Erie · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Erie, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+8.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+13.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
Domestic migration in Erie in Erie: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−948
2012
−1,613
2013
−1,978
2014
−2,666
2015
−2,746
2016
−3,541
2017
−4,071
2018
−3,466
2019
−3,094
2021
−1,223
2022
−472
2023
−1,395
2024
−1,107
2025
−415
Erie's media market spans northwestern Pennsylvania into Ohio and New York, and its blue-collar electorate has swung between parties by single digits in consecutive cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide Pennsylvania results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.1 points.
A population of 389,688, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,463 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkes-Barre-Scranton-Hazleton and Flint-Saginaw-Bay City.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Erie, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/516/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Erie, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 201,190 votes cast, 86,526 went Democratic and 112,896 went Republican.
When did Erie, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Erie, Pennsylvania has a population of 389,688 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Erie, Pennsylvania is $62,463 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Erie, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Erie, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
