Valley County, Montana: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+51%. Democratic peak: D+69 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 7,5192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,6952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Florence County, WI · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Valley CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Valley County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | +7.7% |
| 1900 | −21.5% |
| 1904 | −37.1% |
| 1908 | −23.8% |
| 1912 | +1.1% |
| 1916 | +28.8% |
| 1920 | −36.0% |
| 1924 | −34.8% |
| 1928 | −28.4% |
| 1932 | +30.7% |
| 1936 | +69.0% |
| 1940 | +36.7% |
| 1944 | +23.9% |
| 1948 | +28.2% |
| 1952 | −7.2% |
| 1956 | +3.2% |
| 1960 | +10.6% |
| 1964 | +18.6% |
| 1968 | −7.9% |
| 1972 | −23.1% |
| 1976 | −3.4% |
| 1980 | −32.3% |
| 1984 | −25.2% |
| 1988 | −6.5% |
| 1992 | +4.8% |
| 1996 | −3.9% |
| 2000 | −31.0% |
| 2004 | −26.0% |
| 2008 | −12.2% |
| 2012 | −24.7% |
| 2016 | −46.5% |
| 2020 | −49.4% |
| 2024 | −51.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 935 | 3,019 | 4,079 | ||
| R | 1,030 | 3,135 | 4,261 | ||
| R | 886 | 2,698 | 3,894 | ||
| R | 1,385 | 2,337 | 3,859 | ||
| R | 1,645 | 2,121 | 3,911 | ||
| R | 1,431 | 2,476 | 4,018 | ||
| R | 1,273 | 2,500 | 3,963 | ||
| R | 1,674 | 1,838 | 4,207 | ||
| D | 1,715 | 1,497 | 4,568 | ||
| R | 2,163 | 2,467 | 4,706 | ||
| R | 1,849 | 3,123 | 5,046 | ||
| R | 1,567 | 3,242 | 5,190 | ||
| R | 2,352 | 2,520 | 4,959 | ||
| R | 1,973 | 3,210 | 5,348 | ||
| R | 1,926 | 2,290 | 4,632 | ||
| D | 3,032 | 2,077 | 5,125 | ||
| D | 2,953 | 2,387 | 5,346 | ||
| D | 2,511 | 2,357 | 4,868 | ||
| R | 2,130 | 2,462 | 4,621 | ||
| D | 2,535 | 1,375 | 4,110 | ||
| D | 2,196 | 1,341 | 3,582 | ||
| D | 3,493 | 1,597 | 5,162 | ||
| D | 5,862 | 996 | 7,057 | ||
| D | 2,499 | 1,242 | 4,092 | ||
| R | 1,294 | 2,330 | 3,649 | ||
| R | 497 | 1,555 | 3,043 | ||
| R | 895 | 2,096 | 3,333 | ||
| D | 2,102 | 1,111 | 3,442 | ||
| O | 696 | 668 | 2,585 | ||
| R | 503 | 843 | 1,426 | ||
| R | 335 | 742 | 1,096 | ||
| R | 234 | 363 | 600 | ||
| D | 204 | 175 | 379 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.6%
American
12.3%
Irish
8.5%
English
6.4%
Italian
1.6%
French
1.5%
Scottish
1.2%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,695
Valley County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Valley County$71,695
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Valley County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.5%
Working age (18–64)6.7%
Seniors (65+)19.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European0.9%
Spanish0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 71.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Valley County's sparse Hi-Line ranching economy anchors one of Montana's most Republican-leaning electorates, with the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 50 points in a county of fewer than 8,000 residents.
The Republican margin here reached fifty-one points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-one points.
A population of 7,519, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,695 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Florence County and Mason County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Valley County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Montana
More farm belt counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Valley County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Valley County, Montana voted Republican by 51.1 points (R+51), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,079 votes cast, 935 went Democratic and 3,019 went Republican.
What is Valley County, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Valley County, Montana in the "Farm Belt" typology — Rural Plains and Midwest farm counties — Republican, with modest recent movement. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did Valley County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Valley County, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Valley County, Montana?
Valley County, Montana has a population of 7,519 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Valley County, Montana?
Median household income in Valley County, Montana is $71,695 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Valley County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Valley County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The county's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.