Nolan County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 5,122 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 165 | 850 | 10 | 1,025 | 16.1% | 82.9% | R+66.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 230 | 707 | 9 | 946 | 24.3% | 74.7% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 224 | 599 | 14 | 837 | 26.8% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 120 | 572 | 8 | 700 | 17.1% | 81.7% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 106 | 533 | 6 | 645 | 16.4% | 82.6% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 131 | 384 | 3 | 518 | 25.3% | 74.1% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 12 | 199 | 2 | 213 | 5.6% | 93.4% | R+87.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 10 | 109 | 1 | 120 | 8.3% | 90.8% | R+82.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 22 | 95 | 1 | 118 | 18.6% | 80.5% | R+61.9 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +66.1% |
| 1908 | +71.3% |
| 1912 | +72.6% |
| 1916 | +78.5% |
| 1920 | +64.8% |
| 1924 | +58.9% |
| 1928 | −17.5% |
| 1932 | +83.5% |
| 1936 | +82.8% |
| 1940 | +74.9% |
| 1944 | +73.4% |
| 1948 | +70.2% |
| 1952 | +3.6% |
| 1956 | +6.3% |
| 1960 | +14.6% |
| 1964 | +37.4% |
| 1968 | +13.7% |
| 1972 | −46.1% |
| 1976 | +12.0% |
| 1980 | +0.3% |
| 1984 | −17.7% |
| 1988 | +2.1% |
| 1992 | +8.4% |
| 1996 | +7.7% |
| 2000 | −27.5% |
| 2004 | −41.2% |
| 2008 | −38.8% |
| 2012 | −45.2% |
| 2016 | −51.9% |
| 2020 | −55.3% |
| 2024 | −59.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,747 |
| 2018 | 8,789 |
| 2020 | 8,871 |
| 2022 | 8,751 |
| 2024 | 8,494 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+9 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,317 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,486 in average income, against $70,351 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.8 on average — 9.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Nolan County, TX itself (R+59.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Taylor County, TX54R+49.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Taylor County, TX79
- Fisher County, TX21
- Tom Green County, TX21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −74 |
| 2012 | −250 |
| 2013 | +99 |
| 2014 | +8 |
| 2015 | −60 |
| 2016 | −125 |
| 2017 | −224 |
| 2018 | −106 |
| 2019 | −115 |
| 2021 | −104 |
| 2022 | −138 |
| 2023 | −156 |
| 2024 | −81 |
| 2025 | +9 |
Nolan County sits along the I-20 corridor in the rolling plains west of Abilene, where a sparse, energy-dependent economy has anchored some of the most lopsided Republican presidential margins in Texas for well over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.2 points.
A population of 14,454, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,747 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Garza County and Dawson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nolan County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48353/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.