+24.3
D+13.7
D+24.1
98,744
D
55.2%Stevenson49,528
44.5%Eisenhower39,986
0.3%
D+10.6
R+4.6
D+26.0
89,792
D
57.6%Stevenson55,819
42.3%Eisenhower41,016
0.1%
D+15.3
R+48.3
D+26.0
96,957
D
78.1%Truman50,200
14.5%Dewey9,349
7.4%
D+63.5
R+8.3
D+59.1
64,286
D
80.5%Roosevelt51,786
8.7%Dewey5,597
10.8%
D+71.8
R+2.3
D+64.3
64,301
D
87.0%Roosevelt58,433
12.9%Willkie8,646
0.1%
D+74.1
R+12.3
D+64.2
67,151
D
93.0%Roosevelt45,573
6.6%Landon3,219
0.5%
D+86.4
R+0.1
D+62.1
49,022
D
93.1%Roosevelt51,785
6.6%Hoover3,648
0.4%
D+86.5
D+72.7
D+68.7
55,631
D
56.9%Smith25,249
43.0%Hoover19,112
0.1%
D+13.8
R+51.3
D+31.3
44,409
D
80.8%Davis43,983
15.6%Coolidge8,516
3.6%
D+65.1
D+17.7
D+90.3
54,457
D
60.4%Cox25,744
13.0%Harding5,526
26.6%
D+47.4
R+17.9
D+73.6
42,618
D
80.2%Wilson24,499
14.8%Hughes4,530
5.0%
D+65.4
R+2.7
D+62.2
30,556
D
76.9%Wilson18,994
8.9%Taft2,189
14.2%
D+68.1
—
D+48.5
24,690
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voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Waco-Temple-Bryan
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
340,482
2018 (partial)
583,745
2020
635,646
2022
659,496
2024
694,029
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+131 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +37,116 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Waco-Temple-Bryan in Waco-Temple-Bryan: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−2,848
2012
+1,549
2013
−6,272
2014
−3,083
2015
+4,104
2016
−783
2017
+5,786
2018
+4,233
2019
+6,690
2021
+12,799
2022
+8,914
2023
+7,355
2024
−1,459
2025
+131
Spanning McLennan, Bell, and Brazos counties, this market blends heavily evangelical small-city voters with the younger, more transient electorates anchored by Baylor, University of Mary Hardin-Baylor, and Texas A&M.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 37.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 1,144,021, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,164 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lubbock and Odessa-Midland.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/625/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 421,503 votes cast, 143,050 went Democratic and 273,456 went Republican.
When did Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas?
Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas has a population of 1,144,021 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas?
Median household income in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas is $66,164 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
