Cumberland County, Pennsylvania: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 268,3232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,4942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- El Paso County, CO · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +9.0% |
| 1896 | −8.3% |
| 1900 | −1.4% |
| 1904 | −16.7% |
| 1908 | −7.0% |
| 1912 | +21.0% |
| 1916 | +9.2% |
| 1920 | −13.6% |
| 1924 | −13.3% |
| 1928 | −56.9% |
| 1932 | −3.9% |
| 1936 | +11.6% |
| 1940 | +1.5% |
| 1944 | −19.1% |
| 1948 | −22.2% |
| 1952 | −34.6% |
| 1956 | −36.6% |
| 1960 | −38.0% |
| 1964 | +5.8% |
| 1968 | −32.6% |
| 1972 | −47.7% |
| 1976 | −26.4% |
| 1980 | −31.8% |
| 1984 | −39.2% |
| 1988 | −31.3% |
| 1992 | −19.9% |
| 1996 | −19.2% |
| 2000 | −26.9% |
| 2004 | −28.0% |
| 2008 | −13.6% |
| 2012 | −18.4% |
| 2016 | −17.8% |
| 2020 | −10.6% |
| 2024 | −9.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 66,255 | 80,267 | 149,068 | ||
| R | 62,245 | 77,212 | 141,595 | ||
| R | 47,085 | 69,076 | 123,486 | ||
| R | 44,367 | 64,809 | 111,191 | ||
| R | 48,306 | 63,739 | 113,304 | ||
| R | 37,928 | 67,648 | 106,082 | ||
| R | 31,053 | 54,802 | 88,144 | ||
| R | 28,749 | 43,943 | 78,985 | ||
| R | 26,635 | 43,447 | 84,573 | ||
| R | 24,613 | 47,292 | 72,433 | ||
| R | 21,374 | 49,282 | 71,123 | ||
| R | 19,789 | 41,152 | 67,260 | ||
| R | 23,008 | 39,950 | 64,270 | ||
| R | 14,562 | 42,099 | 57,775 | ||
| R | 15,467 | 32,908 | 53,472 | ||
| D | 26,633 | 23,685 | 50,525 | ||
| R | 15,968 | 35,636 | 51,801 | ||
| R | 13,651 | 29,468 | 43,272 | ||
| R | 12,762 | 26,302 | 39,155 | ||
| R | 11,421 | 18,028 | 29,695 | ||
| R | 12,068 | 17,782 | 29,984 | ||
| D | 15,758 | 15,297 | 31,123 | ||
| D | 18,850 | 14,912 | 34,021 | ||
| R | 12,086 | 13,098 | 25,751 | ||
| R | 5,189 | 19,170 | 24,551 | ||
| R | 7,643 | 10,196 | 19,160 | ||
| R | 6,455 | 8,579 | 15,674 | ||
| D | 6,432 | 5,296 | 12,329 | ||
| D | 5,023 | 2,566 | 11,712 | ||
| R | 5,403 | 6,261 | 12,192 | ||
| R | 5,038 | 7,138 | 12,580 | ||
| R | 5,428 | 5,587 | 11,389 | ||
| R | 5,202 | 6,178 | 11,812 | ||
| D | 5,446 | 4,520 | 10,259 | ||
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Demographics
Cumberland County sits across the Susquehanna from the state capital, and its growing professional and retiree population has trimmed a once-dominant Republican margin to single digits over the past two decades.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of fifty-seven points in 1928 at its widest — Cumberland County has trended Democratic. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.
A median household income of $87,494 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 268,323 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of El Paso County and Ottawa County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cumberland County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
