Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSullivan CountyMissouriUnited States
American12.9%6.8%5.3%
English11.2%11.9%9.5%
German11.1%21.3%12.5%
Irish6.6%11.8%9.4%
Scottish1.6%1.8%1.3%
Dutch1.6%——
French0.7%2.2%1.6%
Swedish0.6%——
Mexican8.5%3.2%11.3%
Salvadoran3.6%—0.7%
Puerto Rican1.9%0.4%1.8%
Spaniard0.8%——
Guatemalan0.7%0.2%0.5%
Argentinean0.6%——
Honduran0.4%—0.3%
Spanish0.3%——
African American†1.3%10.0%9.9%
Haitian0.8%—0.3%
African0.6%0.3%0.5%
Filipino1.0%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Sullivan County
Missouri
United States
Median age
44.1
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
7.8%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.8%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Sullivan County
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$56,964
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.7%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
15.5%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Sullivan County
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.0%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
15.4%
2.9%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.5%
0.3%
0.7%
Religious landscape
Measure
Sullivan County
Missouri
United States
Catholic
11.7%
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
41.7%
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
41.5%
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Sullivan County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
1 precincts · 2,463 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Sullivan County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -COMBINEDCOMBINED
408
2,035
20
2,463
16.6%
82.6%
R+66.1
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−1.8%
1896
+1.2%
1900
+0.2%
1904
−5.2%
1908
−2.5%
1912
+8.7%
1916
+0.5%
1920
−13.6%
1924
−2.3%
1928
−11.9%
1932
+9.1%
1936
−0.4%
1940
−4.3%
1944
−4.1%
1948
+4.6%
1952
−10.4%
1956
−9.0%
1960
−12.2%
1964
+13.5%
1968
−9.5%
1972
−24.4%
1976
+3.8%
1980
−13.6%
1984
−12.8%
1988
−9.7%
1992
+5.4%
1996
+4.2%
2000
−24.5%
2004
−22.7%
2008
−15.1%
2012
−27.1%
2016
−54.6%
2020
−60.5%
2024
−66.1%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
16.6%Harris408
82.6%Trump2,035
0.4%Oliver11 +1
R+66.1
R+5.5
R+64.6
2,463
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican82.6%2,035
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic16.6%408
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%11
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%9
R
19.3%Biden478
79.9%Trump1,974
0.6%Jorgensen14
R+60.5
R+5.9
R+65.0
2,471
R
21.2%Clinton526
75.8%Trump1,884
2.3%Johnson58
R+54.6
R+27.6
R+56.7
2,486
R
35.0%Obama908
62.0%Romney1,610
2.0%Gray51
R+27.1
R+11.9
R+30.9
2,595
R
40.9%Obama1,173
56.0%McCain1,607
3.1%
R+15.1
D+7.6
R+22.4
2,869
R
38.1%Kerry1,178
60.9%Bush1,880
1.0%
R+22.7
D+1.8
R+20.3
3,089
R
36.8%Gore1,127
61.3%Bush1,877
0.9%Nader27
R+24.5
R+28.6
R+25.0
3,064
D
45.9%Clinton1,402
41.7%Dole1,275
11.1%Perot340
D+4.2
R+1.2
R+4.4
3,054
D
43.9%Clinton1,510
38.6%Bush1,326
17.3%Perot596
D+5.4
D+15.0
R+0.2
3,436
R
45.1%Dukakis1,562
54.7%Bush1,897
0.2%
R+9.7
D+3.1
R+1.9
3,465
R
43.6%Mondale1,784
56.4%Reagan2,306
0.0%
R+12.8
D+0.8
D+5.5
4,090
R
42.2%Carter1,824
55.8%Reagan2,412
2.1%
R+13.6
R+17.4
R+3.9
4,325
D
51.6%Carter2,313
47.7%Ford2,141
0.7%
D+3.8
D+28.2
D+1.8
4,484
R
37.8%McGovern1,588
62.2%Nixon2,611
0.0%
R+24.4
R+14.8
R+1.2
4,199
R
42.7%Humphrey1,907
52.2%Nixon2,332
5.0%
R+9.5
R+23.1
R+8.8
4,464
D
56.8%Johnson2,695
43.2%Goldwater2,052
0.0%
D+13.5
D+25.8
R+9.0
4,747
R
43.9%Kennedy2,504
56.1%Nixon3,202
