Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+17.1
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+17.6
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.6 points.
Domestic migration in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,124
2012
−814
2013
−519
2014
−492
2015
+1,055
2016
+239
2017
+2,266
2018
+2,975
2019
+2,166
2021
+12,042
2022
+5,356
2023
+5,124
2024
+5,509
2025
+5,260
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.6 points.
A population of 1,317,380, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,535 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI and Boise City-Mountain Home-Ontario, ID-OR.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/276/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 17.6 points (R+17.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 707,199 votes cast, 287,469 went Democratic and 412,228 went Republican.
When did Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 1,317,380 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania is $82,535 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.
