Montana 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
100.0%
95 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 84.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
51.7%
2,954 votes · R+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 45.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
7,946votes
83.1% of the vote · D+68.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 6,513 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
3,459votes
43.4% of the vote · D+12.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 3,436 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+98.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+100.0 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +75.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−6.0pts R vs U.S.
Place D+4.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −6.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DJonathan Windy BoyState Senate · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
41.3%3,530
58.7%5,018
8,548
Centered on Missoula's urban neighborhoods and the University of Montana campus, this district recorded a 4.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — an outlier in a state that otherwise swung heavily Republican that cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 9.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.5 points.
A population of 20,631, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,518 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 21 and State Senate District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Montana 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 16th State Senate District voted Democratic by 4.5 points (D+4.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,566 votes cast, 3,775 went Democratic and 3,436 went Republican.
When did Montana 16th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 16th State Senate District voted Republican was 1920.
How many people live in Montana 16th State Senate District?
Montana 16th State Senate District has a population of 20,631 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 16th State Senate District?
Median household income in Montana 16th State Senate District is $56,518 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 16th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 16th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 31 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.