0.0%
R+12.2
R+3.3
R+12.4
5,706
R
45.5%Stevenson2,805
54.5%Eisenhower3,357
0.0%
R+9.0
D+1.4
D+6.4
6,162
R
44.8%Stevenson3,041
55.2%Eisenhower3,746
0.1%
R+10.4
R+15.0
D+0.4
6,792
D
52.2%Truman3,443
47.6%Dewey3,140
0.1%
D+4.6
D+8.7
D+0.1
6,592
R
47.9%Roosevelt3,328
52.0%Dewey3,611
0.1%
R+4.1
D+0.2
R+11.6
6,944
R
47.8%Roosevelt3,743
52.1%Willkie4,080
0.2%
R+4.3
R+3.9
R+14.2
7,836
R
49.7%Roosevelt3,986
50.1%Landon4,019
0.2%
R+0.4
R+9.5
R+24.7
8,025
D
54.4%Roosevelt4,053
45.3%Hoover3,373
0.4%
D+9.1
D+21.0
R+8.7
7,453
R
43.9%Smith3,292
55.8%Hoover4,183
0.3%
R+11.9
R+9.6
D+5.6
7,496
R
47.0%Davis3,703
49.3%Coolidge3,885
3.6%La Follette285
R+2.3
D+11.2
D+22.9
7,875
R
42.8%Cox3,475
56.3%Harding4,576
0.9%
R+13.6
R+14.1
D+12.6
8,121
D
49.5%Wilson2,446
49.0%Hughes2,420
1.4%
D+0.5
R+8.1
R+2.6
4,937
D
47.4%Wilson2,226
38.7%Taft1,819
14.0%
D+8.7
D+11.2
R+10.9
4,701
R
48.1%Bryan2,269
50.6%Taft2,389
1.3%
R+2.5
D+2.7
D+7.0
4,720
R
46.2%Parker2,224
51.4%Roosevelt2,474
2.3%
R+5.2
R+5.4
D+14.5
4,810
D
49.2%Bryan2,395
49.1%McKinley2,386
1.7%
D+0.2
R+1.0
D+7.7
4,863
D
50.3%Bryan2,451
49.1%McKinley2,393
0.7%
D+1.2
D+3.0
D+7.3
4,877
R
48.0%Cleveland2,095
49.8%Harrison2,173
2.2%
R+1.8
—
R+3.4
4,364
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
17.5%425
80.7%1,957
2,424
2022
R
19.7%344
78.0%1,360
1,744
2018
R
24.4%482
72.9%1,439
1,974
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Sullivan County, MO
Year
Total registered
2016
3,765
2018
3,558
2020
3,859
2022
3,771
2024
3,932
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−34 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,211 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,599 in average income, against $49,863 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.6 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Sullivan County, MO itself (R+66.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Adair County, MO20R+33.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Adair County, MO38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Sullivan County, MO in Sullivan County, MO: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−90
2012
−141
2013
−90
2014
−28
2015
−139
2016
−83
2017
−159
2018
−12
2019
−169
2021
−50
2022
−69
2023
−13
2024
−134
2025
−34
Sullivan County's R+66.1 margin in 2024 places it among Missouri's most heavily Republican jurisdictions, reflecting a broader pattern of consolidation in sparsely populated north-central Missouri farming communities where population has declined for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 66.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.1 points.
A population of 5,857, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,964 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Reynolds County and Oregon County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Sullivan County, Missouri voted Republican by 66.1 points (R+66.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,463 votes cast, 408 went Democratic and 2,035 went Republican.
When did Sullivan County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sullivan County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Sullivan County, Missouri?
Sullivan County, Missouri has a population of 5,857 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sullivan County, Missouri?
Median household income in Sullivan County, Missouri is $56,964 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Sullivan County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sullivan County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
