HarrisDemocratic54.3%6,107TrumpRepublican43.2%4,860KennedyNonpartisan0.8%88
D+11.1- Lead
- 1,247
- Total
- 11,240
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- 81.9%
Akashiccounty
Bayfield County, WI
Contests in this Place (89 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.9% of 13,801 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic56.5%6,147TrumpRepublican42.4%4,617JorgensenLibertarian0.7%80
D+14.1- Lead
- 1,530
- Total
- 10,880
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Turnout
- 88.1%
ClintonDemocratic51.5%4,953TrumpRepublican42.9%4,124JohnsonLibertarian2.0%197
D+8.6- Lead
- 829
- Total
- 9,612
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- 79.3%
ObamaDemocratic61.6%6,033RomneyRepublican36.8%3,603ManskiIndependent0.7%67
D+24.8- Lead
- 2,430
- Total
- 9,788
- vs nation
- D+21.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic63.1%5,972McCainRepublican35.5%3,365OtherAll other candidates1.4%131
D+27.5- Lead
- 2,607
- Total
- 9,468
- vs nation
- D+20.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic60.3%5,845BushRepublican38.7%3,754OtherAll other candidates1.0%100
D+21.6- Lead
- 2,091
- Total
- 9,699
- vs nation
- D+24.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic53.6%4,427BushRepublican39.5%3,266NaderGreen6.2%511
D+14.1- Lead
- 1,161
- Total
- 8,259
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.1%3,895DoleRepublican30.7%2,250PerotReform12.2%899
D+22.4- Lead
- 1,645
- Total
- 7,340
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,5752024 5-year
- Population density
- 11 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,478 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,1512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lake County, MN · twin score 93.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 81.9%11,306 participants ÷ 13,801 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 63.4%–69.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,306 | 13,801 ± 62 | 81.9% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,351 | 13,437 ± 64 | 69.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 10,939 | 12,415 ± 51 | 88.1% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 8,863 | 12,247 ± 60 | 72.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 9,678 | 12,208 ± 61 | 79.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 9,788 | 12,183 | 80.3% | Derived | — | |
| 9,468 | 11,943 | 79.3% | Derived | — | |
| 9,699 | 11,703 extrapolated | 82.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 312/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 307/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 302/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 298/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.0%; series 294/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 28 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 11,240 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF WASHBURN WARDS 1-5CITY OF WASHBURN WARDS 1-5 | 950 | 337 | 27 | 1,314 | 72.3% | 25.6% | D+46.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF IRON RIVER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF IRON RIVER WARDS 1-2 | 389 | 467 | 9 | 865 | 45.0% | 54.0% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BARNES WARD 1TOWN OF BARNES WARD 1 | 315 | 386 | 24 | 725 | 43.4% | 53.2% | R+9.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF RUSSELL WARDS 1-3TOWN OF RUSSELL WARDS 1-3 | 540 | 96 | 18 | 654 | 82.6% | 14.7% | D+67.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CABLE WARD 1TOWN OF CABLE WARD 1 | 259 | 358 | 7 | 624 | 41.5% | 57.4% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BAYFIELD WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BAYFIELD WARDS 1-2 | 406 | 163 | 13 | 582 | 69.8% | 28.0% | D+41.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BARKSDALE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BARKSDALE WARDS 1-2 | 282 | 243 | 9 | 534 | 52.8% | 45.5% | D+7.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF EILEEN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF EILEEN WARDS 1-2 | 200 | 284 | 10 | 494 | 40.5% | 57.5% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OULU WARD 1TOWN OF OULU WARD 1 | 177 | 213 | 19 | 409 | 43.3% | 52.1% | R+8.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WASHBURN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WASHBURN WARDS 1-2 | 257 | 127 | 16 | 400 | 64.3% | 31.8% | D+32.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DRUMMOND WARDS 1-2TOWN OF DRUMMOND WARDS 1-2 | 208 | 182 | 7 | 397 | 52.4% | 45.8% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GRAND VIEW WARD 1TOWN OF GRAND VIEW WARD 1 | 165 | 194 | 29 | 388 | 42.5% | 50.0% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF BAYFIELD WARDS 1-4CITY OF BAYFIELD WARDS 1-4 | 306 | 67 | 4 | 377 | 81.2% | 17.8% | D+63.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BAYVIEW WARD 1TOWN OF BAYVIEW WARD 1 | 221 | 141 | 11 | 373 | 59.2% | 37.8% | D+21.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HUGHES WARD 1TOWN OF HUGHES WARD 1 | 173 | 192 | 8 | 373 | 46.4% | 51.5% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NAMAKAGON WARD 1TOWN OF NAMAKAGON WARD 1 | 130 | 172 | 5 | 307 | 42.3% | 56.0% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BELL WARD 1TOWN OF BELL WARD 1 | 196 | 85 | 8 | 289 | 67.8% | 29.4% | D+38.