state house districtMissouri 3rd State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+18.7
2008R+10.3
2012R+24.8
2016R+39.5
2020R+41.0
2024R+47.1
net swing · 2004→2024R+28.4R+18.7 → R+47.1
vs. U.S. · 2024R+45.6R+47.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 55.7% of 28,780 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
4,159
11,712
171
16,042
28,780
55.7%
2020
4,641
11,283
257
16,181
29,573†
54.7%
2016
4,458
10,762
755
15,975
30,407†
52.5%
2012
5,709
9,610
404
15,723
30,353†
51.8%
2008
7,897
9,794
643
18,334
29,845†
61.4%
2004
7,251
10,621
148
18,020
29,336†
61.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMO HD 3MissouriUnited States
German16.6%21.3%12.5%
English12.2%11.9%9.5%
Irish9.5%11.8%9.4%
American8.1%6.8%5.3%
Scottish2.1%1.8%1.3%
Italian1.2%3.2%4.8%
French1.1%2.2%1.6%
Swedish0.6%——
Mexican2.9%3.2%11.3%
Salvadoran0.6%—0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.4%1.8%
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
African American†2.1%10.0%9.9%
African1.6%0.3%0.5%
Filipino0.4%0.2%0.9%
Asian Indian0.4%0.6%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.4%1.3%
Vietnamese0.3%0.2%0.6%
Nepalese0.3%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MO HD 3
Missouri
United States
Median age
35.2
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
17.2%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.5%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MO HD 3
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$59,944
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.9%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.1%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MO HD 3
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.5%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
4.3%
2.9%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.4%
0.3%
0.7%
German or other West Germanic
1.6%
0.5%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
MO HD 3
Missouri
United States
Catholic
—
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Missouri 3rd State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−18.7%
2008
−10.3%
2012
−24.8%
2016
−39.5%
2020
−41.0%
2024
−47.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
25.9%Harris4,159
73.0%Trump11,712
1.1%
R+47.1
R+6.0
R+45.6
16,042
R
28.7%Biden4,641
69.7%Trump11,283
1.6%
R+41.0
R+1.6
R+45.5
16,181
R
27.9%Clinton4,458
67.4%Trump10,762
4.7%
R+39.5
R+14.7
R+41.6
15,975
R
36.3%Obama5,709
61.1%Romney9,610
2.6%
R+24.8
R+14.5
R+28.7
15,723
R
43.1%Obama7,897
53.4%McCain9,794
3.5%
R+10.3
D+8.4
R+17.6
18,334
R
40.2%Kerry7,251
58.9%Bush10,621
0.8%
R+18.7
—
R+16.2
18,020
current representation
Current officeholders
RDanny BusickState House · 3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 50 points, this rural Missouri district sits among the most one-sided legislative seats in the state, reflecting the deep partisan alignment that has reshaped small-town and agricultural communities across the Ozarks region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 47.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.1 points.
A population of 37,874, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,944 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 51 and Delegate District 16.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missouri 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Missouri 3rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missouri 3rd State House District voted Republican by 47.1 points (R+47.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,042 votes cast, 4,159 went Democratic and 11,712 went Republican.
How many people live in Missouri 3rd State House District?
Missouri 3rd State House District has a population of 37,874 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missouri 3rd State House District?
Median household income in Missouri 3rd State House District is $59,944 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Missouri 3rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Missouri 3rd State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
