Toledo · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.1%
243,369 votes · D+26.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 56.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
66.8%
185,133 votes · R+34.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 62.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
293,654votes
54.7% of the vote · D+11.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 275,021 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
292,307votes
56.6% of the vote · R+14.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 287,143 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+13.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.9 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +10.4 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+28.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.6 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +27.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
Toledo · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Toledo, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton12194,326 votes · 12 of 12 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Clinton6Sanders6110,518 votes · 12 of 12 countiesprimary
Biden1275,190 votes · 12 of 12 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Toledo
Year
Total registered
2016
736,666
2018
748,352
2020
745,819
2022
740,423
2024
693,164
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−409 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −49,359 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Toledo in Toledo: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−4,708
2012
−5,615
2013
−4,538
2014
−5,605
2015
−5,171
2016
−3,851
2017
−3,656
2018
−3,836
2019
−2,987
2021
−3,957
2022
−2,116
2023
−1,599
2024
−1,311
2025
−409
Toledo's media market spans northwest Ohio and reaches into southeast Michigan, blending industrial Rust Belt precincts with rural agricultural counties that together make statewide margins unusually sensitive to shifts here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.3 points.
A population of 1,053,372, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,409 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/547/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Toledo, Ohio voted Republican by 14.3 points (R+14.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 516,280 votes cast, 218,681 went Democratic and 292,307 went Republican.
When did Toledo, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Toledo, Ohio?
Toledo, Ohio has a population of 1,053,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, Ohio is $67,409 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Toledo, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.
