- Lead
- 6,622
- Total
- 13,233
- vs nation
- R+48.6
- Turnout
- 55.2%
Marshall County, WV
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.2% of 24,152 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,980
- Total
- 14,080
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- 57.0%
- Lead
- 6,748
- Total
- 13,353
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Turnout
- 52.8%
- Lead
- 3,651
- Total
- 12,960
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,763
- Total
- 14,000
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,081
- Total
- 15,072
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 859
- Total
- 13,498
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,585
- Total
- 13,785
- vs nation
- D+10.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,8652024 5-year
- Population density
- 98 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 305 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,1692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Venango County, PA · twin score 85.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 55.2%13,341 participants ÷ 24,152 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 36.4%–41.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,341 | 24,152 ± 88 | 55.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,454 | 24,781 ± 150 | 38.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,151 | 24,829 ± 191 | 57.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 10,948 | 25,295 ± 162 | 43.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,585 | 25,713 ± 133 | 52.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,960 | 26,076 | 49.7% | Derived | — | |
| 14,000 | 26,144 | 53.5% | Derived | — | |
| 15,072 | 26,212 extrapolated | 57.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Marshall County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Marshall County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 35 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 13,233 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1313 | 260 | 560 | 21 | 841 | 30.9% | 66.6% | R+35.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3030 | 214 | 472 | 9 | 695 | 30.8% | 67.9% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -3434 | 215 | 429 | 8 | 652 | 33.0% | 65.8% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -77 | 174 | 447 | 18 | 639 | 27.2% | 70.0% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -4444 | 224 | 403 | 10 | 637 | 35.2% | 63.3% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -3333 | 172 | 449 | 15 | 636 | 27.0% | 70.6% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -4343 | 92 | 445 | 10 | 547 | 16.8% | 81.4% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -4646 | 95 | 421 | 7 | 523 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -1111 | 117 | 335 | 8 | 460 | 25.4% | 72.8% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -2525 | 137 | 308 | 10 | 455 | 30.1% | 67.7% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -5858 | 67 | 366 | 5 | 438 | 15.3% | 83.6% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -6060 | 35 | 379 | 11 | 425 | 8.2% | 89.2% | R+80.9 |
| Precinct -3535 | 71 | 349 | 4 | 424 | 16.7% | 82.3% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -9A9A | 100 | 276 | 8 | 384 | 26.0% | 71.9% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -44 | 107 | 268 | 8 | 383 | 27.9% | 70.0% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -1818 | 111 | 267 | 3 | 381 | 29.1% | 70.1% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -15A15A | 66 | 250 | 6 | 322 | 20.5% | 77.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -1717 | 94 | 213 | 5 | 312 | 30.1% | 68.3% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -3838 | 47 | 254 | 9 | 310 | 15.2% | 81.9% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -5252 | 46 | 255 | 8 | 309 | 14.9% | 82.5% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -3939 | 85 | 218 | 4 | 307 | 27.7% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -99 | 76 | 220 | 11 | 307 | 24.8% | 71.7% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -1212 | 52 | 234 | 1 | 287 | 18.1% | 81.5% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -1010 | 58 | 213 | 3 | 274 | 21.2% | 77.7% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -2929 | 41 | 222 | 5 | 268 | 15.3% | 82.8% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -2424 | 90 | 170 | 5 | 265 | 34.0% | 64.2% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -5656 | 45 | 214 | 4 | 263 | 17.1% | 81.4% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -2727 | 51 | 189 | 4 | 244 | 20.9% | 77.5% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -17A17A | 62 | 164 | 3 | 229 | 27.1% | 71.6% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -3636 | 25 | 192 | 3 | 220 | 11.4% | 87.3% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -2222 | 49 | 158 | 3 | 210 | 23.3% | 75.2% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -4141 | 28 | 144 | 3 | 175 | 16.0% | 82.3% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -2323 | 32 | 114 | 4 | 150 | 21.3% | 76.0% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -1919 | 28 | 113 | 1 | 142 | 19.7% | 79.6% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -4545 | 20 | 97 | 2 | 119 | 16.8% | 81.5% | R+64.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Marshall County, WV · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.6%
11,757 votes · D+31.1
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 56.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.1%
9,808 votes · R+50.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
11,757votes
65.6% of the vote · D+31.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 9,198 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
10,966votes
63.2% of the vote · R+26.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,435 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+15.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.5 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +14.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+54.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +52.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Marshall County, WV. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 34 points more Republican than the rolls.
19,805 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+7 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,169 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,627 in average income, against $77,946 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.5 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Marshall County, WV itself (R+50.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ohio County, WV156R+26.0
- Belmont County, OH67R+47.3
- Wetzel County, WV34R+55.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ohio County, WV171
- Belmont County, OH101
- Wetzel County, WV27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −75 |
| 2012 | +5 |
| 2013 | −100 |
| 2014 | −201 |
| 2015 | −70 |
| 2016 | −378 |
| 2017 | −383 |
| 2018 | −311 |
| 2019 | −177 |
| 2021 | −111 |
| 2022 | −237 |
| 2023 | −70 |
| 2024 | −68 |
| 2025 | +7 |
Marshall County sits along the Ohio River in West Virginia's northern panhandle, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+50 reflects a two-decade realignment driven largely by shifts among working-class voters in legacy energy and manufacturing communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 50.0 points.
A population of 29,865, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,169 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Venango County and Susquehanna County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marshall County, West Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/54051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.