Newton County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 5,751 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 48 | 549 | 4 | 601 | 8.0% | 91.3% | R+83.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 67 | 470 | 2 | 539 | 12.4% | 87.2% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 165 | 358 | 1 | 524 | 31.5% | 68.3% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 28 | 347 | 1 | 376 | 7.4% | 92.3% | R+84.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 28 | 332 | 0 | 360 | 7.8% | 92.2% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 22 | 334 | 1 | 357 | 6.2% | 93.6% | R+87.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 24 | 274 | 0 | 298 | 8.1% | 91.9% | R+83.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 41 | 227 | 0 | 268 | 15.3% | 84.7% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 21 | 222 | 2 | 245 | 8.6% | 90.6% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 109 | 134 | 1 | 244 | 44.7% | 54.9% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 35 | 205 | 0 | 240 | 14.6% | 85.4% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8APrecinct 8A | 45 | 150 | 0 | 195 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 12 | 168 | 1 | 181 | 6.6% | 92.8% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 15 | 163 | 1 | 179 | 8.4% | 91.1% | R+82.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 71 | 96 | 0 | 167 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 8 | 150 | 0 | 158 | 5.1% | 94.9% | R+89.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 34 | 111 | 0 | 145 | 23.4% | 76.6% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 25 | 118 | 1 | 144 | 17.4% | 81.9% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 10 | 126 | 1 | 137 | 7.3% | 92.0% | R+84.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 71 | 25 | 1 | 97 | 73.2% | 25.8% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 4 | 93 | 0 | 97 | 4.1% | 95.9% | R+91.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 17 | 71 | 1 | 89 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8BPrecinct 8B | 14 | 46 | 0 | 60 | 23.3% | 76.7% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 50 | 76.0% | 24.0% | D+52.0 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +17.3% |
| 1908 | +58.1% |
| 1912 | +75.6% |
| 1916 | +82.3% |
| 1920 | +54.2% |
| 1924 | +67.2% |
| 1928 | +17.4% |
| 1932 | +94.2% |
| 1936 | +84.4% |
| 1940 | +83.5% |
| 1944 | +59.1% |
| 1948 | +60.5% |
| 1952 | +28.0% |
| 1956 | +0.3% |
| 1960 | +40.9% |
| 1964 | +49.8% |
| 1968 | +26.0% |
| 1972 | −8.6% |
| 1976 | +54.6% |
| 1980 | +40.4% |
| 1984 | +21.6% |
| 1988 | +37.3% |
| 1992 | +37.0% |
| 1996 | +25.7% |
| 2000 | +1.6% |
| 2004 | −11.3% |
| 2008 | −32.2% |
| 2012 | −41.5% |
| 2016 | −56.6% |
| 2020 | −60.9% |
| 2024 | −66.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,440 |
| 2018 | 9,290 |
| 2020 | 9,400 |
| 2022 | 9,376 |
| 2024 | 9,486 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+13 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −477 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,340 in average income, against $61,315 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+56.3 on average — 10 points more Democratic-leaning than Newton County, TX itself (R+66.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jasper County, TX82R+66.6
- Orange County, TX56R+66.7
- Harris County, TX23D+5.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jasper County, TX88
- Orange County, TX48
- Jefferson County, TX27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +118 |
| 2012 | −130 |
| 2013 | −65 |
| 2014 | −17 |
| 2015 | −135 |
| 2016 | +24 |
| 2017 | −201 |
| 2018 | −127 |
| 2019 | −94 |
| 2021 | +175 |
| 2022 | −47 |
| 2023 | +93 |
| 2024 | −84 |
| 2025 | +13 |
Newton County sits in the forested far east of Texas, where Republican presidential margins have held above 60 points for over a decade, reflecting a rural, majority-white electorate with limited population churn.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.6 points.
A population of 12,093, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,618 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Red River County and Bledsoe County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Newton County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48351/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.