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KELLY WARD 1TOWN OF KELLY WARD 1 | 94 | 185 | 6 | 285 | 33.0% | 64.9% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PORT WING WARD 1TOWN OF PORT WING WARD 1 | 170 | 109 | 5 | 284 | 59.9% | 38.4% | D+21.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DELTA WARD 1TOWN OF DELTA WARD 1 | 118 | 140 | 6 | 264 | 44.7% | 53.0% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KEYSTONE WARD 1TOWN OF KEYSTONE WARD 1 | 82 | 157 | 2 | 241 | 34.0% | 65.1% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLOVER WARD 1TOWN OF CLOVER WARD 1 | 121 | 90 | 4 | 215 | 56.3% | 41.9% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LINCOLN WARD 1TOWN OF LINCOLN WARD 1 | 69 | 123 | 5 | 197 | 35.0% | 62.4% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MASON WARD 1TOWN OF MASON WARD 1 | 64 | 111 | 5 | 180 | 35.6% | 61.7% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TRIPP WARD 1TOWN OF TRIPP WARD 1 | 73 | 74 | 8 | 155 | 47.1% | 47.7% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PILSEN WARD 1TOWN OF PILSEN WARD 1 | 77 | 73 | 2 | 152 | 50.7% | 48.0% | D+2.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ORIENTA WARD 1TOWN OF ORIENTA WARD 1 | 44 | 58 | 3 | 105 | 41.9% | 55.2% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MASON WARD 1VILLAGE OF MASON WARD 1 | 21 | 33 | 3 | 57 | 36.8% | 57.9% | R+21.1 |
presidential history
Party record book
Bayfield County, WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.1%
3,875 votes · D+34.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 65.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
85.0%
2,665 votes · R+73.8
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 76.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,147votes
56.5% of the vote · D+14.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 6,107 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,860votes
43.2% of the vote · D+11.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,617 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+25.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.4 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +24.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+54.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.8 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +49.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRomaine QuinnState Senate · 25
DAngela StroudState House · 73
RChanz GreenState House · 74
Seats representing Bayfield County, WI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+76 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,267 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $80,839 in average income, against $76,047 for residents who stayed — 6% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.1 on average — 5.0 points more Republican-leaning than Bayfield County, WI itself (D+11.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Ashland County, WI84D+4.7
- Douglas County, WI47D+5.3
- St. Louis County, MN21D+13.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ashland County, WI80
- Douglas County, WI38
- St. Louis County, MN30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +75 |
| 2012 | −5 |
| 2013 | +93 |
| 2014 | −100 |
| 2015 | +22 |
| 2016 | +18 |
| 2017 | +130 |
| 2018 | +55 |
| 2019 | +91 |
| 2021 | +189 |
| 2022 | +382 |
| 2023 | +178 |
| 2024 | +63 |
| 2025 | +76 |
Bayfield County's Bad River and Red Cliff Ojibwe reservations give it a demographic profile unlike most rural Wisconsin counties, and its consistent Democratic lean in presidential races reflects that distinct electorate alongside a significant retiree and outdoor-recreation population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.8 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.1 points.
A population of 16,575, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,151 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lake County and Douglas County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lake County
Minnesota
93.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Douglas County
Wisconsin
90.9twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ median age
Sawyer County
Wisconsin
89.0twin score
median age% unaffiliated2008 margin≠ 2004 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bayfield County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bayfield County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bayfield County, Wisconsin voted Democratic by 11.1 points (D+11.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,240 votes cast, 6,107 went Democratic and 4,860 went Republican.
When did Bayfield County, Wisconsin last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bayfield County, Wisconsin voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Bayfield County, Wisconsin?
Bayfield County, Wisconsin has a population of 16,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bayfield County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Bayfield County, Wisconsin is $71,151 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Bayfield County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bayfield County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.