Newton County, Texas: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+67%. Democratic peak: D+94 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 12,0932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $42,6182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Robertson County, TX · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Newton CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Newton County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +75.6% |
| 1916 | +82.3% |
| 1920 | +54.2% |
| 1924 | +67.2% |
| 1928 | +17.4% |
| 1932 | +94.2% |
| 1936 | +84.4% |
| 1940 | +83.5% |
| 1944 | +59.1% |
| 1948 | +60.5% |
| 1952 | +28.0% |
| 1956 | +0.3% |
| 1960 | +40.9% |
| 1964 | +49.8% |
| 1968 | +26.0% |
| 1972 | −8.6% |
| 1976 | +54.6% |
| 1980 | +40.4% |
| 1984 | +21.6% |
| 1988 | +37.3% |
| 1992 | +37.0% |
| 1996 | +25.7% |
| 2000 | +1.6% |
| 2004 | −11.3% |
| 2008 | −32.2% |
| 2012 | −41.5% |
| 2016 | −56.6% |
| 2020 | −60.9% |
| 2024 | −66.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 952 | 4,781 | 5,751 | ||
| R | 1,173 | 4,882 | 6,094 | ||
| R | 1,156 | 4,288 | 5,534 | ||
| R | 1,677 | 4,112 | 5,869 | ||
| R | 1,751 | 3,446 | 5,260 | ||
| R | 2,513 | 3,159 | 5,700 | ||
| D | 2,503 | 2,423 | 4,990 | ||
| D | 2,554 | 1,409 | 4,456 | ||
| D | 3,249 | 1,212 | 5,508 | ||
| D | 3,640 | 1,659 | 5,309 | ||
| D | 3,296 | 2,123 | 5,439 | ||
| D | 3,284 | 1,379 | 4,714 | ||
| D | 3,468 | 1,011 | 4,502 | ||
| R | 1,636 | 1,946 | 3,605 | ||
| O | 1,476 | 555 | 3,541 | ||
| D | 2,211 | 738 | 2,955 | ||
| D | 1,815 | 756 | 2,590 | ||
| D | 1,037 | 1,030 | 2,076 | ||
| D | 1,630 | 917 | 2,548 | ||
| D | 957 | 110 | 1,399 | ||
| D | 910 | 187 | 1,224 | ||
| D | 1,940 | 174 | 2,116 | ||
| D | 1,111 | 93 | 1,206 | ||
| D | 1,586 | 46 | 1,635 | ||
| D | 564 | 397 | 962 | ||
| D | 782 | 145 | 948 | ||
| D | 420 | 58 | 668 | ||
| D | 493 | 34 | 558 | ||
| D | 278 | 11 | 353 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
42.7%
English
9.1%
Irish
4.6%
German
3.9%
French
2.3%
Polish
0.8%
Scottish
0.7%
African American
13.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 46.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$42,618
Newton County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties.
Newton County$42,618
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Newton County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.8%
Working age (18–64)17.3%
Seniors (65+)19.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.5%
speak English only
Spanish1.8%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Newton County sits in the forested far east of Texas, where Republican presidential margins have held above 60 points for over a decade, reflecting a rural, majority-white electorate with limited population churn.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at ninety-four points in 1932 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2004 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by eleven points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-seven points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $42,618 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 19% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Robertson County and Hughes County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Newton County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48351/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Texas
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Frequently asked questions
How did Newton County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Newton County, Texas voted Republican by 66.6 points (R+67), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,751 votes cast, 952 went Democratic and 4,781 went Republican.
What is Newton County, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Newton County, Texas in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Newton County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Newton County, Texas voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Newton County, Texas?
Newton County, Texas has a population of 12,093 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Newton County, Texas?
Median household income in Newton County, Texas is $42,618 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Newton County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Newton County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.