Loading…

Akashic

state senate district

Montana 15th State Senate District

Contests in this Place (41 available)

President33 · 1896–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1896–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1896 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German25.7%22.9%12.5%

Norwegian18.5%7.5%—

American11.3%5.4%5.3%

Irish10.5%13.5%9.4%

English7.6%13.1%9.5%

Danish3.9%——

Italian2.7%3.2%4.8%

Scottish1.8%2.6%1.3%

Mexican2.8%2.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Median age	40.2	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	8.1%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.1%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Median household income	$74,172	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.1%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	22.8%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	71.0%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	29.0%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$211,500	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$878	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	34.6%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	22.5%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Mean commute	18.9 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.7%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	72.9%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.9%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	6.6%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.4%	4.2%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT SD 15	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.2%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.0%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.2%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.7%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.440	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic19.4%2,114TrumpRepublican77.6%8,475OtherAll other candidates3.0%327

R+58.3

Lead: 6,361
Total: 10,916
vs nation: R+56.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic19.7%2,298TrumpRepublican77.9%9,097OtherAll other candidates2.4%281

R+58.2

Lead: 6,799
Total: 11,676
vs nation: R+62.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic18.5%1,913TrumpRepublican74.7%7,720OtherAll other candidates6.8%698

R+56.2

Lead: 5,807
Total: 10,331
vs nation: R+58.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic27.3%2,743RomneyRepublican69.5%6,979OtherAll other candidates3.2%324

R+42.2

Lead: 4,236
Total: 10,046
vs nation: R+46.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic35.2%3,615McCainRepublican61.4%6,307OtherAll other candidates3.4%348

R+26.2

Lead: 2,692
Total: 10,270
vs nation: R+33.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic31.1%3,204BushRepublican66.6%6,861OtherAll other candidates2.3%235

R+35.5

Lead: 3,657
Total: 10,300
vs nation: R+33.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic28.6%2,821BushRepublican66.9%6,606OtherAll other candidates4.6%451

R+38.3

Lead: 3,785
Total: 9,878
vs nation: R+38.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic38.5%4,274DoleRepublican42.9%4,763OtherAll other candidates18.5%2,056

R+4.4

Lead: 489
Total: 11,093
vs nation: R+12.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+58.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 21,7992024 5-year
Population density: 2.9 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 7,593 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $74,1722024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.2%2024 5-year
Black: 0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+52.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+58.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 2, ND · twin score 94.3

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

74.3%

10,005 votes · D+52.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 60.1%

Republican

Donald Trump2020

77.9%

9,097 votes · R+58.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 77.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

10,005votes

74.3% of the vote · D+52.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 7,315 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2020

9,097votes

77.9% of the vote · R+58.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 9,070 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

+27.8pts D vs U.S.

Place D+52.0 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +23.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+62.7pts R vs U.S.

Place R+58.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RGregg HunterState Senate · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	22.1%2,296	77.9%8,102	10,398
2020	R	26.6%3,016	73.4%8,317	11,333
2018	R	31.4%2,899	68.6%6,340	9,239

The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+58.3 in 2024, compared with R+26.2 in 2008. The district had about 22,700 residents, 69.5% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 58.3 points in 2024. The 2024 margin was 58.3 points.

A population of 21,799, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,172 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 2 and State Senate District 17.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 2

2012–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

State Senate District 17

2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical

State Senate District 1

2012–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Montana 15th State Senate District

counties it covers5

Daniels County Richland County Roosevelt County Sheridan County Valley County

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 58.3 points (R+58.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,916 votes cast, 2,114 went Democratic and 8,475 went Republican.

When did Montana 15th State Senate District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 15th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Montana 15th State Senate District?

Montana 15th State Senate District has a population of 21,799 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 15th State Senate District?

Median household income in Montana 15th State Senate District is $74,172 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 15th State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 15th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.