Honolulu · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Honolulu, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Honolulu
Year
Total registered
2016
751,483
2018
756,751
2020
832,466
2022
861,475
2024
861,333
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−8,876 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −124,412 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Honolulu in Honolulu: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−889
2012
−3,061
2013
−764
2014
−5,709
2015
−6,817
2016
−11,455
2017
−14,452
2018
−12,910
2019
−13,817
2021
−9,849
2022
−15,999
2023
−11,328
2024
−8,486
2025
−8,876
Honolulu's media market spans Oahu and reaches neighbor islands, serving an electorate where Native Hawaiian and Asian American voters form a majority and Democrats have carried statewide races by double-digit margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 25.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.1 points.
A population of 1,445,168, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,808 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Las Vegas and Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Honolulu, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/744/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Honolulu, Hawaii voted Democratic by 23.1 points (D+23.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 516,701 votes cast, 313,044 went Democratic and 193,661 went Republican.
When did Honolulu, Hawaii last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Honolulu, Hawaii voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Honolulu, Hawaii?
Honolulu, Hawaii has a population of 1,445,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Honolulu, Hawaii?
Median household income in Honolulu, Hawaii is $100,808 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Honolulu, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Honolulu, Hawaii from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
