Dauphin County, Pennsylvania: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted D+6%. Republican peak: R+68 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 289,5932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,2422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hopewell city, VA · similarity 0.97
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −18.2% |
| 1896 | −37.0% |
| 1900 | −31.9% |
| 1904 | −50.4% |
| 1908 | −32.8% |
| 1912 | +5.6% |
| 1916 | −9.2% |
| 1920 | −35.3% |
| 1924 | −46.0% |
| 1928 | −68.2% |
| 1932 | −23.1% |
| 1936 | +4.4% |
| 1940 | −5.0% |
| 1944 | −18.5% |
| 1948 | −25.4% |
| 1952 | −30.6% |
| 1956 | −35.3% |
| 1960 | −28.9% |
| 1964 | +3.8% |
| 1968 | −28.0% |
| 1972 | −40.5% |
| 1976 | −15.0% |
| 1980 | −21.4% |
| 1984 | −23.4% |
| 1988 | −16.3% |
| 1992 | −8.6% |
| 1996 | −3.7% |
| 2000 | −9.2% |
| 2004 | −8.2% |
| 2008 | +9.1% |
| 2012 | +6.0% |
| 2016 | +2.9% |
| 2020 | +8.5% |
| 2024 | +5.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 78,327 | 69,474 | 150,081 | ||
| D | 78,983 | 66,408 | 147,368 | ||
| D | 64,706 | 60,863 | 131,783 | ||
| D | 64,965 | 57,450 | 124,301 | ||
| D | 69,975 | 58,238 | 129,529 | ||
| R | 55,299 | 65,296 | 121,208 | ||
| R | 44,390 | 53,631 | 100,658 | ||
| R | 40,936 | 44,417 | 92,971 | ||
| R | 36,990 | 45,479 | 98,910 | ||
| R | 35,079 | 48,917 | 84,677 | ||
| R | 33,576 | 54,330 | 88,658 | ||
| R | 27,252 | 44,039 | 78,387 | ||
| R | 34,342 | 46,819 | 83,122 | ||
| R | 22,587 | 54,307 | 78,270 | ||
| R | 25,480 | 48,394 | 81,788 | ||
| D | 46,119 | 42,718 | 89,431 | ||
| R | 33,962 | 61,726 | 96,115 | ||
| R | 29,226 | 61,342 | 90,943 | ||
| R | 30,985 | 58,385 | 89,656 | ||
| R | 27,729 | 46,861 | 75,386 | ||
| R | 30,684 | 44,725 | 75,742 | ||
| R | 38,305 | 42,394 | 80,981 | ||
| D | 43,256 | 39,598 | 83,498 | ||
| R | 22,412 | 36,278 | 60,152 | ||
| R | 9,115 | 49,108 | 58,617 | ||
| R | 9,004 | 27,838 | 40,916 | ||
| R | 11,990 | 26,094 | 39,923 | ||
| R | 11,483 | 13,954 | 26,752 | ||
| O | 7,470 | 6,012 | 25,819 | ||
| R | 7,546 | 15,637 | 24,671 | ||
| R | 5,040 | 16,508 | 22,734 | ||
| R | 7,390 | 14,673 | 22,846 | ||
| R | 6,584 | 14,752 | 22,069 | ||
| R | 7,520 | 11,010 | 19,157 | ||
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Demographics
Harrisburg anchors Dauphin County's Democratic lean, but surrounding townships keep margins tight — the county voted D+5.9 in 2024, a narrower gap than many mid-size Pennsylvania counties with comparable urban cores.
The Democratic margin here reached nine points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.
A population of 289,593, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,242 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hopewell city and Kane County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dauphin County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
