HarrisDemocratic58.8%2,940TrumpRepublican37.9%1,893KennedyIndependent1.6%79
D+20.9- Lead
- 1,047
- Total
- 5,001
- vs nation
- D+22.4
- Turnout
- 82.3%
Akashiccounty
Grand Isle County, VT
Contests in this Place (100 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 82.3% of 6,078 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic59.9%2,905TrumpRepublican37.3%1,810OTHO0.9%42
D+22.6- Lead
- 1,095
- Total
- 4,851
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Turnout
- 83.6%
ClintonDemocratic51.0%2,094TrumpRepublican36.2%1,487SANO7.0%289
D+14.8- Lead
- 607
- Total
- 4,109
- vs nation
- D+12.7
- Turnout
- 75.2%
ObamaDemocratic62.1%2,531RomneyRepublican36.1%1,471JohnsonLibertarian0.9%37
D+26.0- Lead
- 1,060
- Total
- 4,075
- vs nation
- D+22.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic63.1%2,694McCainRepublican34.9%1,490OtherAll other candidates2.0%85
D+28.2- Lead
- 1,204
- Total
- 4,269
- vs nation
- D+20.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic55.1%2,246BushRepublican43.0%1,754OtherAll other candidates1.9%77
D+12.1- Lead
- 492
- Total
- 4,077
- vs nation
- D+14.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.4%1,835BushRepublican42.6%1,550NaderGreen4.8%174
D+7.8- Lead
- 285
- Total
- 3,638
- vs nation
- D+7.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.1%1,555DoleRepublican31.5%958PerotReform14.5%441
D+19.6- Lead
- 597
- Total
- 3,041
- vs nation
- D+11.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,4502024 5-year
- Population density
- 91 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 81.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,3962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bennington County, VT · twin score 94.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 82.3%5,001 participants ÷ 6,078 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 65.3%–68.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,001 | 6,078 ± 99 | 82.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,967 | 5,953 ± 122 | 66.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 4,851 | 5,803 ± 91 | 83.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,709 | 5,674 ± 88 | 65.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 4,199 | 5,586 ± 69 | 75.2% | Audited | B/A | |
| 4,075 | 5,543 | 73.5% | Derived | — | |
| 4,269 | 5,887 | 72.5% | Derived | — | |
| 4,077 | 6,231 extrapolated | 65.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Grand Isle County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Grand Isle County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ALY RICHARDS0—
AMANDA JANOO0—
PHIL SCOTT0—
Write-in0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 5 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 5,001 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -013-Grand Isle013-Grand Isle | 1,619 | 815 | 84 | 2,518 | 64.3% | 32.4% | D+31.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -013-Alburgh013-Alburgh | 945 | 818 | 63 | 1,826 | 51.8% | 44.8% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -013-Isle La Motte013-Isle La Motte | 376 | 259 | 22 | 657 | 57.2% | 39.4% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -013-North Hero013-North Hero | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -013-South Hero013-South Hero | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Grand Isle County, VT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.3%
996 votes · D+32.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 63.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
73.6%
343 votes · R+50.2
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 71.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,940votes
58.8% of the vote · D+20.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,905 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,893votes
37.9% of the vote · D+20.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,810 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+22.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.9 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +22.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+37.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +33.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRandy BrockState Senate · Franklin
RBob NorrisState Senate · Franklin
RPatrick BrennanState Senate · Grand Isle
RLeland MorganState House · Grand Isle-Chittenden
RMike MorganState House · Grand Isle-Chittenden
Seats representing Grand Isle County, VT. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,749 |
| 2018 | 5,731 |
| 2020 | 5,777 |
| 2022 | 6,229 |
| 2024 | 6,326 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+23 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +585 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $75,547 in average income, against $99,695 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+33.6 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Grand Isle County, VT itself (D+20.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Chittenden County, VT105D+53.1
- Franklin County, VT67D+3.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Chittenden County, VT102
- Franklin County, VT48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +7 |
| 2012 | +4 |
| 2013 | +9 |
| 2014 | −14 |
| 2015 | −99 |
| 2016 | +57 |
| 2017 | +65 |
| 2018 | +118 |
| 2019 | +114 |
| 2021 | +162 |
| 2022 | +94 |
| 2023 | +13 |
| 2024 | +32 |
| 2025 | +23 |
Grand Isle's chain of lake islands gives it a distinct geography among Vermont's 14 counties, and its roughly 6,900 residents backed the Democratic presidential nominee by about 21 points in 2024, broadly in line with statewide trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.9 points.
A population of 7,450, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,396 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bennington County and Washington County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bennington County
Vermont
94.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Washington County
Vermont
94.1twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
Addison County
Vermont
93.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Grand Isle County, Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/50013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Grand Isle County, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Grand Isle County, Vermont voted Democratic by 20.9 points (D+20.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,001 votes cast, 2,940 went Democratic and 1,893 went Republican.
When did Grand Isle County, Vermont last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Grand Isle County, Vermont voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Grand Isle County, Vermont?
Grand Isle County, Vermont has a population of 7,450 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Grand Isle County, Vermont?
Median household income in Grand Isle County, Vermont is $97,396 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Grand Isle County, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Grand Isle County, Vermont from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.