state senate districtMontana 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+33.1
2008R+24.1
2012R+40.5
2016R+56.5
2020R+58.4
2024R+58.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+25.2R+33.1 → R+58.3
vs. U.S. · 2024R+56.9R+58.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.9% of 16,085 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
2,112
8,485
328
10,925
16,085
67.9%
2020
2,296
9,109
270
11,675
16,164†
72.2%
2016
1,912
7,727
652
10,291
16,894†
60.9%
2012
2,841
6,927
320
10,088
15,794†
63.9%
2008
3,698
6,206
499
10,403
14,943†
69.6%
2004
3,333
6,749
237
10,319
14,092†
73.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMT SD 15MontanaUnited States
German25.7%22.9%12.5%
Norwegian18.5%7.5%—
American11.3%5.4%5.3%
Irish10.5%13.5%9.4%
English7.6%13.1%9.5%
Danish3.9%——
Italian2.7%3.2%4.8%
Scottish1.8%2.6%1.3%
Mexican2.8%2.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MT SD 15
Montana
United States
Median age
40.2
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
8.1%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.1%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MT SD 15
Montana
United States
Median household income
$74,172
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.1%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.8%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MT SD 15
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.4%
4.2%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
MT SD 15
Montana
United States
Catholic
—
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
65.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Montana 15th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−33.1%
2008
−24.1%
2012
−40.5%
2016
−56.5%
2020
−58.4%
2024
−58.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004, 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
19.3%Harris2,112
77.7%Trump8,485
3.0%
R+58.3
±0.0
R+56.9
10,925
R
19.7%Biden2,296
78.0%Trump9,109
2.3%
R+58.4
R+1.8
R+62.8
11,675
R
18.6%Clinton1,912
75.1%Trump7,727
6.3%
R+56.5
R+16.0
R+58.6
10,291
R
28.2%Obama2,841
68.7%Romney6,927
3.2%
R+40.5
R+16.4
R+44.4
10,088
R
35.5%Obama3,698
59.7%McCain6,206
4.8%
R+24.1
D+9.0
R+31.4
10,403
R
32.3%Kerry3,333
65.4%Bush6,749
2.3%
R+33.1
—
R+30.6
10,319
current representation
Current officeholders
RGregg HunterState Senate · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+58.3 in 2024, compared with R+24.1 in 2008. The district had about 22,700 residents, 69.5% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 58.4 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 58.3 points.
A population of 21,799, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,172 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 2 and State Senate District 17.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Montana 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 58.3 points (R+58.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,925 votes cast, 2,112 went Democratic and 8,485 went Republican.
How many people live in Montana 15th State Senate District?
Montana 15th State Senate District has a population of 21,799 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 15th State Senate District is $74,172 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Montana 15th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
