HarrisDemocratic46.3%5,240TrumpRepublican52.0%5,882OliverLibertarian0.6%69
R+5.7- Lead
- 642
- Total
- 11,319
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- 66.8%
Akashiccounty
Waynesboro city, VA
Contests in this Place (62 available)
President20 · 1948–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1948–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.8% of 17,010 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.3%4,961TrumpRepublican51.4%5,507JorgensenLibertarian2.0%209
R+5.1- Lead
- 546
- Total
- 10,717
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- 65.1%
ClintonDemocratic40.9%3,764TrumpRepublican52.2%4,801JohnsonLibertarian3.7%336
R+11.3- Lead
- 1,037
- Total
- 9,204
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- 58.6%
ObamaDemocratic43.7%3,840RomneyRepublican54.5%4,790OtherAll other candidates1.8%161
R+10.8- Lead
- 950
- Total
- 8,791
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.1%3,906McCainRepublican54.3%4,815OtherAll other candidates1.6%139
R+10.3- Lead
- 909
- Total
- 8,860
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic35.1%2,792BushRepublican63.9%5,092OtherAll other candidates1.0%79
R+28.9- Lead
- 2,300
- Total
- 7,963
- vs nation
- R+26.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.5%2,737BushRepublican57.5%4,084NaderGreen3.3%233
R+19.0- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 7,102
- vs nation
- R+19.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.5%2,398DoleRepublican52.7%3,466PerotReform7.0%462
R+16.2- Lead
- 1,068
- Total
- 6,576
- vs nation
- R+24.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,8412024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,523 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,9942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+5.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Staunton city, VA · twin score 88.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 66.8%11,369 participants ÷ 17,010 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 45.5%–50.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,369 | 17,010 ± 314 | 66.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,336 | 16,793 ± 268 | 43.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,771 | 16,556 ± 314 | 65.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 7,791 | 16,228 ± 263 | 48.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,240 | 15,767 ± 259 | 58.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 8,791 | 15,600 | 56.4% | Derived | — | |
| 8,860 | 16,024 | 55.3% | Derived | — | |
| 7,963 | 16,448 extrapolated | 48.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Waynesboro city only. The complete district Class 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Waynesboro city result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Bert Mizusawa0—
David E. Williams0—
Kim Farington0—
District Class 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 8 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 11,319 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -002 - WARD B002 - WARD B | 1,668 | 1,638 | 63 | 3,369 | 49.5% | 48.6% | D+0.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -004 - WARD D004 - WARD D | 1,416 | 1,739 | 54 | 3,209 | 44.1% | 54.2% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -003 - WARD C003 - WARD C | 1,284 | 1,435 | 47 | 2,766 | 46.4% | 51.9% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct -001 - WARD A001 - WARD A | 872 | 1,070 | 33 | 1,975 | 44.2% | 54.2% | R+10.0 |
| Ward A51820000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward B51820000002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward C51820000003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ward D51820000004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Waynesboro city, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1948–2024 · 20 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
52.3%
2,369 votes · D+5.8
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 46.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
77.8%
4,163 votes · R+57.9
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 73.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,240votes
46.3% of the vote · R+5.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,961 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,882votes
52.0% of the vote · R+5.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,507 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
−4.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −4.2 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+39.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.8 · U.S. D+0.2
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +34.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RChris HeadState Senate · 3
REllen McLaughlinState House · 36
Seats representing Waynesboro city, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,161 |
| 2018 | 13,360 |
| 2020 | 14,642 |
| 2022 | 15,436 |
| 2024 | 16,422 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+324 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,127 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,115 in average income, against $66,211 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+11.7 on average — 6.1 points more Republican-leaning than Waynesboro city, VA itself (R+5.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Augusta County, VA320R+47.3
- Albemarle County, VA135D+33.9
- Staunton city, VA100D+13.3
- Rockingham County, VA37R+36.8
- Harrisonburg city, VA32D+25.2
- Charlottesville city, VA30D+68.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Augusta County, VA330
- Staunton city, VA91
- Albemarle County, VA64
- Rockingham County, VA30
- Harrisonburg city, VA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +55 |
| 2012 | −97 |
| 2013 | +55 |
| 2014 | +19 |
| 2015 | +172 |
| 2016 | +111 |
| 2017 | +350 |
| 2018 | +116 |
| 2019 | −60 |
| 2021 | +274 |
| 2022 | +133 |
| 2023 | +311 |
| 2024 | +364 |
| 2025 | +324 |
Waynesboro sits at the eastern foot of the Blue Ridge near Augusta County but votes measurably more competitively than its surrounding rural neighbors, reflecting modest urban density and a manufacturing-to-service economic transition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 22,841, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,994 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Staunton city and Winchester city.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Staunton city
Virginia
88.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory≠ college share
Winchester city
Virginia
87.4twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Harrisonburg city
Virginia
78.8twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2024 margin≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waynesboro city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Waynesboro city
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Frequently asked questions
How did Waynesboro city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waynesboro city, Virginia voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+5.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,319 votes cast, 5,240 went Democratic and 5,882 went Republican.
When did Waynesboro city, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waynesboro city, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Waynesboro city, Virginia?
Waynesboro city, Virginia has a population of 22,841 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waynesboro city, Virginia?
Median household income in Waynesboro city, Virginia is $59,994 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Waynesboro city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Waynesboro city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.