state house districtNew Jersey 3rd State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+0.5
2008D+8.2
2012D+5.8
2016R+6.0
2020R+2.8
2024R+7.5
net swing · 2004→2024R+7.0R+0.5 → R+7.5
vs. U.S. · 2024R+6.0R+7.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.0% of 182,183 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
55,240
64,386
2,405
122,031
182,183
67.0%
2020
61,636
65,247
1,382
128,265
174,838†
73.4%
2016
48,099
54,464
4,255
106,818
173,317†
61.6%
2012
55,060
48,952
1,719
105,731
171,704†
61.6%
2008
57,762
48,906
1,805
108,473
169,938†
63.8%
2004
49,606
50,135
1,029
100,770
168,172†
59.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNJ HD 03New JerseyUnited States
Irish22.4%12.1%9.4%
Italian20.1%13.7%4.8%
German16.8%8.6%12.5%
English11.0%4.9%9.5%
Polish4.8%4.6%2.2%
American3.5%3.3%5.3%
Scottish1.4%—1.3%
French1.3%—1.6%
African American†10.1%8.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
Jamaican0.4%0.8%0.4%
Nigerian0.3%0.4%0.2%
Puerto Rican4.3%5.1%1.8%
Mexican2.2%2.6%11.3%
Dominican0.5%4.0%0.7%
Guatemalan0.3%—0.5%
Colombian0.2%1.7%0.4%
Asian Indian0.8%4.6%1.4%
Filipino0.6%1.3%0.9%
Chinese0.3%1.6%1.3%
Korean0.2%1.1%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NJ HD 03
New Jersey
United States
Median age
40
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
8.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.2%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NJ HD 03
New Jersey
United States
Median household income
$97,135
$103,556
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.1%
9.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
31.6%
43.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NJ HD 03
New Jersey
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.5%
33.2%
22.3%
Spanish
8.2%
17.2%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.6%
5.6%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
NJ HD 03
New Jersey
United States
Catholic
—
32.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
47.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Jersey 3rd State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−0.5%
2008
+8.2%
2012
+5.8%
2016
−6.0%
2020
−2.8%
2024
−7.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
45.3%Harris55,240
52.8%Trump64,386
2.0%
R+7.5
R+4.7
R+6.0
122,031
R
48.1%Biden61,636
50.9%Trump65,247
1.1%
R+2.8
D+3.1
R+7.3
128,265
R
45.0%Clinton48,099
51.0%Trump54,464
4.0%
R+6.0
R+11.7
R+8.0
106,818
D
52.1%Obama55,060
46.3%Romney48,952
1.6%
D+5.8
R+2.4
D+1.9
105,731
D
53.3%Obama57,762
45.1%McCain48,906
1.7%
D+8.2
D+8.7
D+0.9
108,473
R
49.2%Kerry49,606
49.8%Bush50,135
1.0%
R+0.5
—
D+1.9
100,770
current representation
Current officeholders
DDave BaileyState House · 3
DHeather SimmonsState House · 3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
New Jersey's 3rd Assembly District sits in competitive suburban territory, where the 2024 presidential race finished at D+3.4 — close enough that small shifts in turnout or voter mix reliably reshape outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 7.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 235,844, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,135 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 04 and Assembly District 08.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Jersey 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Jersey 3rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey 3rd State House District voted Republican by 7.5 points (R+7.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 122,031 votes cast, 55,240 went Democratic and 64,386 went Republican.
When did New Jersey 3rd State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Jersey 3rd State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in New Jersey 3rd State House District?
New Jersey 3rd State House District has a population of 235,844 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey 3rd State House District?
Median household income in New Jersey 3rd State House District is $97,135 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of New Jersey 3rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Jersey 3rd State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
