† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
6 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHarrisburg-York-Lebanon, PAPennsylvaniaUnited States
German29.0%21.6%12.5%
Irish11.7%14.8%9.4%
English8.8%8.3%9.5%
Italian6.2%10.6%4.8%
American6.0%4.4%5.3%
Polish2.8%5.4%2.2%
Scottish1.6%1.1%1.3%
French1.4%—1.6%
Puerto Rican4.7%3.7%1.8%
Mexican1.7%1.4%11.3%
Dominican1.2%1.4%0.7%
African American†5.8%8.7%9.9%
African0.3%0.4%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Asian Indian1.0%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.4%0.9%1.3%
Nepalese0.4%——
Vietnamese0.3%0.3%0.6%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median age
40.8
41.2
39.1
Age 18–24
8.5%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.1%
19.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median household income
$82,535
$77,971
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.4%
11.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.9%
35.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.5%
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
5.4%
5.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.7%
1.7%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Catholic
10.9%
21.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.4%
9.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
61.5%
53.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
12.8%
10.3%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−1.2%
1896
−16.8%
1900
−12.7%
1904
−24.5%
1908
−14.4%
1912
+19.8%
1916
+1.2%
1920
−25.5%
1924
−29.0%
1928
−60.8%
1932
−8.3%
1936
+9.7%
1940
+1.3%
1944
−10.1%
1948
−16.5%
1952
−23.5%
1956
−28.0%
1960
−28.0%
1964
+11.0%
1968
−27.4%
1972
−43.5%
1976
−19.2%
1980
−29.2%
1984
−35.5%
1988
−28.0%
1992
−13.9%
1996
−13.0%
2000
−22.6%
2004
−25.2%
2008
−10.1%
2012
−16.2%
2016
−21.5%
2020
−17.0%
2024
−17.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
40.6%Harris287,469
58.3%Trump412,228
0.6%Oliver4,071 +1
R+17.6
R+0.7
R+16.2
707,199
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican58.3%412,228
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic40.6%287,469
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%4,071
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%3,431
R
40.8%Biden277,431
57.8%Trump392,900
1.5%
R+17.0
D+4.5
R+21.4
680,278
R
36.6%Clinton218,119
58.1%Trump346,031
5.2%
R+21.5
R+5.3
R+23.6
595,162
R
41.0%Obama223,199
57.2%Romney311,322
1.8%
R+16.2
R+6.1
R+20.1
544,114
R
44.4%Obama248,459
54.5%McCain304,966
1.1%
R+10.1
D+15.1
R+17.4
559,576
R
37.1%Kerry194,224
62.3%Bush326,469
0.6%
R+25.2
R+2.6
R+22.8
523,879
R
37.3%Gore159,635
59.9%Bush256,651
2.9%
R+22.6
R+9.6
R+23.2
428,508
R
38.7%Clinton148,853
51.7%Dole198,927
9.6%
R+13.0
D+0.9
R+21.5
384,870
R
33.5%Clinton135,750
47.3%Bush191,991
19.2%
R+13.9
D+14.2
R+19.4
405,577
R
35.6%Dukakis121,504
63.6%Bush217,227
0.8%
R+28.0
D+7.4
R+20.3
341,472
R
31.9%Mondale109,810
67.4%Reagan231,791
0.7%
R+35.5
R+6.2
R+17.2
344,031
R
31.3%Carter99,675
60.5%Reagan192,570
8.1%
R+29.2
R+10.0
R+19.5
318,048
R
39.4%Carter123,792
58.6%Ford184,148
2.0%
R+19.2
D+24.3
R+21.3
314,308
R
27.3%McGovern79,612
70.8%Nixon206,695
2.0%
R+43.5
R+16.2
R+20.4
292,035
R
31.7%Humphrey92,741
59.1%Nixon172,723
9.2%
R+27.4
R+38.3
R+26.7
292,412
D
55.2%Johnson164,623
44.3%Goldwater131,952
0.5%
D+11.0
D+39.0
R+11.6
297,985
R
35.8%Kennedy112,163
63.8%Nixon199,876
0.4%
R+28.0
±0.0
R+28.2
313,172
R
35.9%Stevenson101,883
63.9%Eisenhower181,303
0.3%
R+28.0
R+4.4
R+12.6
283,929
R
38.1%Stevenson103,599
61.6%Eisenhower167,651
0.3%
R+23.5
R+7.0
R+12.8
272,163
R
40.8%Truman89,894
57.3%Dewey126,368
1.9%
R+16.5
R+6.5
R+21.0
220,549
R
44.8%Roosevelt101,942
54.8%Dewey124,839
0.4%
R+10.1
R+11.3
R+17.5
227,802
D
50.5%Roosevelt118,876
49.2%Willkie115,854
0.3%
D+1.3
R+8.4
R+8.7
235,371
D
54.1%Roosevelt135,164
44.4%Landon111,028
1.5%
D+9.7
D+17.9
R+14.6
249,842
R
44.1%Roosevelt80,653
52.4%Hoover95,779
3.5%
R+8.3
D+52.5
R+26.1
182,815
R
19.2%Smith35,240
80.0%Hoover147,035
0.9%
R+60.8
R+31.8
R+43.3
183,840
R
32.0%Davis42,261
61.0%Coolidge80,535
7.0%
R+29.0
R+3.5
R+3.8
132,092
R
35.2%Cox42,023
60.7%Harding72,440
4.0%
R+25.5
R+26.7
D+0.7
119,272
D
48.0%Wilson44,361
46.8%Hughes43,267
5.2%
D+1.2
R+18.6
R+2.0
92,430
O
39.9%Wilson36,067
20.1%Taft18,166
40.0%
Roosevelt +0.1
D+34.2
D+0.3
90,371
R
40.7%Bryan37,196
55.1%Taft50,336
4.1%
R+14.4
D+10.1
R+4.8
91,288
R
36.0%Parker31,429
60.5%Roosevelt52,871
3.5%
R+24.5
R+11.9
R+4.9
87,397
R
42.2%Bryan36,007
54.9%McKinley46,794
2.9%
R+12.7
D+4.2
R+5.1
85,238
R
40.1%Bryan33,950
56.9%McKinley48,183
2.9%
R+16.8
R+15.6
R+10.7
84,629
R
48.1%Cleveland35,618
49.3%Harrison36,489
2.6%
R+1.2
—
R+2.8
74,004
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
40.5%284,676
56.3%396,257
703,382
2022
R
42.2%228,243
55.0%297,453
541,112
2018
R
44.1%214,977
53.8%262,353
487,349
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+17.1
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+17.6
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.6 points.
Domestic migration in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,124
2012
−814
2013
−519
2014
−492
2015
+1,055
2016
+239
2017
+2,266
2018
+2,975
2019
+2,166
2021
+12,042
2022
+5,356
2023
+5,124
2024
+5,509
2025
+5,260
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.6 points.
A population of 1,317,380, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,535 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI and Boise City-Mountain Home-Ontario, ID-OR.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/276/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 17.6 points (R+17.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 707,199 votes cast, 287,469 went Democratic and 412,228 went Republican.
When did Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 1,317,380 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania is $82,535 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harrisburg-York-Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.
