HarrisDemocratic50.8%3,534TrumpRepublican47.0%3,265KennedyIndependent0.8%57
D+3.9- Lead
- 269
- Total
- 6,953
- vs nation
- D+5.3
- Turnout
- 79.6%
Akashiccounty
Lake County, MN
Contests in this Place (88 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.6% of 8,763 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic50.6%3,647TrumpRepublican47.1%3,393JorgensenLibertarian1.1%78
D+3.5- Lead
- 254
- Total
- 7,202
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- 83.3%
ClintonDemocratic47.2%3,077TrumpRepublican45.0%2,932JohnsonLibertarian3.3%215
D+2.2- Lead
- 145
- Total
- 6,521
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- 76.1%
ObamaDemocratic59.3%4,043RomneyRepublican38.3%2,610GRAYLibertarian0.9%63
D+21.0- Lead
- 1,433
- Total
- 6,820
- vs nation
- D+17.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.9%4,174McCainRepublican37.8%2,636OtherAll other candidates2.3%159
D+22.1- Lead
- 1,538
- Total
- 6,969
- vs nation
- D+14.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic59.6%4,212BushRepublican39.2%2,769OtherAll other candidates1.3%90
D+20.4- Lead
- 1,443
- Total
- 7,071
- vs nation
- D+22.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic54.5%3,579BushRepublican37.6%2,465NaderGreen6.5%426
D+17.0- Lead
- 1,114
- Total
- 6,563
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.2%3,388DoleRepublican27.9%1,684PerotReform12.5%752
D+28.3- Lead
- 1,704
- Total
- 6,029
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8792024 5-year
- Population density
- 5.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,109 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,5412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bayfield County, WI · twin score 93.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 79.6%6,976 participants ÷ 8,763 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 60.9%–66.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,976 | 8,763 ± 91 | 79.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,695 | 8,821 ± 81 | 64.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,233 | 8,684 ± 114 | 83.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,959 | 8,664 ± 124 | 68.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,580 | 8,646 ± 104 | 76.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 6,820 | 8,761 | 77.8% | Derived | — | |
| 6,969 | 8,730 | 79.8% | Derived | — | |
| 7,071 | 8,699 extrapolated | 81.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Lake County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Lake County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Amy Klobuchar and Ben Schierer0—
Bill E Gates J.R. and Leah Harris0—
Kobey J Layne and Paul Ference0—
Mohammad Wazwaz and Murad Alshlool0—
Ole "Viking" Savior and Ashley "Skol" Johnson0—
Po Vang and Mark Frascone0—
Show all 7 candidates
Thomas Evenstad and Jason Haarsager0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 38 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 6,954 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SILVER CREEKSILVER CREEK | 460 | 351 | 36 | 847 | 54.3% | 41.4% | D+12.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SILVER BAY P-2SILVER BAY P-2 | 260 | 476 | 13 | 749 | 34.7% | 63.6% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -TWO HARBORS W-4TWO HARBORS W-4 | 328 | 215 | 9 | 552 | 59.4% | 38.9% | D+20.5 |
| Precinct -TWO HARBORS W-1TWO HARBORS W-1 | 313 | 221 | 8 | 542 | 57.7% | 40.8% | D+17.0 |
| Precinct -TWO HARBORS W-3TWO HARBORS W-3 | 270 | 220 | 12 | 502 | 53.8% | 43.8% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -FALL LAKE TWPFALL LAKE TWP | 284 | 199 | 11 | 494 | 57.5% | 40.3% | D+17.2 |
| Precinct -UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 2UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 2 | 241 | 224 | 6 | 471 | 51.2% | 47.6% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct -UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 3UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 3 | 212 | 242 | 10 | 464 | 45.7% | 52.2% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -TWO HARBORS W-2TWO HARBORS W-2 | 229 | 215 | 7 | 451 | 50.8% | 47.7% | D+3.1 |
| Precinct -SILVER BAY P-1SILVER BAY P-1 | 153 | 172 | 7 | 332 | 46.1% | 51.8% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 4UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 4 | 132 | 159 | 11 | 302 | 43.7% | 52.6% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct -CRYSTAL BAY P-1CRYSTAL BAY P-1 | 157 | 88 | 12 | 257 | 61.1% | 34.2% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 1UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 1 | 161 | 94 | 2 | 257 | 62.6% | 36.6% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -BEAVER BAY TWP P-1BEAVER BAY TWP P-1 | 70 | 113 | 4 | 187 | 37.4% | 60.4% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -BEAVER BAY TWP P-4BEAVER BAY TWP P-4 | 85 | 63 | 4 | 152 | 55.9% | 41.4% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -STONY RIVER TWPSTONY RIVER TWP | 49 | 60 | 2 | 111 | 44.1% | 54.1% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -UNORG TERR NO 1UNORG TERR NO 1 | 59 | 45 | 1 | 105 | 56.2% | 42.9% | D+13.3 |
| Precinct -UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 5UNORG TERR NO 2 PCT 5 | 43 | 62 | 0 | 105 | 41.0% | 59.0% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -BEAVER BAYBEAVER BAY | 28 | 46 | 0 | 74 | 37.8% | 62.2% | R+24.3 |
