HarrisDemocratic44.7%1,348TrumpRepublican50.5%1,526KennedyIndependent4.0%121
R+5.9- Lead
- 178
- Total
- 3,019
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- 63.5%
Akashiccounty
Blaine County, MT
Contests in this Place (84 available)
President29 · 1912–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1912–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.5% of 4,873 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic51.0%1,589TrumpRepublican47.1%1,469JorgensenLibertarian1.9%59
D+3.8- Lead
- 120
- Total
- 3,117
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Turnout
- 67.8%
ClintonDemocratic44.8%1,202TrumpRepublican47.2%1,268JohnsonLibertarian3.8%102
R+2.5- Lead
- 66
- Total
- 2,684
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Turnout
- 61.4%
ObamaDemocratic56.5%1,616RomneyRepublican41.2%1,178GRAYLibertarian2.3%65
D+15.3- Lead
- 438
- Total
- 2,859
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic58.2%1,702McCainRepublican39.0%1,139OtherAll other candidates2.8%83
D+19.3- Lead
- 563
- Total
- 2,924
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.0%1,300BushRepublican51.4%1,424OtherAll other candidates1.6%44
R+4.5- Lead
- 124
- Total
- 2,768
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.2%1,246BushRepublican51.1%1,410NaderGreen2.1%58
R+5.9- Lead
- 164
- Total
- 2,759
- vs nation
- R+6.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.5%1,316DoleRepublican39.0%1,127PerotReform15.0%435
D+6.5- Lead
- 189
- Total
- 2,893
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,9492024 5-year
- Population density
- 1.6 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,228 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,8132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Big Horn County, MT · twin score 95.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 63.5%3,093 participants ÷ 4,873 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +29.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +10.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 33.9%–50.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,093 | 4,873 ± 67 | 63.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 1,875 | 4,907 ± 74 | 38.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 3,171 | 4,676 ± 31 | 67.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,019 | 4,715 ± 44 | 64.0% | Audited | C/A |
| 2,818 | 4,593 ± 52 | 61.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2,859 | 4,551 | 62.8% | Derived | — | |
| 2,924 | 4,536 | 64.5% | Derived | — | |
| 2,768 | 4,521 extrapolated | 61.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Blaine County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Blaine County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
BRIAN J MILLER0—
JONATHAN WINDY BOY0—
SAM LUX0—
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 8 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 3,019 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CHINOOK 11CHINOOK 11 | 190 | 450 | 22 | 662 | 28.7% | 68.0% | R+39.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SOUTH BELKNAP 15SOUTH BELKNAP 15 | 374 | 121 | 38 | 533 | 70.2% | 22.7% | D+47.5 |
| Precinct -SOUTH BLAINE 10SOUTH BLAINE 10 | 53 | 381 | 10 | 444 | 11.9% | 85.8% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -NORTH BELKNAP 3NORTH BELKNAP 3 | 324 | 83 | 34 | 441 | 73.5% | 18.8% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct -HARLEM 8HARLEM 8 | 220 | 135 | 11 | 366 | 60.1% | 36.9% | D+23.2 |
| Precinct -TURNER 1TURNER 1 | 38 | 213 | 9 | 260 | 14.6% | 81.9% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -SOUTH HARLEM 9SOUTH HARLEM 9 | 137 | 38 | 14 | 189 | 72.5% | 20.1% | D+52.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH BLAINE 13NORTH BLAINE 13 | 12 | 105 | 7 | 124 | 9.7% | 84.7% | R+75.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Blaine County, MT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
70.5%
2,166 votes · D+42.8
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 64.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
62.5%
1,720 votes · R+31.7
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 60.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
2,166votes
70.5% of the vote · D+42.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 2,129 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
1,890votes
60.8% of the vote · R+22.0
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,736 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+20.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +19.0 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+11.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.0 · U.S. R+10.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · +9.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRussel TempelState Senate · 14
DJonathan Windy BoyState Senate · 16
REric AlbusState House · 28
DMike FoxState House · 32
Seats representing Blaine County, MT. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,937 |
| 2018 | 4,175 |
| 2020 | 4,155 |
| 2022 | 3,971 |
| 2024 | 4,236 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−19 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −405 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,928 in average income, against $56,968 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.2 on average — 12 points more Republican-leaning than Blaine County, MT itself (R+5.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hill County, MT20R+18.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hill County, MT32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +30 |
| 2012 | +41 |
| 2013 | −108 |
| 2014 | +7 |
| 2015 | −81 |
| 2016 | −23 |
| 2017 | −10 |
| 2018 | +13 |
| 2019 | −115 |
| 2021 | −20 |
| 2022 | −34 |
| 2023 | −89 |
| 2024 | +3 |
| 2025 | −19 |
Blaine County's Fort Belknap Indian Reservation shapes its electorate in ways that set it apart from surrounding Hi-Line counties, and the 2024 presidential margin of R+5.9 reflects a competitive mix absent in most of rural Montana.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 31.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.9 points.
A population of 6,949, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,813 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Big Horn County and Roosevelt County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Big Horn County
Montana
95.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Roosevelt County
Montana
92.3twin score
elasticity2008–2020 trajectory
Sioux County
North Dakota
89.9twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Blaine County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Blaine County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Blaine County, Montana voted Republican by 5.9 points (R+5.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,019 votes cast, 1,348 went Democratic and 1,526 went Republican.
When did Blaine County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Blaine County, Montana voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Blaine County, Montana?
Blaine County, Montana has a population of 6,949 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Blaine County, Montana?
Median household income in Blaine County, Montana is $64,813 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Blaine County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Blaine County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.