† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupEriePennsylvaniaUnited States
German23.2%21.6%12.5%
Irish13.6%14.8%9.4%
English9.7%8.3%9.5%
Italian9.5%10.6%4.8%
Polish8.3%5.4%2.2%
American4.9%4.4%5.3%
Swedish2.1%——
Scottish1.6%1.1%1.3%
African American†4.2%8.7%9.9%
African0.7%0.4%0.5%
Puerto Rican2.1%3.7%1.8%
Mexican0.7%1.4%11.3%
Asian Indian0.4%1.2%1.4%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%0.3%0.6%
Nepalese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Erie
Pennsylvania
United States
Median age
41.7
41.2
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.9%
19.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Erie
Pennsylvania
United States
Median household income
$62,463
$77,971
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.4%
11.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.3%
35.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Erie
Pennsylvania
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
6.3%
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
1.6%
5.6%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Erie
Pennsylvania
United States
Catholic
15.2%
21.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.4%
9.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
61.0%
53.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
10.5%
10.3%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Erie, Pennsylvania
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−8.5%
1896
−8.3%
1900
−18.9%
1904
−36.7%
1908
−22.3%
1912
+5.8%
1916
+0.6%
1920
−42.0%
1924
−49.6%
1928
−34.6%
1932
−3.9%
1936
+4.3%
1940
−14.1%
1944
−12.3%
1948
−15.0%
1952
−21.8%
1956
−28.3%
1960
−6.2%
1964
+35.7%
1968
+1.6%
1972
−22.5%
1976
+2.6%
1980
−7.6%
1984
−9.6%
1988
−0.5%
1992
+9.5%
1996
+10.3%
2000
+1.8%
2004
+0.9%
2008
+11.0%
2012
+5.2%
2016
−12.8%
2020
−11.2%
2024
−13.1%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
43.0%Harris86,526
56.1%Trump112,896
0.5%Oliver1,013 +1
R+13.1
R+1.9
R+11.6
201,190
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican56.1%112,896
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic43.0%86,526
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%1,013
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%755
R
43.7%Biden87,276
54.9%Trump109,665
1.4%
R+11.2
D+1.6
R+15.7
199,737
R
40.9%Clinton74,228
53.7%Trump97,533
5.4%
R+12.8
R+18.1
R+14.9
181,548
D
51.7%Obama88,914
46.5%Romney79,936
1.8%
D+5.2
R+5.8
D+1.4
171,988
D
54.8%Obama101,092
43.8%McCain80,786
1.3%
D+11.0
D+10.1
D+3.7
184,342
D
50.1%Kerry91,978
49.2%Bush90,336
0.6%
D+0.9
R+0.9
D+3.4
183,493
D
49.1%Gore80,186
47.3%Bush77,175
3.6%
D+1.8
R+8.4
D+1.3
163,215
D
49.4%Clinton77,742
39.2%Dole61,599
11.4%
D+10.3
D+0.8
D+1.7
157,304
D
44.6%Clinton76,166
35.1%Bush59,980
20.3%
D+9.5
D+10.0
D+3.9
170,858
R
49.2%Dukakis73,724
49.7%Bush74,546
1.1%
R+0.5
D+9.1
D+7.2
149,923
R
44.8%Mondale71,507
54.4%Reagan86,879
0.8%
R+9.6
R+2.1
D+8.6
159,682
R
42.2%Carter63,284
49.7%Reagan74,635
8.1%
R+7.6
R+10.2
D+2.2
150,045
D
50.3%Carter77,509
47.6%Ford73,450
2.1%
D+2.6
D+25.2
D+0.6
154,219
R
37.7%McGovern56,270
60.2%Nixon89,953
2.2%
R+22.5
R+24.1
D+0.6
149,449
D
48.1%Humphrey69,317
46.5%Nixon67,014
5.4%
D+1.6
R+34.1
D+2.3
144,041
D
67.6%Johnson101,754
31.9%Goldwater48,022
0.5%
D+35.7
D+41.9
D+13.1
150,534
R
46.8%Kennedy72,298
53.0%Nixon81,890
0.3%
R+6.2
D+22.1
R+6.4
154,644
R
35.7%Stevenson47,611
64.0%Eisenhower85,462
0.4%
R+28.3
R+6.6
R+12.9
133,543
R
38.8%Stevenson50,935
60.6%Eisenhower79,470
0.6%
R+21.8
R+6.8
R+11.0
131,130
R
41.7%Truman41,436
56.7%Dewey56,345
1.6%
R+15.0
R+2.7
R+19.5
99,394
R
43.5%Roosevelt46,568
55.8%Dewey59,728
0.7%
R+12.3
D+1.8
R+19.8
107,022
R
42.7%Roosevelt47,757
56.8%Willkie63,515
0.5%
R+14.1
R+18.4
R+24.0
111,869
D
48.4%Roosevelt54,325
44.1%Landon49,510
7.5%
D+4.3
D+8.2
R+20.0
112,311
R
45.5%Roosevelt34,228
49.3%Hoover37,161
5.2%
R+3.9
D+30.7
R+21.7
75,306
R
32.3%Smith28,831
67.0%Hoover59,691
0.7%
R+34.6
D+14.9
R+17.2
89,142
R
14.1%Davis8,632
63.7%Coolidge38,900
22.2%
R+49.6
R+7.6
R+24.4
61,075
R
21.6%Cox12,666
63.6%Harding37,288
14.8%
R+42.0
R+42.6
R+15.8
58,642
D
45.0%Wilson18,083
44.4%Hughes17,833
10.6%
D+0.6
R+5.2
R+2.5
40,191
O
29.7%Wilson11,227
23.9%Taft9,019
46.5%
Roosevelt +16.8
D+28.2
R+13.7
37,813
R
33.4%Bryan13,895
55.8%Taft23,179
10.8%
R+22.3
D+14.4
R+12.8
41,556
R
25.9%Parker9,986
62.6%Roosevelt24,138
11.5%
R+36.7
R+17.9
R+17.0
38,546
R
37.9%Bryan16,781
56.8%McKinley25,130
5.3%
R+18.9
R+10.5
R+11.3
44,270
R
44.4%Bryan20,641
52.8%McKinley24,516
2.8%
R+8.3
D+0.1
R+2.3
46,458
R
40.8%Cleveland16,490
49.2%Harrison19,908
10.0%
R+8.5
—
R+10.1
40,439
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+8.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+13.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.9 points more Democratic.
Domestic migration in Erie in Erie: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−948
2012
−1,613
2013
−1,978
2014
−2,666
2015
−2,746
2016
−3,541
2017
−4,071
2018
−3,466
2019
−3,094
2021
−1,223
2022
−472
2023
−1,395
2024
−1,107
2025
−415
Erie's media market spans northwestern Pennsylvania into Ohio and New York, and its blue-collar electorate has swung between parties by single digits in consecutive cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide Pennsylvania results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.1 points.
A population of 389,688, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,463 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkes-Barre-Scranton-Hazleton and Flint-Saginaw-Bay City.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Erie, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/516/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Erie, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 201,190 votes cast, 86,526 went Democratic and 112,896 went Republican.
When did Erie, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Erie, Pennsylvania has a population of 389,688 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania is $62,463 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Erie, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Erie, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