| Beaver Bay Twp. P-127_270750010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Bay Twp. P-427_270750020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Bay Voting District27_270750005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Bay P-127_270750025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fall Lake Twp. Voting District27_270750035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Silver Bay P-127_270750040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Silver Bay P-227_270750050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Silver Creek Voting District27_270750060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stony River Twp. Voting District27_270750065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two Harbors W-127_270750070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two Harbors W-227_270750080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two Harbors W-327_270750090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two Harbors W-427_270750105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. Terr. No. 1 Voting District27_270750110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. Terr. No. 2 Prec. 127_270750115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. Terr. No. 2 Prec. 227_270750120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. Terr. No. 2 Prec. 327_270750125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. Terr. No. 2 Prec. 427_270750130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting Districts not defined27_27075ZZZZZZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Lake County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
80.1%
2,717 votes · D+61.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 79.4%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
72.8%
2,014 votes · R+50.5
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 67.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
4,704votes
79.4% of the vote · D+59.1
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · 4,468 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
3,393votes
47.1% of the vote · D+3.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 3,265 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+56.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.8 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +50.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+39.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.8 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +35.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DGrant HauschildState Senate · 3
RRoger SkrabaState House · 3A
Seats representing Lake County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 50.5%3,450 | 49.5%3,377 | 6,827 |
| 2020 | R | 48.0%3,274 | 52.0%3,548 | 6,822 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,577 |
| 2018 | 7,410 |
| 2020 | 7,941 |
| 2022 | 7,686 |
| 2024 | 7,978 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+59 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +241 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,867 in average income, against $74,402 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+19.8 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Lake County, MN itself (D+3.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Louis County, MN78D+13.7
- Hennepin County, MN21D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Louis County, MN126
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −47 |
| 2012 | +12 |
| 2013 | −47 |
| 2014 | −81 |
| 2015 | −29 |
| 2016 | −3 |
| 2017 | +25 |
| 2018 | +157 |
| 2019 | +58 |
| 2021 | +168 |
| 2022 | +7 |
| 2023 | +28 |
| 2024 | −66 |
| 2025 | +59 |
Lake County hugs Minnesota's North Shore and relies heavily on tourism and remnant mining employment. Its small, predominantly white rural electorate has drifted steadily rightward over the past decade while still landing just inside the Democratic column in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 58.8 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 3.9 points.
A population of 10,879, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,541 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bayfield County and Carlton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bayfield County
Wisconsin
93.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Carlton County
Minnesota
92.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ median age
Douglas County
Wisconsin
90.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lake County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lake County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lake County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lake County, Minnesota voted Democratic by 3.9 points (D+3.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,953 votes cast, 3,534 went Democratic and 3,265 went Republican.
When did Lake County, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Lake County, Minnesota voted Republican was 1932.
How many people live in Lake County, Minnesota?
Lake County, Minnesota has a population of 10,879 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Lake County, Minnesota is $75,541 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Lake County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lake County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.