Sullivan County, Missouri: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+66%. Republican peak: R+66 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 5,8572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,9642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cottonwood County, MN · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Sullivan CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Sullivan County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −1.8% |
| 1896 | +1.2% |
| 1900 | +0.2% |
| 1904 | −5.2% |
| 1908 | −2.5% |
| 1912 | +8.7% |
| 1916 | +0.5% |
| 1920 | −13.6% |
| 1924 | −2.3% |
| 1928 | −11.9% |
| 1932 | +9.1% |
| 1936 | −0.4% |
| 1940 | −4.3% |
| 1944 | −4.1% |
| 1948 | +4.6% |
| 1952 | −10.4% |
| 1956 | −9.0% |
| 1960 | −12.2% |
| 1964 | +13.5% |
| 1968 | −9.5% |
| 1972 | −24.4% |
| 1976 | +3.8% |
| 1980 | −13.6% |
| 1984 | −12.8% |
| 1988 | −9.7% |
| 1992 | +5.4% |
| 1996 | +4.2% |
| 2000 | −24.5% |
| 2004 | −22.7% |
| 2008 | −15.1% |
| 2012 | −27.1% |
| 2016 | −54.6% |
| 2020 | −60.5% |
| 2024 | −66.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 408 | 2,035 | 2,463 | ||
| R | 478 | 1,974 | 2,471 | ||
| R | 526 | 1,884 | 2,486 | ||
| R | 908 | 1,610 | 2,595 | ||
| R | 1,173 | 1,607 | 2,869 | ||
| R | 1,178 | 1,880 | 3,089 | ||
| R | 1,127 | 1,877 | 3,064 | ||
| D | 1,402 | 1,275 | 3,054 | ||
| D | 1,510 | 1,326 | 3,436 | ||
| R | 1,562 | 1,897 | 3,465 | ||
| R | 1,784 | 2,306 | 4,090 | ||
| R | 1,824 | 2,412 | 4,325 | ||
| D | 2,313 | 2,141 | 4,484 | ||
| R | 1,588 | 2,611 | 4,199 | ||
| R | 1,907 | 2,332 | 4,464 | ||
| D | 2,695 | 2,052 | 4,747 | ||
| R | 2,504 | 3,202 | 5,706 | ||
| R | 2,805 | 3,357 | 6,162 | ||
| R | 3,041 | 3,746 | 6,792 | ||
| D | 3,443 | 3,140 | 6,592 | ||
| R | 3,328 | 3,611 | 6,944 | ||
| R | 3,743 | 4,080 | 7,836 | ||
| R | 3,986 | 4,019 | 8,025 | ||
| D | 4,053 | 3,373 | 7,453 | ||
| R | 3,292 | 4,183 | 7,496 | ||
| R | 3,703 | 3,885 | 7,875 | ||
| R | 3,475 | 4,576 | 8,121 | ||
| D | 2,446 | 2,420 | 4,937 | ||
| D | 2,226 | 1,819 | 4,701 | ||
| R | 2,269 | 2,389 | 4,720 | ||
| R | 2,224 | 2,474 | 4,810 | ||
| D | 2,395 | 2,386 | 4,863 | ||
| D | 2,451 | 2,393 | 4,877 | ||
| R | 2,095 | 2,173 | 4,364 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
12.9%
English
11.2%
German
11.1%
Irish
6.6%
Scottish
1.6%
French
0.7%
African American
2.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$56,964
Sullivan County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Sullivan County$56,964
Missouri$70,702
United States$80,734
Sullivan County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.2%
Working age (18–64)13.3%
Seniors (65+)12.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.0%
speak English only
Spanish15.4%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Sullivan County's R+66.1 margin in 2024 places it among Missouri's most heavily Republican jurisdictions, reflecting a broader pattern of consolidation in sparsely populated north-central Missouri farming communities where population has declined for decades.
The Democratic margin here once reached fourteen points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-six points.
A population of 5,857, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,964 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cottonwood County and Lake of the Woods County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sullivan County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29211/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sullivan County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sullivan County, Missouri voted Republican by 66.1 points (R+66), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,463 votes cast, 408 went Democratic and 2,035 went Republican.
What is Sullivan County, Missouri's political typology?
Akashic places Sullivan County, Missouri in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Sullivan County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sullivan County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Sullivan County, Missouri?
Sullivan County, Missouri has a population of 5,857 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sullivan County, Missouri?
Median household income in Sullivan County, Missouri is $56,964 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Sullivan County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sullivan County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.