Blaine County, Montana: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,9492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,8132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winneshiek County, IA · similarity 0.89
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Blaine CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Blaine County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +10.0% |
| 1916 | +18.4% |
| 1920 | −31.7% |
| 1924 | −27.1% |
| 1928 | −13.9% |
| 1932 | +28.9% |
| 1936 | +42.8% |
| 1940 | +29.0% |
| 1944 | +19.3% |
| 1948 | +24.5% |
| 1952 | −22.0% |
| 1956 | −0.8% |
| 1960 | +9.7% |
| 1964 | +28.9% |
| 1968 | −3.5% |
| 1972 | −13.0% |
| 1976 | +0.3% |
| 1980 | −19.3% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | +2.0% |
| 1992 | +12.6% |
| 1996 | +6.5% |
| 2000 | −5.9% |
| 2004 | −4.5% |
| 2008 | +19.3% |
| 2012 | +15.3% |
| 2016 | −2.5% |
| 2020 | +3.8% |
| 2024 | −5.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,348 | 1,526 | 3,019 | ||
| D | 1,589 | 1,469 | 3,117 | ||
| R | 1,202 | 1,268 | 2,684 | ||
| D | 1,616 | 1,178 | 2,859 | ||
| D | 1,702 | 1,139 | 2,924 | ||
| R | 1,300 | 1,424 | 2,768 | ||
| R | 1,246 | 1,410 | 2,759 | ||
| D | 1,316 | 1,127 | 2,893 | ||
| D | 1,355 | 971 | 3,046 | ||
| D | 1,460 | 1,402 | 2,912 | ||
| R | 1,229 | 1,736 | 2,997 | ||
| R | 1,107 | 1,686 | 2,995 | ||
| D | 1,356 | 1,349 | 2,739 | ||
| R | 1,151 | 1,513 | 2,779 | ||
| R | 1,198 | 1,291 | 2,655 | ||
| D | 1,742 | 961 | 2,703 | ||
| D | 1,569 | 1,290 | 2,876 | ||
| R | 1,438 | 1,460 | 2,898 | ||
| R | 1,207 | 1,890 | 3,106 | ||
| D | 1,669 | 997 | 2,748 | ||
| D | 1,469 | 990 | 2,479 | ||
| D | 2,129 | 1,165 | 3,327 | ||
| D | 2,166 | 851 | 3,074 | ||
| D | 1,977 | 1,063 | 3,160 | ||
| R | 1,160 | 1,537 | 2,714 | ||
| R | 337 | 827 | 1,808 | ||
| R | 848 | 1,720 | 2,753 | ||
| D | 1,261 | 857 | 2,190 | ||
| O | 318 | 204 | 1,137 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.3%
American
4.6%
English
4.4%
Irish
4.2%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.1%
Polish
0.8%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,813
Blaine County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Blaine County$64,813
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Blaine County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.1%
Working age (18–64)18.3%
Seniors (65+)18.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.0%
speak English only
Other languages5.3%
Other Indo-European3.7%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Blaine County's Fort Belknap Indian Reservation shapes its electorate in ways that set it apart from surrounding Hi-Line counties, and the 2024 presidential margin of R+5.9 reflects a competitive mix absent in most of rural Montana.
The Democratic margin here once reached forty-three points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved ten points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.
A population of 6,949, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,813 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winneshiek County and Pasquotank County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Blaine County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Montana
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Frequently asked questions
How did Blaine County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Blaine County, Montana voted Republican by 5.9 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,019 votes cast, 1,348 went Democratic and 1,526 went Republican.
What is Blaine County, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Blaine County, Montana in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did Blaine County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Blaine County, Montana voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Blaine County, Montana?
Blaine County, Montana has a population of 6,949 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Blaine County, Montana?
Median household income in Blaine County, Montana is $64,813 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Blaine County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Blaine County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.