- Lead
- 421
- Total
- 8,955
- vs nation
- D+6.2
- Turnout
- 71.7%
Ashland County, WI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.7% of 12,583 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 960
- Total
- 8,757
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- 72.9%
- Lead
- 923
- Total
- 8,032
- vs nation
- D+9.4
- Turnout
- 66.1%
- Lead
- 2,579
- Total
- 8,372
- vs nation
- D+27.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,184
- Total
- 8,574
- vs nation
- D+29.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,492
- Total
- 9,199
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,318
- Total
- 7,890
- vs nation
- D+16.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,945
- Total
- 6,798
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,0802024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,045 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,4622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Douglas County, WI · twin score 93.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 71.7%9,026 participants ÷ 12,583 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 55.1%–59.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9,026 | 12,583 ± 155 | 71.7% | Audited | D/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,062 | 12,553 ± 109 | 56.3% | Audited | D/A |
| 8,775 | 12,034 ± 88 | 72.9% | Audited | D/A | |
| 2018Mid | 6,969 | 12,127 ± 83 | 57.5% | Audited | D/A |
| 8,103 | 12,263 ± 76 | 66.1% | Audited | D/A | |
| 8,372 | 12,321 | 67.9% | Derived | — | |
| 8,574 | 12,418 | 69.0% | Derived | — | |
| 9,199 | 12,515 extrapolated | 73.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 47.4%; series 312/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 48.1%; series 307/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 48.5%; series 302/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 49.1%; series 298/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 49.9%; series 294/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 16 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 8,955 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF ASHLAND WARDS 1-21CITY OF ASHLAND WARDS 1-21 | 2,598 | 1,563 | 83 | 4,244 | 61.2% | 36.8% | D+24.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF WHITE RIVER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WHITE RIVER WARDS 1-2 | 147 | 439 | 7 | 593 | 24.8% | 74.0% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SANBORN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SANBORN WARDS 1-2 | 427 | 97 | 4 | 528 | 80.9% | 18.4% | D+62.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GINGLES WARDS 1-2TOWN OF GINGLES WARDS 1-2 | 223 | 268 | 5 | 496 | 45.0% | 54.0% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF JACOBS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF JACOBS WARDS 1-2 | 114 | 281 | 6 | 401 | 28.4% | 70.1% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ASHLAND WARD 1TOWN OF ASHLAND WARD 1 | 137 | 208 | 4 | 349 | 39.3% | 59.6% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MORSE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MORSE WARDS 1-2 | 136 | 190 | 7 | 333 | 40.8% | 57.1% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MELLEN WARD 1CITY OF MELLEN WARD 1 | 144 | 184 | 4 | 332 | 43.4% | 55.4% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LA POINTE WARD 1TOWN OF LA POINTE WARD 1 | 246 | 62 | 7 | 315 | 78.1% | 19.7% | D+58.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF AGENDA WARD 1TOWN OF AGENDA WARD 1 | 70 | 206 | 1 | 277 | 25.3% | 74.4% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHIPPEWA WARD 1TOWN OF CHIPPEWA WARD 1 | 78 | 171 | 9 | 258 | 30.2% | 66.3% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MARENGO WARD 1TOWN OF MARENGO WARD 1 | 93 | 153 | 7 | 253 | 36.8% | 60.5% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GORDON WARD 1TOWN OF GORDON WARD 1 | 66 | 129 | 2 | 197 | 33.5% | 65.5% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BUTTERNUT WARD 1VILLAGE OF BUTTERNUT WARD 1 | 76 | 108 | 4 | 188 | 40.4% | 57.4% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PEEKSVILLE WARD 1TOWN OF PEEKSVILLE WARD 1 | 34 | 75 | 0 | 109 | 31.2% | 68.8% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SHANAGOLDEN WARD 1TOWN OF SHANAGOLDEN WARD 1 | 23 | 57 | 2 | 82 | 28.0% | 69.5% | R+41.5 |
presidential history
Party record book
Ashland County, WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.9%
5,383 votes · D+42.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 68.0%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
71.4%
3,406 votes · R+50.4
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
5,904votes
68.0% of the vote · D+39.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 5,818 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
4,451votes
53.5% of the vote · R+7.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 4,191 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+32.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.1 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +29.9 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+30.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.4 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +25.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Ashland County, WI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 52.0%4,499 | 48.0%4,161 | 8,660 |
| 2020 | D | 59.3%3,687 | 40.7%2,529 | 6,216 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+26 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −329 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,748 in average income, against $63,845 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.0 on average — 2.7 points more Republican-leaning than Ashland County, WI itself (D+4.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bayfield County, WI80D+11.1
- Price County, WI22R+31.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bayfield County, WI84
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −97 |
| 2012 | −219 |
| 2013 | +116 |
| 2014 | +28 |
| 2015 | −170 |
| 2016 | −181 |
| 2017 | −123 |
| 2018 | +80 |
| 2019 | −40 |
| 2021 | +86 |
| 2022 | +32 |
| 2023 | +60 |
| 2024 | +73 |
| 2025 | +26 |
Ashland County sits along Lake Superior's Chequamegon Bay and includes portions of the Bad River and Red Cliff Ojibwe reservations, giving it a Native American population share well above the state average that consistently influences its margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.7 points.
A population of 16,080, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,462 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Douglas County and Carlton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ashland County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.